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Predicting academic performance: a systematic literature review
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The ability to predict student performance in a course or program creates opportunities to improve educational outcomes. With effective performance prediction approaches, instructors can allocate resources and instruction more accurately. Research in this area seeks to identify features that can be used to make predictions, to identify algorithms that can improve predictions, and to quantify aspects of student performance. Moreover, research in predicting student performance seeks to determine interrelated features and to identify the underlying reasons why certain features work better than others. This working group report presents a systematic literature review of work in the area of predicting student performance. Our analysis shows a clearly increasing amount of research in this area, as well as an increasing variety of techniques used. At the same time, the review uncovered a number of issues with research quality that drives a need for the community to provide more detailed reporting of methods and results and to increase efforts to validate and replicate work.
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“Compared to their results, we find that the work in this area is reported more clearly in all four aspects measured.”
From The Robots Are Here: Navigating the Generative AI Revolution in Computing Education (2023) · cites this paper as [92]
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Lorås, M., Sindre, G., Trætteberg, H., & Aalberg, T. (2021) · ACM Transactions on Computing Education · doi:10.1145/3469129 · Cited by 23
Venkatesan, R. G., Karmegam, D., & Mappillairaju, B. (2023) · Journal of Computational Social Science · doi:10.1007/s42001-023-00231-w · Cited by 18
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RetractedEarly Prediction of Students at Risk of Failing a Face-to-Face Course in Power Electronic Systems
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Machine Learning Approaches for Student Performance Prediction
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Motion-Based Educational Games: Using Multi-Modal Data to Predict Player’s Performance
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Student performance prediction in higher education: A comprehensive review
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Self-citationComputational Intelligence Enabled Student Performance Estimation in the Age of COVID-19
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Time-Dependent Performance Prediction System for Early Insight in Learning Trends.
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Metadata
- Authors
- Hellas, A., Ihantola, P., Petersen, A., Ajanovski, V. V., Gutica, M., Hynninen, T., Knutas, A., Leinonen, J., Messom, C., & Liao, S. N.
- Affiliations
- University of Helsinki (FI)
- University of Toronto (CA)
- Ss. Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje (MK)
- British Columbia Institute of Technology (CA)
- South Eastern Finland University of Applied Sciences (FI)
- Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology (FI)
- Monash University (AU)
- University of California San Diego (US)
- ORCID
- Venue
- Proceedings Companion of the 23rd Annual ACM Conference on Innovation and Technology in Computer Science Education
- Publisher
- ACM
- Published
- 2018-07-02
- Pages
- 175-199
- OpenAlex
- W2909913588
- Cited by
- 355
- References
- 439
- Citations by year
- 2026: 22 · 2025: 43 · 2024: 61 · 2023: 72 · 2022: 62 · 2021: 48 · 2020: 32 · 2019: 12 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 4.05
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Työväentutkimus Vuosikirja (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- ELARTU (Ternopil National Technical University) (submittedVersion)
- Monash University Research Portal (Monash University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Computer Science Applications › Online Learning and Analytics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Intelligent Tutoring Systems and Adaptive Learning
- Social Sciences › Education › Educational Outcomes and Influences
- Keywords
- student performance prediction, academic performance, educational data mining, prediction algorithm, research quality, replication, reporting quality, educational outcomes
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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