Arterial events, venous thromboembolism, thrombocytopenia, and bleeding after vaccination with Oxford-AstraZeneca ChAdOx1-S in Denmark and Norway: population based cohort study
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Objective: To assess rates of cardiovascular and haemostatic events in the first 28 days after vaccination with the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine ChAdOx1-S in Denmark and Norway and to compare them with rates observed in the general populations. Design: Population based cohort study. Setting: Nationwide healthcare registers in Denmark and Norway. Participants: All people aged 18-65 years who received a first vaccination with ChAdOx1-S from 9 February 2021 to 11 March 2021. The general populations of Denmark (2016-18) and Norway (2018-19) served as comparator cohorts. Main outcome measures: Observed 28 day rates of hospital contacts for incident arterial events, venous thromboembolism, thrombocytopenia/coagulation disorders, and bleeding among vaccinated people compared with expected rates, based on national age and sex specific background rates from the general populations of the two countries. Results: The vaccinated cohorts comprised 148 792 people in Denmark (median age 45 years, 80% women) and 132 472 in Norway (median age 44 years, 78% women), who received their first dose of ChAdOx1-S. Among 281 264 people who received ChAdOx1-S, the standardised morbidity ratio for arterial events was 0.97 (95% confidence interval 0.77 to 1.20). 59 venous thromboembolic events were observed in the vaccinated cohort compared with 30 expected based on the incidence rates in the general population, corresponding to a standardised morbidity ratio of 1.97 (1.50 to 2.54) and 11 (5.6 to 17.0) excess events per 100 000 vaccinations. A higher than expected rate of cerebral venous thrombosis was observed: standardised morbidity ratio 20.25 (8.14 to 41.73); an excess of 2.5 (0.9 to 5.2) events per 100 000 vaccinations. The standardised morbidity ratio for any thrombocytopenia/coagulation disorders was 1.52 (0.97 to 2.25) and for any bleeding was 1.23 (0.97 to 1.55). 15 deaths were observed in the vaccine cohort compared with 44 expected. Conclusions: Among recipients of ChAdOx1-S, increased rates of venous thromboembolic events, including cerebral venous thrombosis, were observed. For the remaining safety outcomes, results were largely reassuring, with slightly higher rates of thrombocytopenia/coagulation disorders and bleeding, which could be influenced by increased surveillance of vaccine recipients. The absolute risks of venous thromboembolic events were, however, small, and the findings should be interpreted in the light of the proven beneficial effects of the vaccine, the context of the given country, and the limitations to the generalisability of the study findings.
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Observed vs. expected analysis was integral in identifying thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS) as a safety signal, prompting the suspension of use of ChAdOx1 on March 11, 2021, in Denmark and Norway.
“Observed versus (vs.) expected (OE) analysis was integral in identifying thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS) as a safety signal, prompting the suspension of use of the ChAdOx1 (AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine) on March 11, 2021, in Denmark and Norway [7,8].”
From COVID-19 vaccines and adverse events of special interest: A multinational Global Vaccine Data Network (GVDN) cohort study of 99 million vaccinated individuals (2024) · cites this paper as [7]
The Main analysis compares observed with expected thrombotic events, and the Methods (Study cohorts) say vaccination programmes in Denmark and Norway halted on 11 March 2021 owing to safety concerns. But the paper does not say that an observed-versus-expected analysis identified TTS and prompted that halt. The Introduction instead describes early case reports of a possible syndrome and says whether those cases exceeded expected rates was yet to be established. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThrombocytopenia and ITP were included due to their association with TTS and reports of ITP as an independent safety signal.
“Thrombocytopenia and immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) were also included due to their association with TTS and reports of ITP as an independent safety signal [7,19,20].”
From COVID-19 vaccines and adverse events of special interest: A multinational Global Vaccine Data Network (GVDN) cohort study of 99 million vaccinated individuals (2024) · cites this paper as [7]
The Discussion (Comparison with other studies; page unavailable) identifies thrombocytopenia as part of TTS, and the Results (Main analysis; page unavailable) report thrombocytopenia as a safety outcome. Our copy does not identify immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) as a separate outcome or report it as an independent safety signal. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThirteen conditions representing AESI were selected from the Brighton Collaboration SPEAC Project list and in response to safety signals of thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome.
“Thirteen conditions representing AESI of specific relevance to the current landscape of real-world vaccine pharmacovigilance were selected from the list compiled by the Brighton Collaboration SPEAC Project [3] and in response to the safety signals of thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome [7,8] (Supplementary Table 2).”
An increased OE ratio was observed in a nationwide cohort study from Denmark and Norway, with increased rates of venous thromboembolic events, including CVST with an excess rate of 2.5 events per 100,000 vaccinations following ChAdOx1.
“An increased OE ratio was observed in a nationwide cohort study from Denmark and Norway, with increased rates of venous thromboembolic events, including CVST with an excess rate of 2.5 events per 100,000 vaccina tions following ChAdOx1 [7].”
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“Observed versus (vs.) expected (OE) analysis was integral in identifying thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS) as a safety signal, prompting the suspension of use of the ChAdOx1 (AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine) on March 11, 2021, in Denmark and Norway [7,8].”
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- Authors
- Pottegård, A., Lund, L. C., Karlstad, Ø., Dahl, J., Andersen, M., Hallas, J., Lidegaard, Ø., Tapia, G., Gulseth, H. L., Ruiz, P. L.-D., Watle, S. V., Mikkelsen, A. P., Pedersen, L., Sørensen, H. T., Thomsen, R. W., & Hviid, A.
- Affiliations
- University of Southern Denmark (DK)
- Norwegian Institute of Public Health (NO)
- University of Copenhagen (DK)
- Aarhus University (DK)
- Statens Serum Institut (DK)
- Corresponding author
- Pottegård, Anton
- ORCID
- Venue
- BMJ
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2021-05-05
- Volume
- 373
- Pages
- n1114
- ISSN
- 1756-1833 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC8097496
- OpenAlex
- W3157488589
- Cited by
- 401
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 25 · 2024: 48 · 2023: 53 · 2022: 148 · 2021: 122 · 2020: 1
- FWCI
- 29.38
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- BMJ (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Research at the University of Copenhagen (University of Copenhagen) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- University of Southern Denmark Research Portal (University of Southern Denmark) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Funders
- Novo Nordisk Fonden (NFF15SA0018404)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Heparin-Induced Thrombocytopenia and Thrombosis
- Keywords
- vaccine safety, arterial events, venous thromboembolism, cerebral venous thrombosis, thrombocytopenia, hemorrhage, coagulopathy, Denmark, Norway, young adults, women, vaccine adverse events
- MeSH terms
- COVID-19 Vaccines, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Cerebral Arterial Diseases, Denmark, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Hemorrhage, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Norway, Registries, Thrombocytopenia, Incidence, Venous Thrombosis, Venous Thromboembolism, Young Adult
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