Safety and efficacy of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine (AZD1222) against SARS-CoV-2: an interim analysis of four randomised controlled trials in Brazil, South Africa, and the UK
Open accessAbstract
Background A safe and efficacious vaccine against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), if deployed with high coverage, could contribute to the control of the COVID-19 pandemic. We evaluated the safety and efficacy of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine in a pooled interim analysis of four trials. Methods This analysis includes data from four ongoing blinded, randomised, controlled trials done across the UK, Brazil, and South Africa. Participants aged 18 years and older were randomly assigned (1:1) to ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine or control (meningococcal group A, C, W, and Y conjugate vaccine or saline). Participants in the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 group received two doses containing 5 × 10 10 viral particles (standard dose; SD/SD cohort); a subset in the UK trial received a half dose as their first dose (low dose) and a standard dose as their second dose (LD/SD cohort). The primary efficacy analysis included symptomatic COVID-19 in seronegative participants with a nucleic acid amplification test-positive swab more than 14 days after a second dose of vaccine. Participants were analysed according to treatment received, with data cutoff on Nov 4, 2020. Vaccine efficacy was calculated as 1 - relative risk derived from a robust Poisson regression model adjusted for age. Studies are registered at ISRCTN89951424 and ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04324606, NCT04400838, and NCT04444674. Findings Between April 23 and Nov 4, 2020, 23 848 participants were enrolled and 11 636 participants (7548 in the UK, 4088 in Brazil) were included in the interim primary efficacy analysis. In participants who received two standard doses, vaccine efficacy was 62·1% (95% CI 41·0–75·7; 27 [0·6%] of 4440 in the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 group vs 71 [1·6%] of 4455 in the control group) and in participants who received a low dose followed by a standard dose, efficacy was 90·0% (67·4–97·0; three [0·2%] of 1367 vs 30 [2·2%] of 1374; p interaction =0·010). Overall vaccine efficacy across both groups was 70·4% (95·8% CI 54·8–80·6; 30 [0·5%] of 5807 vs 101 [1·7%] of 5829). From 21 days after the first dose, there were ten cases hospitalised for COVID-19, all in the control arm; two were classified as severe COVID-19, including one death. There were 74 341 person-months of safety follow-up (median 3·4 months, IQR 1·3–4·8): 175 severe adverse events occurred in 168 participants, 84 events in the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 group and 91 in the control group. Three events were classified as possibly related to a vaccine: one in the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 group, one in the control group, and one in a participant who remains masked to group allocation. Interpretation ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 has an acceptable safety profile and has been found to be efficacious against symptomatic COVID-19 in this interim analysis of ongoing clinical trials. Funding UK Research and Innovation, National Institutes for Health Research (NIHR), Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Lemann Foundation, Rede D'Or, Brava and Telles Foundation, NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Thames Valley and South Midland's NIHR Clinical Research Network, and AstraZeneca.
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The interim phase 3 results of other COVID-19 vaccines have shown efficacies ranging from 62.1% to 95%.
“The interim phase 3 results of other COVID-19 vaccines have shown efficacies ranging from 62·1% to 95%.24, 25, 26, 27, 28”
From Efficacy and safety of an inactivated whole-virion SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac): interim results of a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial in Turkey (2021) · cites this paper as [27]
Table 2 in the Results reports 62·1% efficacy for standard-dose ChAdOx1 recipients in this interim analysis. The Research in context passage reports 95% for Pfizer/BioNTech, but identifies that figure as coming from a primary analysis, not an interim analysis. Thus the range is supported, but the sentence's 'interim' qualifier does not fit both endpoints. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredA single dose of adenovirus-vectored vaccines induces polyfunctional antibodies that neutralize virus and mediate other antibody-dependent effector functions, plus strong T cell responses.
“After a single dose, the adenovirus vaccines elicit polyfunctional antibodies that are capable of mediating virus neutralization and of driving other antibody-dependent effector functions, as well as potent T cell responses.”
From Immunological mechanisms of vaccine-induced protection against COVID-19 in humans (2021) · cites this paper as [87]
ChAdOx-1 nCoV-19 had about 70% efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19 after one or two doses.
“There was ~70% efficacy for ChAdOx-1 nCoV-19 (after one or two doses)87,88 and Ad26.COV2.S (after one dose)89 (Table 1).”
From Immunological mechanisms of vaccine-induced protection against COVID-19 in humans (2021) · cites this paper as [87]
Vaccines lacking pre-fusion stabilization, such as ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, have demonstrated efficacy.
“However, vaccines without this stabilization (for example, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19) have proven efficacy and so the importance of this for COVID-19 vaccines is uncertain.”
From Immunological mechanisms of vaccine-induced protection against COVID-19 in humans (2021) · cites this paper as [87]
A second dose provides additional benefit for Gam-COVID-Vac, with efficacy around 90%.
“Additional benefit of a second dose is evident for Gam-COVID-Vac, when efficacy is ~90%87–90 (Table 1; see Supplementary Figure 1).”
From Immunological mechanisms of vaccine-induced protection against COVID-19 in humans (2021) · cites this paper as [87]
ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 was authorised for emergency use in the UK on Dec 30, 2020, based on a regimen of two standard doses administered 4-12 weeks apart for adults aged 18 years and older.
“ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 was authorised for emergency use in the UK on Dec 30, 2020,14 on the basis of the interim analysis data,4 based on a regimen of two standard doses administered 4–12 weeks apart for adults aged 18 years and older”
The results of the Gam-COVID-Vac trial are not dissimilar to those reported for other vaccines.
“The results of this Gam-COVID-Vac trial are not dissimilar to those reported for the other vaccines.”
The ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine had reported efficacy of 62.1% after two standard doses, 90.0% after a low dose followed by a standard dose, and 70.4% overall.
“Among participants who received two standard doses, the reported efficacy of the vaccine was 62·1%, and in participants who received a low dose followed by a standard dose, efficacy was 90·0%, resulting in overall efficacy of 70·4%.2”
The AstraZeneca ChAdOx1 vaccine has been associated with a partial loss of neutralizing antibody activity against B.1.1.7 and a large loss of neutralizing activity against B.1.351.
“Concerning vaccination responses, the AstraZeneca ChAdOx1 vaccine has been associated with a partial loss of neutralizing antibody activity against B.1.1.715 and a large loss of neutralizing activity against B.1.351.26”
From Impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants on the total CD4+ and CD8+ T cell reactivity in infected or vaccinated individuals (2021) · cites this paper as [26]
ChAdOx1 maintains efficacy against B.1.1.7 but has a major loss in efficacy against mild COVID-19 with the B.1.351 variant.
“ChAdOx1 maintains efficacy against B.1.1.724,27 but has a major loss in efficacy against mild COVID-19 with the B.1.351 variant.26”
From Impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants on the total CD4+ and CD8+ T cell reactivity in infected or vaccinated individuals (2021) · cites this paper as [26]
Robust CD4+ and CD8+ T cell memory is induced after COVID-19, and multiple COVID-19 vaccines elicit CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses.
“Robust CD4+ and CD8+ T cell memory is induced after COVID-19,22,39, 40, 41 and multiple COVID-19 vaccines elicit CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses.26,42, 43, 44, 45”
From Impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants on the total CD4+ and CD8+ T cell reactivity in infected or vaccinated individuals (2021) · cites this paper as [26]
Two-dose vaccine effectiveness against either variant was lower with ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 than with BNT162b2.
“The effectiveness with two doses of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine was lower than with the BNT162b2 vaccine; however, with the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine, the difference in effectiveness between the alpha and delta variants was small (74.5% [95% CI, 68.4 to 79.4] and 67.0% [95% CI, 61.3 to 71.8], respectively).”
From Effectiveness of Covid-19 Vaccines against the B.1.617.2 (Delta) Variant (2021) · cites this paper as [8]
The two distinct analytic approaches used in the study gave broadly similar results.
“We used two distinct analytic approaches that gave broadly similar results, and findings with our control analysis (using the alpha variant) are consistent with those that have been reported previously.7,8,10,17”
From Effectiveness of Covid-19 Vaccines against the B.1.617.2 (Delta) Variant (2021) · cites this paper as [8]
The study's control analysis using the alpha variant produced findings consistent with previously reported estimates.
“We used two distinct analytic approaches that gave broadly similar results, and findings with our control analysis (using the alpha variant) are consistent with those that have been reported previously.7,8,10,17”
From Effectiveness of Covid-19 Vaccines against the B.1.617.2 (Delta) Variant (2021) · cites this paper as [8]
Data from the ChAdOx1-S trial suggests that protection might be greater with a longer dosing interval.
“Data from the ChAdOx1-S trial suggests that protection might be greater with a longer dosing interval.”
The ChAdOx1 trial reported protection against symptomatic infection between 62.1% and 90% over 2 months, and the BNT162b2 phase 3 trial reported 95% protection over 3 months.
“The ChAdOx1 trial reported protection against symptomatic infection (COVID-19 typical symptoms) of between 62·1% and 90% over 2 months of follow-up, and the BNT162b2 vaccine phase 3 results reported 95% protection over 3 months of follow-up.28, 29”
The efficacy against asymptomatic infection using sequenced swabs was higher than the previously published estimate of 27% based on NAAT positivity alone, and substantially higher than the efficacy seen in asymptomatic cases that were not sequenced (6%) or for whom no sequencing result could be obtained (−27%).
“It was higher than our previously published estimate of 27%, which was based on NAAT positivity alone,3 and substantially higher than the efficacy seen in the asymptomatic cases that have not been sequenced (6%), or in those for whom no result from sequencing could be obtained (−27%).”
Protection was also shown against non-B.1.1.7 strains, the majority of which were due to the B.1.177 lineage.
“In line with previously published data,3, 46 protection was also shown against the non-B.1.1.7 strains, the majority of which were due to the B.1.177 lineage.”
Most large Covid-19 vaccine efficacy trials have reported notably increased vaccine efficacy against severe versus mild to moderate disease.
“Most large Covid-19 vaccine efficacy trials have reported notably increased vaccine efficacy against severe versus mild to moderate disease.4–7”
From Efficacy of NVX-CoV2373 Covid-19 Vaccine against the B.1.351 Variant (2021) · cites this paper as [7]
AstraZeneca/Oxford ChAdOx1 interim phase 3 results showed per-protocol efficacy against COVID-19 of 62% and overall efficacy of 70%, with 131 total cases.
“Per protocol, efficacy against COVID-19 was 62% and overall efficacy was 70% (131 total cases)”
From Adaptive immunity to SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 (2021) · cites this paper as Voysey et al., 2021
Efficacy of ChAdOx1 against asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection was 27%.
