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Where did ‘weird’ Omicron come from?
Abstract
but WHO skipped the letters Nu and Xi, it said, “because Nu is too easily confounded with ‘new’ and Xi was not used because it is a common surname.”) One reason for concern about Omicron is that sequenced samples indicate it has rapidly replaced other variants in South Africa. But that picture might be skewed. For one, sequencing might have been focused on possible cases of the new variant in recent days, which could make it appear more frequent than it is. PCR data provide broader coverage and a less biased view, but there, too, samples with the S gene failure indicate a rapid rise of Omicron. The rising frequency could still be due in part to chance. In San Diego, a series of superspreading events at a university resulted in an explosion of one particular strain of SARS-CoV-2 earlier this year, Andersen says: “It was thousands of cases and they were all the same virus.” But the virus wasn’t notably more infectious. South Africa has seen relatively few cases recently, so a series of superspreading events could have led to the rapid increase of Omicron. “I suspect that a lot of that signal is explained by that and I desperately hope so,” Andersen says. Based on a comparison of different Omicron genomes, Andersen estimates the virus emerged sometime around late September or early October, which suggests it might be spreading more slowly than it appears to have. The other reason to be concerned is Omicron’s confusing genome. Its spike protein, which latches on to receptors on h…
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“While there are different hypotheses addressing the evolutionary origins of Omicron BA.1's emergence and this variant's unusual number of mutations 25 , the rising level of SARS-CoV-2 exposure in South Africa in 2020-2021 would be expected to promote the fitness advantage of immune escape variants over earlier variants.”
From Rapidly shifting immunologic landscape and severity of SARS-CoV-2 in the Omicron era in South Africa (2023) · cites this paper as [25]
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“Some have proposed that it developed in a chronically infected individual with an impaired immune response, whereas others think it developed in parallel with other variants in a population not monitored by sequencing (Kupferschmidt, 2021).”
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“A recent op-ed piece (Kupferschmidt, 2021) presented three hypotheses posed by scientists from around the world.”
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“Exploring these possibilities is urgent, as illustrated by another compelling example: when it was first identified, the spike protein in the SARS-CoV2 omicron variant was the sole representative of its phylogenetic branch.(59) For the orphan sequences themselves, which lack other homologs with which to make meaningfu…”
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Bittmann, S. (2022) · World Journal of Pediatrics · doi:10.1007/s12519-021-00511-3 · Cited by 14
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“Indeed, it has been suggested that VOC carrying many novel mutations appearing at once, as were the cases of Alpha and Omicron, were generated within chronically infected subjects with immune responses impaired by other underlying illnesses (Kupferschimidt, 2021).”
BackgroundRole of the Pangolin in Origin of SARS-CoV-2: An Evolutionary Perspective
Gupta, S. K., Minocha, R., Thapa, P. J., Srivastava, M., & Dandekar, T. (2022) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms23169115 · Cited by 13
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Complexity of Viral Epitope Surfaces as Evasive Targets for Vaccines and Therapeutic Antibodies
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Seasonal effects decouple SARS-CoV-2 haplotypes worldwide
Tomaszewski, T., Ali, M. A., Caetano-Anollés, K., & Caetano‐Anollés, G. (2023) · F1000Research · doi:10.12688/f1000research.131522.1 · Cited by 11
“Discussion VOC emergence There appears to be no ‘transparent’ path of transmission from viral ancestors to VOCs nor an explanation for themassive mutant constellation that characterizes the current VOC Omicron wave of the pandemic (Kupferschmidt, 2021; Mallapaty, 2022).”
BackgroundMapping Data to Deep Understanding: Making the Most of the Deluge of SARS-CoV-2 Genome Sequences
Sokhansanj, B. A., & ROSEN, G. L. (2022) · mSystems · doi:10.1128/msystems.00035-22 · Cited by 9
“The Omicron variant has such a long branch divergence, indicating that it may have emerged in an immunocompromised host or after incubating in a nonhuman host such as mice (41, 42).”
