The DOI matches its Crossref record; 87 of the 87 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate Extremes: Observations, Modeling, and Impacts
Abstract
One of the major concerns with a potential change in climate is that an increase in extreme events will occur. Results of observational studies suggest that in many areas that have been analyzed, changes in total precipitation are amplified at the tails, and changes in some temperature extremes have been observed. Model output has been analyzed that shows changes in extreme events for future climates, such as increases in extreme high temperatures, decreases in extreme low temperatures, and increases in intense precipitation events. In addition, the societal infrastructure is becoming more sensitive to weather and climate extremes, which would be exacerbated by climate change. In wild plants and animals, climate-induced extinctions, distributional and phenological changes, and species' range shifts are being documented at an increasing rate. Several apparently gradual biological changes are linked to responses to extreme weather and climate events.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change
Houghton, J. T., Filho, L. G. M., Callander, B. A., Harris, N. L., Kattenberg, A., & Maskell, K. (1996) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 3,503
The distribution and abundance of animals
Andrewartha, H. G., & Birch, L. C. (1974) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 2,774
Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butterfly species associated with regional warming
Parmesan, C., Ryrholm, N., Stefanescu, C., Hill, J. K., Thomas, C. D., Descimon, H., Huntley, B., Kaila, L., Kullberg, J., Tammaru, T., et al. (1999) · Nature · doi:10.1038/21181 · Cited by 2,274
Self-citationThe Ecology of Natural Disturbance and Patch Dynamics
(1985) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/c2009-0-02952-3 · Cited by 2,121
Biological consequences of global warming: is the signal already apparent?
Hughes, L. (2000) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/s0169-5347(99)01764-4 · Cited by 2,106
Climate and Plant Distribution
Eyre, S. R., & Woodward, F. I. (1988) · The Geographical Journal · doi:10.2307/633873 · Cited by 1,823
Maximum and Minimum Temperature Trends for the Globe
Easterling, D. R., Horton, B., Jones, P. D., Peterson, T. C., Karl, T. R., Parker, D. E., Salinger, M. J., Razuvayev, V., Plummer, N., Jamason, P., et al. (1997) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.277.5324.364 · Cited by 1,615
Self-citationBiological response to climate change on a tropical mountain
Pounds, J. A., Fogden, M. P. L., & Campbell, J. H. (1999) · Nature · doi:10.1038/19297 · Cited by 1,429
Observed Variability and Trends in Extreme Climate Events: A Brief Review*
Easterling, D. R., Evans, J. L., Groisman, P. Y., Karl, T. R., Kunkel, K. E., & Ambenje, P. (2000) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<0417:ovatie>2.3.co;2 · Cited by 1,351
Self-citationSecular Trends of Precipitation Amount, Frequency, and Intensity in the United States
Karl, T. R., & Knight, R. W. (1998) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<0231:stopaf>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,319
Self-citation
Research works printed but not linked: 64
- Changnon S., et al., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 81, 437 (2000). · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081
- Meehl G. A., et al., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 81, 413 (2000). · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081
- Cooter E., LeDuc S., Int. J. Climatol. 15, 65 (1995). · doi:10.1002/joc.3370150108
- DeGaetano A., J. Clim. 9, 1646 (1996). · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009
- Easterling D. R., et al., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 81, 417 (2000). · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081
- Karl T., Knight R.W., Easterling D. R., Quayle R. G., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 77, 279 (1996). · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077
- Ross R., Elliot W., J. Clim. 9, 3561 (1996). · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009
- Changnon S., et al., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 77, 1497 (1996). · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077
- Kunkel K., et al., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 77, 1508 (1996). · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077
- Karl T., Knight R., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 78, 1107 (1997). · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078
- Karl T., Knight R., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79, 231 (1998). · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079
- Kunkel K., Andsager K., Easterling D. R., J. Clim. 12, 2515 (1999). · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012
- P. Groisman et al. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. in press.