“Efficacy against asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection was 27%.”
From Adaptive immunity to SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 (2021) · cites this paper as Voysey et al., 2021
Interim efficacy of ChAdOx1 was 90% in a subgroup that inadvertently received a lower priming dose.
“Interim efficacy was 90% in a subgroup of the clinical trial that inadvertently received a lower priming dose”
From Adaptive immunity to SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 (2021) · cites this paper as Voysey et al., 2021
Vaccine efficacy was higher than that reported for adenoviral vector vaccines.
“The vaccine efficacy was also greater than that reported for the adenoviral vector vaccines.5,6”
From Safety and Efficacy of NVX-CoV2373 Covid-19 Vaccine (2021) · cites this paper as [5]
Phase 3 clinical trials showed that several Covid-19 vaccines were efficacious and had an acceptable safety profile.
“Phase 3 clinical trials showed that several Covid-19 vaccines were efficacious and had an acceptable safety profile.2-4”
From Safety of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in a Nationwide Setting (2021) · cites this paper as [4]
No cases of myocarditis were reported in the BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, or ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 phase 3 clinical trials.
“Although no cases of myocarditis were reported in the BNT162b2 (Pfizer–BioNTech),2 mRNA-1273 (Moderna),3 or ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AstraZeneca)4 phase 3 clinical trials”
From Safety of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in a Nationwide Setting (2021) · cites this paper as [4]
The ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 trial found efficacy against symptomatic disease of 76% at 22-90 days after at least one standard dose.
“The ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 trial found efficacy against symptomatic disease of 76% at 22–90 days after at least one standard dose.”
From Vaccine side-effects and SARS-CoV-2 infection after vaccination in users of the COVID Symptom Study app in the UK: a prospective observational study (2021) · cites this paper as [6]
The study population was considerably older than the study populations of the phase 3 trials.
“However, our study population was considerably older than the study populations of the phase 3 trials.3, 6, 7”
From Vaccine side-effects and SARS-CoV-2 infection after vaccination in users of the COVID Symptom Study app in the UK: a prospective observational study (2021) · cites this paper as [6]
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Novel approaches for vaccine development
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“7) are consistent with those previously reported (7, 8, 10, 17).”
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“There are similarities between our results and those seen in the phase 3 clinical trials.(4, 5, 27) With BNT162b2, as in the trial, we begin to see a decline in the odds of testing positive among vaccinees from 10-13 days after the first dose.”
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SARS-CoV-2-specific T cells in infection and vaccination
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A comprehensive analysis of the efficacy and safety of COVID-19 vaccines
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Exosome-mediated mRNA delivery in vivo is safe and can be used to induce SARS-CoV-2 immunity
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Neutralising antibodies predict protection from severe COVID-19
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Cardiovascular Adverse Events Reported from COVID-19 Vaccines: A Study Based on WHO Database
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- Authors
