The DOI matches its Crossref record.
The Global Spread of Malaria in a Future, Warmer World
Abstract
The frequent warnings that global climate change will allow falciparum malaria to spread into northern latitudes, including Europe and large parts of the United States, are based on biological transmission models driven principally by temperature. These models were assessed for their value in predicting present, and therefore future, malaria distribution. In an alternative statistical approach, the recorded present-day global distribution of falciparum malaria was used to establish the current multivariate climatic constraints. These results were applied to future climate scenarios to predict future distributions, which showed remarkably few changes, even under the most extreme scenarios.
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Citations
Cited by
Impact of regional climate change on human health
Patz, J. A., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Holloway, T., & Foley, J. A. (2005) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature04188 · Cited by 3,103
Climate change and human health: present and future risks
McMichael, A. J., Woodruff, R. E., & Hales, S. (2006) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(06)68079-3 · Cited by 2,585
A Survey of Structure−Property Relationships of Surfaces that Resist the Adsorption of Protein
Ostuni, E., Chapman, R. G., Holmlin, R. E., Takayama, S., & Whitesides, G. M. (2001) · Langmuir · doi:10.1021/la010384m · Cited by 1,799
Effects of environmental change on emerging parasitic diseases
Patz, J. A., Graczyk, T. K., Geller, N., & Vittor, A. Y. (2000) · International Journal for Parasitology · doi:10.1016/s0020-7519(00)00141-7 · Cited by 1,206
Climate change and human health: Impacts, vulnerability and public health
Haines, A., Kovats, R. S., Campbell-Lendrum, D., & Corvalan, C. (2006) · Public Health · doi:10.1016/j.puhe.2006.01.002 · Cited by 1,041
Metadata
- Authors
- Rogers, D. J., & Randolph, S. E.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2000-09-08
- Volume
- 289
- Issue
- 5485
- Pages
- 1763-1766
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W1680499948
- Cited by
- 696
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 68.22
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.