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Cited by 222

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Effect of 20 mph traffic speed zones on road injuries in London, 1986-2006: controlled interrupted time series analysis

Open access
Grundy, C., Steinbach, R., Edwards, P., Green, J., Armstrong, B., Wilkinson, P.·2009·BMJ

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the effect of the introduction of 20 mph (32 km an hour) traffic speed zones on road collisions, injuries, and fatalities in London. DESIGN: Observational study based on analysis of geographically coded police data on road casualties, 1986-2006. Analyses were made of longitudinal changes in counts of road injuries within each of 119 029 road segments with at least one casualty with conditional fixed effects Poisson models. Estimates of the effect of introducing 20 mph zones on casualties within those zones and in adjacent areas were adjusted for the underlying downward trend in traffic casualties. SETTING: London. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: All casualties from road collisions; those killed and seriously injured (KSI). RESULTS: The introduction of 20 mph zones was associated with a 41.9% (95% confidence interval 36.0% to 47.8%) reduction in road casualties, after adjustment for underlying time trends. The percentage reduction was greatest in younger children and greater for the category of killed or seriously injured casualties than for minor injuries. There was no evidence of casualty migration to areas adjacent to 20 mph zones, where casualties also fell slightly by an average of 8.0% (4.4% to 11.5%). Conclusions 20 mph zones are effective measures for reducing road injuries and deaths.

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Metadata

Authors
Grundy, C., Steinbach, R., Edwards, P., Green, J., Armstrong, B., & Wilkinson, P.
Venue
BMJ
Publisher
BMJ
Published
2009-12-10
Volume
339
Issue
dec10 3
Pages
b4469-b4469
ISSN
  • 0007-1447 (ISSN-L)
  • 0959-8138
  • 1468-5833
OpenAlex
W2059464740
Cited by
222
References
2
FWCI
36.59
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
hybrid

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Effect of 20 mph traffic speed zones on road injuries in London, 1986-2006: controlled interrupted time series analysis. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1136/bmj.b4469
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Grundy, C., Steinbach, R., Edwards, P., Green, J., Armstrong, B., & Wilkinson, P. (2009). Effect of 20 mph traffic speed zones on road injuries in London, 1986-2006: controlled interrupted time series analysis. BMJ. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.b4469

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