- Voysey, M., Clemens, S. A. C., Madhi, S. A., Weckx, L. Y., Folegatti, P. M., Aley, P. K., Angus, B., Baillie, V. L., Barnabas, S. L., Bhorat, Q. E., Bibi, S., Briner, C., Cicconi, P., Collins, A. M., Colin-Jones, R., Cutland, C. L., Darton, T. C., Dheda, K., Duncan, C. J. A., Emary, K. R. W., Ewer, K. J., Fairlie, L., Faust, S. N., Feng, S., Ferreira, D. M., Finn, A., Goodman, A. L., Green, C. M., Green, C. A., Heath, P. T., Hill, C., Hill, H., Hirsch, I., Hodgson, S. H. C., Izu, A., Jackson, S., Jenkin, D., Joe, C. C. D., Kerridge, S., Koen, A., Kwatra, G., Lazarus, R., Lawrie, A. M., Lelliott, A., Libri, V., Lillie, P. J., Mallory, R., Mendes, A. V. A., Milan, E. P., Minassian, A. M., McGregor, A., Morrison, H., Mujadidi, Y. F., Nana, A., O’Reilly, P. J., Padayachee, S. D., Pittella, A., Plested, E., Pollock, K. M., Ramasamy, M. N., Rhead, S., Schwarzbold, A. V., Singh, N., Smith, A., Song, R., Snape, M. D., Sprinz, E., Sutherland, R. K., Tarrant, R., Thomson, E. C., Török, M. E., Toshner, M., Turner, D. P. J., Vekemans, J., Villafana, T. L., Watson, M. E. E., Williams, C. J., Douglas, A. D., Hill, A. V. S., Lambe, T., Gilbert, S. C., Pollard, A. J., Aban, M., Abayomi, F., Abeyskera, K., Aboagye, J., Adam, M., Adams, K., Adamson, J., Adelaja, Y. A., Adewetan, G., Adlou, S., Ahmed, K., Akhalwaya, Y., Akhalwaya, S., Alcock, A., Ali, A., Allen, E. R., Allen, L., Almeida, T. C. D. S. C., Alves, M. P. S., Amorim, F., Andritsou, F., Anslow, R., Appleby, M., Arbe-Barnes, E. H., Ariaans, M. P., Arns, B., Arruda, L., Azi, P., Azi, L., Babbage, G., Bailey, C., Baker, K. F., Baker, M., Baker, N., Baker, P., Baldwin, L., Baleanu, I., Bandeira, D., Bara, A., Barbosa, M. A. S., Barker, D., Barlow, G. D., Barnes, E., Barr, A. S., Barrett, J. R., Barrett, J., Bates, L., Batten, A., Beadon, K., Beales, E., Beckley, R., Belij-Rammerstorfer, S., Bell, J., Bellamy, D., Bellei, N., Belton, S., Berg, A., Bermejo, L., Berrie, E., Berry, L., Berzenyi, D., Beveridge, A., Bewley, K. R., Bexhell, H., Bhikha, S., Bhorat, A. E., Bhorat, Z. E., Bijker, E., Birch, G., Birch, S., Bird, A., Bird, O., Bisnauthsing, K., Bittaye, M., Blackstone, K., Blackwell, L., Bletchly, H., Blundell, C. L., Blundell, S. R., Bodalia, P., Boettger, B. C., Bolam, E., Boland, E., Bormans, D., Borthwick, N., Bowring, F., Boyd, A., Bradley, P., Brenner, T., Brown, P., Brown, C., Brown-O'Sullivan, C., Bruce, S., Brunt, E., Buchan, R., Budd, W., Bulbulia, Y. A., Bull, M., Burbage, J., Burhan, H., Burn, A., Buttigieg, K. R., Byard, N., Cabera Puig, I., Calderon, G., Calvert, A., Camara, S., Cao, M., Cappuccini, F., Cardoso, J. R., Carr, M., Carroll, M. W., Carson-Stevens, A., Carvalho, Y. D. M., Carvalho, J. A. M., Casey, H. R., Cashen, P., Castro, T., Castro, L. C., Cathie, K., Cavey, A., Cerbino-Neto, J., Chadwick, J., Chapman, D., Charlton, S., Chelysheva, I., Chester, O., Chita, S., Cho, J.-S., Cifuentes, L., Clark, E., Clark, M., Clarke, A., Clutterbuck, E. A., Collins, S. L. K., Conlon, C. P., Connarty, S., Coombes, N., Cooper, C., Cooper, R., Cornelissen, L., Corrah, T., Cosgrove, C., Cox, T., Crocker, W. E. M., Crosbie, S., Cullen, L., Cullen, D., Cunha, D. R. M. F., Cunningham, C., Cuthbertson, F. C., Da Guarda, S. N. F., da Silva, L. P., Damratoski, B. E., Danos, Z., Dantas, M. T. D. C., Darroch, P., Datoo, M. S., Datta, C., Davids, M., Davies, S. L., Davies, H., Davis, E., Davis, J., Davis, J., De Nobrega, M. M. D., De Oliveira Kalid, L. M., Dearlove, D., Demissie, T., Desai, A., Di Marco, S., Di Maso, C., Dinelli, M. I. S., Dinesh, T., Docksey, C., Dold, C., Dong, T., Donnellan, F. R., Dos Santos, T., dos Santos, T. G., Dos Santos, E. P., Douglas, N., Downing, C., Drake, J., Drake-Brockman, R., Driver, K., Drury, R., Dunachie, S. J., Durham, B. S., Dutra, L., Easom, N. J. W., van Eck, S., Edwards, M., Edwards, N. J., El Muhanna, O. M., Elias, S. C., Elmore, M., English, M., Esmail, A., Essack, Y. M., Farmer, E., Farooq, M., Farrar, M., Farrugia, L., Faulkner, B., Fedosyuk, S., Felle, S., Feng, S., Ferreira Da Silva, C., Field, S., Fisher, R., Flaxman, A., Fletcher, J., Fofie, H., Fok, H., Ford, K. J., Fowler, J., Fraiman, P. H. A., Francis, E., Franco, M. M., Frater, J., Freire, M. S. M., Fry, S. H., Fudge, S., Furze, J., Fuskova, M., Galian-Rubio, P., Galiza, E., Garlant, H., Gavrila, M., Geddes, A., Gibbons, K. A., Gilbride, C., Gill, H., Glynn, S., Godwin, K., Gokani, K., Goldoni, U. C., Goncalves, M., Gonzalez, I. G. S., Goodwin, J., Goondiwala, A., Gordon-Quayle, K., Gorini, G., Grab, J., Gracie, L., Greenland, M., Greenwood, N., Greffrath, J., Groenewald, M. M., Grossi, L., Gupta, G., Hackett, M., Hallis, B., Hamaluba, M., Hamilton, E., Hamlyn, J., Hammersley, D., Hanrath, A. T., Hanumunthadu, B., Harris, S. A., Harris, C., Harris, T., Harrison, T. D., Harrison, D., Hart, T. C., Hartnell, B., Hassan, S., Haughney, J., Hawkins, S., Hay, J., Head, I., Henry, J., Hermosin