- Tarhule A., Woo M., Int. J. Climatol. 18, 1261 (1998). · doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0088(199809)18:11<1261::aid-joc302>3.0.co;2-z
- Akinremi O., McGinn S., Cutforth H., J. Clim. 12, 2996 (1999). · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012
- Szinell C., et al., Int. J. Climatol. 18, 1479 (1998). · doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0088(19981115)18:13<1479::aid-joc325>3.0.co;2-p
- W. M. Gray J. D. Scheaffer C. W. Landsea in Hurricane: Climate and Socioeconomic Impacts H. F. Diaz and R. S. Pulwarty Eds. (Springer Berlin 1997).
- Pielke R., Landsea C., Weather Forecast. 12, 387 (1998).
- J. L. Evans and R. E. Hart Proceedings of the 23rd American Meterological Society Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorological Conference (1999) p. 803.
- Nicholls N., et al., Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 65, 197 (1998). · doi:10.1007/bf01030788
- A. Kattenberg et al. Climate Change 1995 The Science of Climate Change the IPCC Second Assessment Report J. T. Houghton et al. Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press Cambridge 1996) p. 285.
- Zwiers F. W., Kharin V. V., J. Clim. 11, 2200 (1998). · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011
- C. F. Durman J. M. Gregory D. C. Hassell R. G. Jones Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. in press.
- Kothavala Z., Environ. Model. Software 14, 243 (1999). · doi:10.1016/s1364-8152(98)00076-0
- M. Lal G. A. Meehl J. M. Arblaster Reg. Environ. Change in press.
- Meehl G. A., et al., J. Clim. 13, 1879 (2000). · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013
- G. J. Boer G. Flato C. Reader D. Ramsden Clim. Dyn. in press.
- T. L. Delworth J. D. Mahlman T. R. Knutson Clim. Change in press.
- M. Collins J. Clim. in press.
- W. Washington et al. Clim. Dyn. in press.
- 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<0138:SEIAGC>2.0.CO;2 · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010
- Z. Z. Hu et al. Clim. Dyn. in press.
- Sinclair M., Watterson I., J. Clim. 12, 3467 (1999). · doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012
- P. Knippertz U. Ulbrich P. Speth Clim. Res. in press.
- Schubert M., Perlwitz J., Blender R., Fraedrich K., Lunkeit F., Clim. Dyn. 14, 827 (1998). · doi:10.1007/s003820050258
- 10.3402/tellusa.v48i1.11632 · doi:10.3402/tellusa.v48i1.11632
- J. Yoshimura M. Sugi A. Noda Preprints: 10th Symposium on Global Change Studies (American Meteorological Society Boston 1999) p. 555.
- Krishnamurti T. N., Correa-Torres R., Latif M., Daughenbaugh G., Tellus 50A, 186 (1998). · doi:10.3402/tellusa.v50i2.14520
- T. R. Knutson and R. E. Tuleya Clim. Dyn. in press.
- K. J. Walsh and B. F. Ryan Preprints: 23rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology (American Meteorological Society Boston 1999).
- Changnon S., Meteorol. Appl. 5, 125 (1998).
- S. Changnon Nat. Hazards in press.
- S. Changnon Trends in Hail in the United States (Proceedings of the Workshop on the Social and Economic Impacts of Weather National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO 1997) pp. 19–34.
- Changnon S., Kunkel K., Reinke B., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 77, 1497 (1996). · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077
- G. E. Christianson Greenhouse: The 200-Year Story of Global Warming (Greystone Books Vancouver 1999). · doi:10.1063/1.882971
- Palevitz B. A., Scientist 13, 1 (1999).
- M. B. Davis and C. Zabinski in Global Warming and Biological Diversity R. L. Peters and T. E. Lovejoy Eds. (Yale Univ. Press New Haven CT 1992) chap. 22.
- G. R. Coope in Extinction Rates J. H. Lawton and R. M. May Eds. (Oxford Univ. Press Oxford 1995) chap. 4.
- Kingsolver J. G., Evolution 49, 932 (1995). · doi:10.2307/2410415
- Hadly E. A., Biol. J. Linn. Soc. 60, 277 (1997). · doi:10.1111/j.1095-8312.1997.tb01496.x
- D. I. Rubenstein in Global Warming and Biological Diversity R. L. Peters and T. E. Lovejoy Eds. (Yale Univ. Press New Haven CT 1992) chap. 14.