BackgroundChen, J., Wang, X., Li, L., Yi, L., Jiang, Y., Hao, P., Xu, Z., Zou, W., Li, P., Gao, Z., et al. (2022) · Frontiers in Cellular and Infection Microbiology · doi:10.3389/fcimb.2022.967493 · Cited by 9
“A phylogenetic tree based on the mutations in the S1 subunit of viral Spike showed that the Omicron is far from other variants, indicating that Omicron evolved in parallel with other variants (Kupferschmidt, 2021).”
BackgroundIntrinsic Severity of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant
Bhattacharyya, R. P., & Hanage, W. P. (2022) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmc2203679 · Cited by 9
Aw, Z. Q., Mok, C. K., Wong, Y. H., Chen, H., Mak, T. M., Lin, R. T. P., Lye, D. C., Tan, K. S., & Chu, J. J. H. (2022) · Frontiers in Immunology · doi:10.3389/fimmu.2022.950666 · Cited by 7
Gopcsa, L., Réti, M., Andrikovics, H., Bobek, I., Bekő, G., Bogyó, J., Ceglédi, A., Dobos, K., Giba-Kiss, L., Jankovics, I., et al. (2023) · GeroScience · doi:10.1007/s11357-023-00858-7 · Cited by 10
“In addition to life threatening outcomes, a persistent SARS-CoV-2 infection in immunocompromised hosts also carries the risk of giving rise to series of mutations in the viral genome [15–18].”
BackgroundOmicron variant receptor-binding domain phylogenetics and molecular dynamics
Kandeel, M. K., & El‐Deeb, W. (2022) · Computers in Biology and Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.compbiomed.2022.105633 · Cited by 8
“Because of Africa’s low vaccination rate, the Omicron variant may have more readily circulated [25].”
SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant (B.1.1.529): A concern with immune escape
Sanyaolu, A. O., Marinkovic, A., Prakash, S., Haider, N., Williams, M., Okorie, C., Badaru, O., & Smith, S. I. (2022) · World Journal of Virology · doi:10.5501/wjv.v11.i3.137 · Cited by 9
SARS-CoV-2 variants of concerns in animals: An unmonitored rising health threat
Saied, A. A., & Metwally, A. A. (2022) · VirusDisease · doi:10.1007/s13337-022-00794-8 · Cited by 8
Rochman, N. D., Faure, G., Wolf, Y. I., Freddolino, P. L., Zhang, F., & Koonin, E. V. (2021) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2021.08.30.458225 · Cited by 8
“425 At the time of writing, the origins of the Omicron variant are unclear and is suspected to 426 have evolved over an extended period of time within an immunocompromised 427 individual(s) or an animal reservoir(30).”
BackgroundLi, M., Zu, J., Zhang, Y., Ma, L., Shen, M., Li, Z., & Ji, F. (2022) · Virology Journal · doi:10.1186/s12985-022-01771-9 · Cited by 7
Structural basis and analysis of hamster ACE2 binding to different SARS-CoV-2 spike RBDs
Niu, S., Zhao, Z., Liu, Z., Rong, X., Chai, Y., Bai, B., Han, P., Shang, G., Ren, J., Wang, Y., et al. (2024) · Journal of Virology · doi:10.1128/jvi.01157-23 · Cited by 7
“As reported, omicron variants evolved independently of all other SARS-CoV-2 variants, and a possible animal origin was proposed to be related to rodents such as mice and rats (41).”
BackgroundNorwood, K., Deng, Z.-L., Reimering, S., Robertson, G., Foroughmand-Araabi, M.-H., Goliaei, S., Hölzer, M., Klawonn, F., & McHardy, A. C. (2025) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-025-60231-4 · Cited by 10
“• Line 273: Could statistical significance (e.g., Wilcoxon test) be tested for differences between designated and non-designated pVOIs?”