Herrera, M., Hettle, D. B., Hill, J., Hodges, G., Horne, E., Hou, M. M., Houlihan, C., Howe, E., Howell, N., Humphreys, J., Humphries, H. E., Hurley, K., Huson, C., Hyder-Wright, A., Hyams, C., Ikram, S., Ishwarbhai, A., Ivan, M., Iveson, P., Iyer, V., Jackson, F., De Jager, J., Jaumdally, S., Jeffers, H., Jesudason, N., Jones, B., Jones, K., Jones, E., Jones, C., Jorge, M. R., Jose, A., Joshi, A., Júnior, E. A. M. S., Kadziola, J., Kailath, R., Kana, F., Karampatsas, K., Kasanyinga, M., Keen, J., Kelly, E. J., Kelly, D. M., Kelly, D., Kelly, S., Kerr, D., Kfouri, R. D. Á., Khan, L., Khozoee, B., Kidd, S., Killen, A., Kinch, J., Kinch, P., King, L. D. W., King, T. B., Kingham, L., Klenerman, P., Knapper, F., Knight, J. C., Knott, D., Koleva, S., Lang, M., Lang, G., Larkworthy, C. W., Larwood, J. P. J., Law, R., Lazarus, E. M., Leach, A., Lees, E. A., Lemm, N.-M., Lessa, A., Leung, S., Li, Y., Lias, A. M., Liatsikos, K., Linder, A., Lipworth, S., Liu, S., Liu, X., Lloyd, A., Lloyd, S., Loew, L., Lopez Ramon, R., Lora, L., Lowthorpe, V., Luz, K., MacDonald, J. C., MacGregor, G., Madhavan, M., Mainwaring, D. O., Makambwa, E., Makinson, R., Malahleha, M., Malamatsho, R., Mallett, G., Mansatta, K., Maoko, T., Mapetla, K., Marchevsky, N. G., Marinou, S., Marlow, E., Marques, G. N., Marriott, P., Marshall, R. P., Marshall, J. L., Martins, F. J., Masenya, M., Masilela, M., Masters, S. K., Mathew, M., Matlebjane, H., Matshidiso, K., Mazur, O., Mazzella, A., McCaughan, H., McEwan, J., McGlashan, J., McInroy, L., McIntyre, Z., McLenaghan, D., McRobert, N., McSwiggan, S., Megson, C., Mehdipour, S., Meijs, W., Mendonça, R. N. Á., Mentzer, A. J., Mirtorabi, N., Mitton, C., Mnyakeni, S., Moghaddas, F., Molapo, K., Moloi, M., Moore, M., Moraes-Pinto, M. I., Moran, M., Morey, E., Morgans, R., Morris, S., Morris, S., Morris, H. C., Morselli, F., Morshead, G., Morter, R., Mottal, L., Moultrie, A., Moya, N., Mpelembue, M., Msomi, S., Mugodi, Y., Mukhopadhyay, E., Muller, J., Munro, A., Munro, C., Murphy, S., Mweu, P., Myasaki, C. H., Naik, G., Naker, K., Nastouli, E., Nazir, A., Ndlovu, B., Neffa, F., Njenga, C., Noal, H., Noé, A., Novaes, G., Nugent, F. L., Nunes, G., O'Brien, K., O'Connor, D., Odam, M., Oelofse, S., Oguti, B., Olchawski, V., Oldfield, N. J., Oliveira, M. G., Oliveira, C., Oosthuizen, A., O'Reilly, P., Osborne, P., Owen, D. R. J., Owen, L., Owens, D., Owino, N., Pacurar, M., Paiva, B. V. B., Palhares, E. M. F., Palmer, S., Parkinson, S., Parracho, H. M. R. T., Parsons, K., Patel, D., Patel, B., Patel, F., Patel, K., Patrick-Smith, M., Payne, R. O., Peng, Y., Penn, E. J., Pennington, A., Peralta Alvarez, M. P., Perring, J., Perry, N., Perumal, R., Petkar, S., Philip, T., Phillips, D. J., Phillips, J., Phohu, M. K., Pickup, L., Pieterse, S., Piper, J., Pipini, D., Plank, M., Du Plessis, J., Pollard, S., Pooley, J., Pooran, A., Poulton, I., Powers, C., Presa, F. B., Price, D. A., Price, V., Primeira, M., Proud, P. C., Provstgaard-Morys, S., Pueschel, S., Pulido, D., Quaid, S., Rabara, R., Radford, A., Radia, K., Rajapaska, D., Rajeswaran, T., Ramos, A. S. F., Ramos Lopez, F., Rampling, T., Rand, J., Ratcliffe, H., Rawlinson, T., Rea, D., Rees, B., Reiné, J., Resuello-Dauti, M., Reyes Pabon, E., Ribiero, C. M., Ricamara, M., Richter, A., Ritchie, N., Ritchie, A. J., Robbins, A. J., Roberts, H., Robinson, R. E., Robinson, H., Rocchetti, T. T., Rocha, B. P., Roche, S., Rollier, C., Rose, L., Ross Russell, A. L., Rossouw, L., Royal, S., Rudiansyah, I., Ruiz, S., Saich, S., Sala, C., Sale, J., Salman, A. M., Salvador, N., Salvador, S., Sampaio, M., Samson, A. D., Sanchez-Gonzalez, A., Sanders, H., Sanders, K., Santos, E., Santos Guerra, M. F. S., Satti, I., Saunders, J. E., Saunders, C., Sayed, A., Schim van der Loeff, I., Schmid, A. B., Schofield, E., Screaton, G., Seddiqi, S., Segireddy, R. R., Senger, R., Serrano, S., Shah, R., Shaik, I., Sharpe, H. E., Sharrocks, K., Shaw, R., Shea, A., Shepherd, A., Shepherd, J. G., Shiham, F., Sidhom, E., Silk, S. E., da Silva