- L. R. Walker and M. R. Willig Eds. Ecology of Disturbed Ground (Elsevier Amsterdam 1999).
- Bumpus H. C., Biol. Lect. Mar. Biol. Woods Hole 11, 209 (1899).
- Curry R. L., Grant P. R., J. Anim. Ecol. 58, 441 (1989). · doi:10.2307/4841
- Singer M. C., Ehrlich P. R., Fortschr. Zool. 25, 53 (1979).
- Hawkins B. A., Holyoak M., Am. Nat. 152, 480 (1998). · doi:10.1086/286184
- M. A. Coffroth H. R. Lasker J. K. Oliver in Global Ecological Consequences of the 1982-1983 El Niño–Southern Oscillation P. W. Glynn Ed. (Elsevier Amsterdam 1990) chap. 3.
- P. W. Glynn in Global Ecological Consequences of the 1982-1983 El Niño–Southern Oscillation P. W. Glynn Ed. (Elsevier Amsterdam 1990) chap. 3.
- Parmesan C., Root T. L., Willig M. R., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 81, 443 (2000). · doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081
- Murphy D. D., White R. R., Pan-Pac. Entomol. 60, 350 (1984).
- Dobkin D. S., Olivieri I., Ehrlich P. R., Oecologia 71, 161 (1987). · doi:10.1007/bf00377280
- Boughton D. A., Ecology 80, 2727 (1999).
- C. Parmesan in Evolution and Ecology Taking Flight: Butterflies as Model Systems C. L. Boggs W. B. Watt P. R. Ehrlich Eds. (Univ. of Chicago Press Chicago IL in press).
- This manuscript resulted from a workshop held at the Aspen Global Change Institute Aspen CO in the late summer of 1998. In addition to the authors participants in this workshop included L. Bengtsson M. J. Changery D. Changnon J. L. Evans P. Ya. Groisman J. Katzenberger T. R. Knutson K. E. Kunkel M. C. MacCracken R. A. Pielke Jr. R. S. Pulwarty T. Root R. Schnur A. Socci R. B. Street R. T. Sylves P. Whetton and F. W. Zwiers. Partial support for D.R.E. and T.R.K. was provided by the U.S. Department of Energy and the NOAA Office of Global Programs. Contributions by C. P. were facilitated by the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis and the Université de Montpellier 2. The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation.
Cited by
A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
Parmesan, C., & Yohe, G. (2003) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature01286 · Cited by 11,265
Self-citationEcological responses to recent climate change.
Walther, G.-R., Post, E., Convey, P., Menzel, A., Parmesan, C., Beebee, T. J. C., Fromentin, J.-M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., & Bairlein, F. (2002) · Nature · doi:10.1038/416389a · Cited by 9,975
Self-citationEcological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change
Parmesan, C. (2006) · Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.37.091305.110100 · Cited by 8,652
Self-citationMore Intense, More Frequent, and Longer Lasting Heat Waves in the 21st Century
Meehl, G. A., & Tebaldi, C. (2004) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1098704 · Cited by 4,322
Self-citationClimate change and human health: present and future risks
McMichael, A. J., Woodruff, R. E., & Hales, S. (2006) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(06)68079-3 · Cited by 2,585
Metadata
- Authors
- Easterling, D. R., Meehl, G. A., Parmesan, C., Changnon, S. A., Karl, T. R., & Mearns, L. O.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2000-09-22
- Volume
- 289
- Issue
- 5487
- Pages
- 2068-2074
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W1978815659
- Cited by
- 4,867
- References
- 87
- FWCI
- 55.36
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Climate Extremes: Observations, Modeling, and Impacts. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1126/science.289.5487.2068
- The paper
- Easterling, D. R., Meehl, G. A., Parmesan, C., Changnon, S. A., Karl, T. R., & Mearns, L. O. (2000). Climate Extremes: Observations, Modeling, and Impacts. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.289.5487.2068
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.