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Cited by 265

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 25 of the 25 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Data-driven predictions in the science of science

Open access
Clauset, Aaron, Larremore, Daniel B., Sinatra, Roberta·2017·Science

Abstract

The desire to predict discoveries—to have some idea, in advance, of what will be discovered, by whom, when, and where—pervades nearly all aspects of modern science, from individual scientists to publishers, from funding agencies to hiring committees. In this Essay, we survey the emerging and interdisciplinary field of the “science of science” and what it teaches us about the predictability of scientific discovery. We then discuss future opportunities for improving predictions derived from the science of science and its potential impact, positive and negative, on the scientific community.

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Crossref · 10.1126/science.aal4217

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Citations

Cites

Show all 25 references

Research works printed but not linked: 7

  1. P. E. Stephan S. G. Levin Striking the Mother Lode in Science: The Importance of Age Place and Time (Oxford Univ. Press 1992).
  2. 10.1038/538444a · doi:10.1038/538444a
  3. F.Radicchi et al . Quantifying perceived impact of scientific publications. https://arxiv.org/abs/1612.03962 (2016). · arXiv
  4. 10.15779/Z38BG31 · doi:10.15779/z38bg31 · Paper page
  5. Fairness Accountability and Transparency in Machine Learning: 2016 Workshop; www.fatml.org.
  6. F.Dyson,Birds and frogs. Not. Am. Math. Soc. 56, 212–223 (2009).
  7. J. Langford “The NIPS experiment” [blog] (Communications of the Association for Computing Machinery 2015); http://cacm.acm.org/blogs/blog-cacm/181996-the-nipsexperiment/fulltext.

Cited by

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Metadata

Authors
Clauset, A., Larremore, D. B., & Sinatra, R.
Venue
Science
Published
2017-02-03
Volume
355
Issue
6324
Pages
477-480
ISSN
  • 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
  • 1095-9203
OpenAlex
W2585057539
Cited by
265
References
25
FWCI
21.91
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
green

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Data-driven predictions in the science of science. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1126/science.aal4217
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Clauset, A., Larremore, D. B., & Sinatra, R. (2017). Data-driven predictions in the science of science. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aal4217

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