Moraes, A. C., Silva-Junior, G., Silva-Reyes, L., Silveira, A. D., Silveira, M. B. V., Sinha, J., Skelly, D. T., Smith, D. C., Smith, N., Smith, H. E., Smith, D. J., Smith, C. C., Soares, A., Soares, T., Solórzano, C., Sorio, G. L., Sorley, K., Sosa-Rodriguez, T., Souza, C. M. C. D. L., Souza, B. S. D. F., Souza, A. R., Spencer, A. J., Spina, F., Spoors, L., Stafford, L., Stamford, I., Starinskij, I., Stein, R., Steven, J., Stockdale, L., Stockwell, L. V., Strickland, L. H., Stuart, A. C., Sturdy, A., Sutton, N., Szigeti, A., Tahiri-Alaoui, A., Tanner, R., Taoushanis, C., Tarr, A. W., Taylor, K., Taylor, U., Taylor, I. J., Taylor, J., te Water Naude, R., Themistocleous, Y., Themistocleous, A., Thomas, M., Thomas, K., Thomas, T. M., Thombrayil, A., Thompson, F., Thompson, A., Thompson, K., Thompson, A., Thomson, J., Thornton-Jones, V., Tighe, P. J., Tinoco, L. A., Tiongson, G., Tladinyane, B., Tomasicchio, M., Tomic, A., Tonks, S., Towner, J., Tran, N., Tree, J., Trillana, G., Trinham, C., Trivett, R., Truby, A., Tsheko, B. L., Turabi, A., Turner, R., Turner, C., Ulaszewska, M., Underwood, B. R., Varughese, R., Verbart, D., Verheul, M., Vichos, I., Vieira, T., Waddington, C. S., Walker, L., Wallis, E., Wand, M., Warbick, D., Wardell, T., Warimwe, G., Warren, S. C., Watkins, B., Watson, E., Webb, S., Webb-Bridges, A., Webster, A., Welch, J., Wells, J., West, A., White, C., White, R., Williams, P., Williams, R. L., Winslow, R., Woodyer, M., Worth, A. T., Wright, D., Wroblewska, M., Yao, A., Zimmer, R., Zizi, D., & Zuidewind, P.
- Affiliations
- University of Oxford (GB)
- University of Siena (IT)
- Universidade Federal de São Paulo (BR)
- University of the Witwatersrand (ZA)
- Stellenbosch University (ZA)
- Soweto CTC (ZA)
- Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine (GB)
- Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- University of Cape Town (ZA)
- Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- University of Bristol (GB)
- St Thomas' Hospital (GB)
- University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- St George's, University of London (GB)
- AstraZeneca (United Kingdom) (GB)
- North Bristol NHS Trust (GB)
- UCL Biomedical Research Centre (GB)
- University of Hull (GB)
- Escola Bahiana de Medicina e Saúde Pública (BR)
- Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (BR)
- London North West Healthcare NHS Trust (GB)
- Setshaba Research Centre (ZA)
- Universidade Unigranrio (BR)
- NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre (GB)
- Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (BR)
- Boston Children's Hospital (US)
- Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (BR)
- Western General Hospital (GB)
- MRC University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (GB)
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust (GB)
- Aneurin Bevan University Health Board (GB)
- University of London (GB)
- University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Pollard, Andrew J
- ORCID
- Voysey, Merryn
- Clemens, Sue Ann Costa
- Madhi, Shabir A
- Weckx, Lily Y
- Folegatti, Pedro M
- Aley, Parvinder K
- Angus, Brian
- Baillie, Vicky L
- Barnabas, Shaun L
- Bhorat, Qasim E
- Bibi, Sagida
- Briner, Carmen
- Cicconi, Paola
- Collins, Andrea M
- Cutland, Clare L
- Darton, Thomas C
- Dheda, Keertan
- Duncan, Christopher J A
- Emary, Katherine R W
- Ewer, Katie J
- Fairlie, Lee
- Faust, Saul N
- Ferreira, Daniela M
- Finn, Adam
- Goodman, Anna L
- Green, Catherine M
- Green, Christopher A
- Heath, Paul T
- Hill, Catherine
- Hill, Helen
- Hirsch, Ian
- Hodgson, Susanne H C
- Izu, Alane
- Jackson, Susan
- Jenkin, Daniel
- Joe, Carina C D
- Kerridge, Simon
- Koen, Anthonet
- Kwatra, Gaurav
- Lazarus, Rajeka
- Libri, Vincenzo
- Lillie, Patrick J
- Mallory, Raburn
- Mendes, Ana V A
- Milan, Eveline P
- Minassian, Angela M
- McGregor, Alastair
- Mujadidi, Yama F
- Nana, Anusha
- O’Reilly, Peter J
- Pittella, Ana
- Plested, Emma
- Pollock, Katrina M
- Ramasamy, Maheshi N
- Rhead, Sarah
- Schwarzbold, Alexandre V
- Song, Rinn
- Snape, Matthew D
- Sprinz, Eduardo
- Sutherland, Rebecca K
- Thomson, Emma C
- Török, M Estée
- Toshner, Mark
- Turner, David P J
- Vekemans, Johan
- Villafana, Tonya L
- Watson, Marion E E
- Williams, Christopher J
- Douglas, Alexander D
- Hill, Adrian V S
- Lambe, Teresa
- Gilbert, Sarah C
- Pollard, Andrew J
- Adams, Kirsty
- Adamson, James
- Ahmed, Khatija
- Allen, Elizabeth R.
- Allen, Lauren
- Andritsou, Foteini
- Anslow, Rachel
- Arbe-Barnes, Edward H.
- Ariaans, Mark P.
- Arns, Beatriz
- Baker, Kenneth F.
