The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Smoking attributable mortality for Taiwan and its projection to 2020 under different smoking scenarios
Open accessAbstract
OBJECTIVES: To estimate smoking attributable mortality (SAM) in Taiwan for the years 2001 through 2020 under scenarios of reductions in smoking rates by 0%, 2%, 4%, and 10% per year. METHOD: The smoking attributable fraction (SAF) was used to calculate SAM from the risk experience in following up a large cohort (86 580 people) in Taiwan. Smoking rates were based on the 2001 National Health Interview Survey and other national surveys. An average 10 year lag was assumed between smoking rates and subsequent mortality. RESULTS: In 2001, 18 803 deaths, or 1 out of 4 deaths (27%), in middle aged men (35-69 years old) were attributable to smoking. SAM has been increasing and will continue to increase if smoking rates remain constant or even if reduced annually by 2%. SAM would begin to decrease only if rates were to be reduced by at least 4% a year. CONCLUSIONS: The projected SAM in this study illustrates the seriousness of smoking caused mortality. Current efforts in tobacco control would lead to a progressive increase in SAM, unless efforts were doubled and smoking rates reduced by more than 4% a year. The urgency in requiring stronger tobacco control programmes to attenuate the staggering death tolls is compelling.
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Several studies assessed smoking-attributable mortality and non-fatal health outcomes for specific locations.
“while several assessed smoking-attributable mortality and non-fatal health outcomes for specific locations.36, 37”
From Smoking prevalence and attributable disease burden in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (2017) · cites this paper as [37]
The Results and “What this paper adds” sections report smoking-attributable deaths in Taiwan and projections to 2020, supporting the location-specific mortality part. The cited paper does not assess non-fatal health outcomes; that part of the sentence is not supported by this source. (LLM, conf=0.86)
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Reitsma, M. B., Fullman, N., Ng, M., Salama, J. S., Abajobir, A., Abate, K. H., Abbafati, C., Abera, S. F., Abraham, B., Abyu, G. Y., et al. (2017) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(17)30819-x · Cited by 2,028
Self-citationWen, C. P., Wai, J. P. M., Tsai, M. K., Yang, Y. C., Cheng, T. Y. D., Lee, M.-C., Chan, H. T., Tsao, C. K., Tsai, S. P., & Wu, X. (2011) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(11)60749-6 · Cited by 1,908
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Metadata
- Authors
- Wen, C. P., Tsai, S. P., Chen, C.-J., Cheng, T. Y., Tsai, M.-C., & Levy, D. T.
- Affiliations
- National Health Research Institutes (TW)
- The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston (US)
- National Taiwan University (TW)
- Pacific Institute For Research and Evaluation (US)
- Corresponding author
- Wen, C P
- Venue
- Tobacco Control
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2005-05-27
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- suppl 1
- Pages
- i76-i80
- ISSN
- 0964-4563 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-3318
- PMC
- PMC1766186
- OpenAlex
- W2080280229
- Cited by
- 61
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2024: 1 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 1 · 2020: 1 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 1 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 2 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 3.41
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Tobacco Control (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Healthcare Systems and Public Health
- Keywords
- smoking-attributable mortality, smoking-attributable fraction, mortality projections, middle-aged men, Taiwan, cohort studies
- MeSH terms
- Smoking Prevention, Adult, Cause of Death, Female, Forecasting, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Smoking, Taiwan, Tobacco Smoke Pollution, Prevalence, Smoking Cessation
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