Viral syncytia evolve to resist interferon
Li, T., Kang, I., Ye, J., Hu, Z., Gibbs, J. S., Ye, C., Takeda, K., Košík, I., Shi, G., Hollý, J., et al. (2026) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-026-74676-8 · Cited by 6
Geng, F., Chen, J., Tang, S., Azzam, E. I., Zhang, J., & Zhang, S. (2022) · Radiation Research · doi:10.1667/rade-22-00058.1 · Cited by 6
A SARS-CoV-2 vaccine based on conjugation of SARS-CoV-2 RBD with IC28 peptide and mannan
He, Y., Yu, W., Shen, L., Yan, W., Xiao, L., Qi, J., & Hu, T. (2022) · International Journal of Biological Macromolecules · doi:10.1016/j.ijbiomac.2022.09.180 · Cited by 6
Current status of mucosal vaccines against SARS-CoV2: a hope for protective immunity
García-Silva, I., Govea‐Alonso, D. O., & Rosales‐Mendoza, S. (2023) · Expert Opinion on Biological Therapy · doi:10.1080/14712598.2022.2156284 · Cited by 6
Urbina-Garcia, O., Fernández‐Gámiz, U., Zulueta, E., Ugarte-Anero, A., & Portal-Porras, K. (2024) · Buildings · doi:10.3390/buildings14041007 · Cited by 7
Goh, G. K., Dunker, A. K., Foster, J. A., & Uversky, V. N. (2022) · Biomolecules · doi:10.3390/biom12050631 · Cited by 6
Davies, E. R., Ryan, K. A., Bewley, K. R., Coombes, N. S., Salguero, F. J., Carnell, O. T., Biddlecombe, S. M., Charlton, M., Challis, A., Cross, E. S., et al. (2023) · Viruses · doi:10.3390/v15051133 · Cited by 5
Saini, S., Pareekh, S., & Kumar, Y. (2023) · Journal of Biomolecular Structure and Dynamics · doi:10.1080/07391102.2023.2222174 · Cited by 5
“However, some studies suggest evolution of antigenic shifts in variants could be attributed to rigorous viral amplification in patients who are immunocompromised (Cameroni et al., 2022; Corey et al., 2021; Kupferschmidt, 2021).”
BackgroundWei, L., Song, L., Dunker, A. K., Foster, J. A., Uversky, V. N., & Goh, G. K. (2024) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms25147537 · Cited by 5
“[ 23–25, 29 – Omicrons became available [26,34].”
BackgroundGoh, G. K., Dunker, A. K., Foster, J. A., & Uversky, V. N. (2022) · Biomolecules · doi:10.3390/biom12101353 · Cited by 5
Structural basis for antibody resistance to SARS-CoV-2 omicron variantPreprint
Cerutti, G., Guo, Y., Liu, L., Zhang, Z., Liu, L., Luo, Y., Huang, Y., Wang, H. H., Ho, D. D., Sheng, Z., et al. (2021) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2021.12.21.473620 · Cited by 5
“Some have proposed that it developed in a chronically infected individual with an impaired immune response, whereas others think it developed in parallel with other variants in a population not monitored by sequencing (Kupferschmidt, 2021).”
BackgroundWhat Learned from Omicron Sub-Variants BQ.1 and BQ.1.1Preprint
Mustafa, M. I., & Makhawi, A. M. (2022) · Preprints.org · doi:10.20944/preprints202210.0361.v1 · Cited by 5
Metadata
- Authors
- Kupferschmidt, K.
- Corresponding author
- Kupferschmidt, Kai
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2021-12-03
- Volume
- 374
- Issue
- 6572
- Pages
- 1179-1179
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W3215456302
- Cited by
- 154
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 86 · 2021: 17
- FWCI
- 11.63
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Modeling and Simulation › COVID-19 epidemiological studies
- Keywords
- Omicron variant, SARS-CoV-2, viral evolution, COVID-19 pandemic
- MeSH terms
- Vaccination Coverage, COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 Vaccines, Persistent Infection, Animals, Humans, Mutation, Genome, Viral, Immunocompromised Host, Evolution, Molecular
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