- Baker, Natalie
- Baker, Philip
- Bandeira, Danieli
- Barlow, Gavin D.
- Barnes, Eleanor
- Barr, Andrew S.
- Barrett, Jordan R.
- Beales, Emily
- Bellamy, Duncan
- Bellei, Nancy
- Berrie, Eleanor
- Bewley, Kevin R.
- Bijker, Else
- Birch, Sarah
- Bird, Olivia
- Bisnauthsing, Karen
- Bittaye, Mustapha
- Boettger, Bruno C.
- Bowring, Francesca
- Boyd, Amy
- Bradley, Penny
- Brown, Phillip
- Buchan, Ruaridh
- Burhan, Hassan
- Buttigieg, Karen R.
- Calvert, Anna
- Camara, Susana
- Cao, Michelangelo
- Cappuccini, Federica
- Carroll, Miles W.
- Carvalho, José A.M.
- Cathie, Katrina
- Cerbino-Neto, José
- Chadwick, Jim
- Charlton, Sue
- Chelysheva, Irina
- Cifuentes, Liliana
- Clark, Matthew
- Clarke, Andrea
- Clutterbuck, Elizabeth A.
- Conlon, Christopher P.
- Coombes, Naomi
- Cooper, Rachel
- Crosbie, Sarah
- Cullen, Lorraine
- Datoo, Mehreen S.
- Davies, Sarah L.
- Davies, Hannah
- Dearlove, David
- Desai, Amisha
- Dold, Christina
- Dong, Tao
- Donnellan, Francesca R.
- Driver, Kimberley
- Drury, Ruth
- Dunachie, Susanna J.
- Easom, Nicholas J.W.
- Edwards, Nick J.
- Elias, Sean C.
- Farrugia, Leonard
- Fedosyuk, Sofiya
- Felle, Sally
- Field, Samantha
- Fisher, Richard
- Flaxman, Amy
- Fok, Henry
- Fowler, Jamie
- Fraiman, Pedro H.A.
- Frater, John
- Fuskova, Michelle
- Galiza, Eva
- Garlant, Harriet
- Glynn, Sharon
- Gokani, Karishma
- Goncalves, Maria
- Gorini, Giacomo
- Greenland, Melanie
- Gupta, Gaurav
- Hallis, Bassam
- Hamaluba, Mainga
- Hammersley, Daniel
- Hanrath, Aidan T.
- Hanumunthadu, Brama
- Harris, Clair
- Hart, Thomas C.
- Haughney, John
- Hay, Jodie
- Head, Ian
- Henry, John
- Hettle, David B.
- Hill, Jennifer
- Horne, Elizea
- Hou, Mimi M.
- Houlihan, Catherine
- Howe, Elizabeth
- Humphries, Holly E.
- Hyder-Wright, Angela
- Hyams, Catherine
- Iveson, Poppy
- Jackson, Frederic
- Jaumdally, Shameem
- Jesudason, Natasha
- Jones, Kathryn
- Jones, Elizabeth
- Kailath, Reshma
- Karampatsas, Konstantinos
- Kasanyinga, Mwila
- Kelly, Elizabeth J.
- Kelly, Dearbhla M.
- Kelly, Sarah
- Kerr, David
- Kfouri, Renato de Ávila
- Khozoee, Baktash
- Killen, Annabel
- King, Thomas B.
- Kingham, Lucy
- Klenerman, Paul
- Knapper, Francesca
- Knight, Julian C.
- Larkworthy, Colin W.
- Larwood, Jessica P.J.
- Lazarus, Erica M.
- Leach, Amanda
- Lees, Emily A.
- Leung, Stephanie
- Li, Yuanyuan
- Lias, Amelia M.
- Linder, Aline
- Lipworth, Samuel
- Liu, Shuchang
- Liu, Xinxue
- Lloyd, Adam
- Loew, Lisa
- MacDonald, Jonathan C.
- MacGregor, Gordon
- Madhavan, Meera
- Makinson, Rebecca
- Malahleha, Mookho
- Mallett, Garry
- Mansatta, Kushal
- Marchevsky, Natalie G.
- Marinou, Spyridoula
- Marshall, Richard P.
- Marshall, Julia L.
- Masenya, Masebole
- Mazur, Olga
- Mazzella, Andrea
- McCaughan, Hugh
- Mentzer, Alexander J.
- Mirtorabi, Neginsadat
- Moghaddas, Fiona
- Moore, Maria
- Morris, Susan
- Morris, Helen C.
- Morselli, Franca
- Morter, Richard
- Moultrie, Andrew
- Mukhopadhyay, Ekta
- Munro, Alasdair
- Murphy, Sarah
- Naik, Gurudutt
- Naker, Kush
- Nastouli, Eleni
- Noal, Helena
- Noé, Andrés
- Nugent, Fay L.
- Oelofse, Suzette
- Oldfield, Neil J.
- Oliveira, Catarina
- Oosthuizen, Angela
- Owen, David R.J.
- Owens, Daniel
- Owino, Nelly
- Patel, Bhumika
- Patel, Faeezah
- Patrick-Smith, Maia
- Payne, Ruth O.
- Peng, Yanchun
- Perumal, Rubeshan
- Phillips, Daniel J.
- Pipini, Dimitra
- Pooran, Anil
- Poulton, Ian
- Powers, Claire
- Price, David A.
- Price, Vivien
- Proud, Pamela C.
- Provstgaard-Morys, Samuel
- Pulido, David
- Rajeswaran, Thurkka
- Ramos, Alberto San Francisco
- Rampling, Tommy
- Ratcliffe, Helen
- Rea, David
- Reiné, Jesús
- Richter, Alex
- Ritchie, Neil
- Ritchie, Adam J.
- Robbins, Alexander J.
- Robinson, Ryan E.
- Robinson, Hannah
- Rocchetti, Talita T.
- Roche, Sophie
- Rollier, Christine
- Royal, Simon
- Rudiansyah, Indra
- Sala, Claudia
- Salman, Ahmed M.
- Sanders, Helen
- Sanders, Katherine
- Satti, Iman
- Saunders, Jack E.
- Schmid, Annina B.
- Schofield, Ella
- Screaton, Gavin
- Senger, Roberta
- Sharpe, Hannah E.
- Sharrocks, Katherine
- Shaw, Robert
- Shepherd, James G.
- Sidhom, Emad
- Silk, Sarah E.
- Silva-Reyes, Laura
- Skelly, Donal T.
- Smith, Daniel C.
- Smith, Catherine C.
- Soares, Tiago
- Solórzano, Carla
- Souza, Bruno S.D.F.
- Souza, Alessandra R.
- Spencer, Alexandra J.
- Spoors, Louise
- Stafford, Lizzie
- Starinskij, Igor
- Stein, Ricardo
- Steven, Jill
- Stockdale, Lisa
- Strickland, Louise H.
- Szigeti, Anna
- Tanner, Rachel
- Taoushanis, Carol
- Tarr, Alexander W.
- Taylor, Iona Jennifer
- Themistocleous, Yrene
- Themistocleous, Andreas
- Thomas, Merin
- Thomas, Kelly
- Thomas, Tonia M.
- Thompson, Amber
- Thompson, Ameeka
- Tighe, Patrick J.
- Tomasicchio, Michele
- Tree, Julia
- Truby, Adam
- Ulaszewska, Marta
- Underwood, Benjamin R.
- Varughese, Rachel
- Vichos, Iason
- Waddington, Claire S.
- Wand, Matthew
- Warimwe, George
- Webster, Angela
- Welch, Jessica
- Williams, Paul
- Williams, Rachel L.
- Zimmer, Rafael
- Zuidewind, Peter
- Venue
- The Lancet
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2021-01
- Volume
- 397
- Issue
- 10269
- Pages
- 99-111
- ISSN
- 0099-5355 (ISSN-L)
- 0140-6736
- PMC
- PMC7723445
- OpenAlex
- W3111590711
- Cited by
- 4,616
- References
- 10
- Citations by year
- 2026: 87 · 2025: 206 · 2024: 346 · 2023: 658 · 2022: 1388 · 2021: 1889 · 2020: 38 · 2019: 1
- FWCI
- 130.43
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Update notices
- erratum (2021-01-09)
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Lancet (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Edinburgh Napier Research Repository (Edinburgh Napier University) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- LSTM Online Archive (Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine) (acceptedVersion)
- ENLIGHTEN (Jurnal Bimbingan dan Konseling Islam) (acceptedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (acceptedVersion)
- ORCA Online Research @Cardiff (Cardiff University) (acceptedVersion)
- St George's Online Research Archive (St George's University of London) (acceptedVersion)
- Bristol Research (University of Bristol) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- Arca - Repositório Institucional da Fiocruz (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Edinburgh Research Explorer (University of Edinburgh) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Edinburgh Napier Research Repository (Edinburgh Napier University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Apollo (University of Cambridge) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Apollo
- Funders
- Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
- AstraZeneca
- Wellcome Trust (211153/Z/18/Z, 095541/A/11/Z, 109965/Z/15/Z)
- Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust
- UK Research and Innovation
- Public Health Wales
- Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations
- Instituto D'Or de Pesquisa e Ensino
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (ACF-2018-09-008, NF-SI-0617-10036, NIHR201409, CL-2018-13-007, CL‐2017‐01‐004, CL-2016-13-008, ACF-2018-01-004, NIHR202437, CL-2017-14-503, ACF-2018-01-001, ACF-2018-13-005, NIHR300791, CL-2016-04-502, CL-2013-01-003, NF-SI-0515-10005, COV19OxfordVaccine01, NF-SI-0617-10139)
- Department of Health and Social Care
- Academy of Medical Sciences (AMS-CSF4-Torok, AMS-SGCL11-Duncan, SGL023\1089)
- University of Cambridge
- University of Oxford
- University of Nottingham
- University of Glasgow
- South African Medical Research Council
- Cambridge University Hospitals (146281)
- Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul
- Universidade Federal de Santa Maria
- Fundação Lemann
- Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00004/04, MC_UU_12023/22, MR/N008219/1, MC_PC_19026, MC_UU_12014/8, MR/L006588/1, MR/T001151/1, MR/T031891/1, MC_UU_00008/11, MR/L018942/1, MC_PC_18058)
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/R013756/1)
- NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- Social Sciences › Health › Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy
- Keywords
- ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine, AZD1222, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 vaccines, vaccine efficacy, vaccine safety, viral vector vaccines, Brazil, South Africa
- MeSH terms
- COVID-19, COVID-19 Vaccines, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Brazil, Double-Blind Method, Female, United Kingdom, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, South Africa, Single-Blind Method, Treatment Outcome, Young Adult
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Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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