Skill rebound: On an unintended effect of digitalization
Open accessAbstract
Efficiency gains in economic processes often do not deliver the projected overall savings. Irrespective of whether the increase in efficiency saves energy, resources, time or transaction costs, there are various mechanisms that spur additional consumption as a consequence. These mechanisms are generically called rebound effects, and they are problematic from a sustainability perspective as they decrease or outweigh the environmental benefits of efficiency gains. Since one of the overarching purposes of digitalization is to increase efficiency, rebound effects are bound to occur frequently in its wake. Rebound effects of digitalization have been ignored until recently, but they have been increasingly studied lately. One particular mechanism of digital rebound, however, has been largely disregarded so far: the digitalization-induced lowered skill requirements needed to perform a specific activity. As with other types of rebound effects, this leads to an increase in the activity in question. In this paper, we propose the term skill rebound to denote this mechanism. We use the example of self-driving cars to show how digitalization can lower the skill bar for operating a vehicle, and how this opens 'driving' a car to entirely new socio-demographic categories such as elderly, children or even pets, leading to increased use of the (transportation) service in question and thus to rebound effects. We finally argue that these unintended environmental effects of skill rebound must be better understood and taken into account in the design of new digital technologies.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Given that AI pervades many different areas of society and economic sectors, it is more difficult to enumerate all of the possible indirect impacts and rebound effects that it can have.
“Given that AI pervades many different areas of society and economic sectors, it is more difficult to enumerate all of the possible indirect impacts and rebound effects that it can have, which would involve considering the different interactions at play within every sector and between them [23, 53].”
From From Efficiency Gains to Rebound Effects: The Problem of Jevons' Paradox in AI's Polarized Environmental Debate (2025) · cites this paper as [23]
Section 2 describes numerous indirect rebound effects of digitalization and calls their mechanisms subtle and elusive; the Conclusion also emphasizes indirect consequences. The paper does not establish that AI pervades many sectors or that interactions within and between sectors make all its possible impacts difficult to enumerate. Its discussion of AI is limited to an example of a calculation-heavy area. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Dilemmas in a general theory of planning
Rittel, H. W. J., & Webber, M. M. (1973) · Policy Sciences · doi:10.1007/bf01405730 · Cited by 16,338 · cited 1× · see citing works
“…rebound effects are often both undesirable and unintended might imply that they are members of the class of problems that have been called “wicked” [41], e.g. problems that have no definitive formulation, where it is hard to know if or when they have been solved, where every problem is unique,…”
BackgroundEnvironmental effects of information and communications technologies
Williams, E. (2011) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature10682 · Cited by 304 · see citing works
An Analysis of Possible Energy Impacts of Automated Vehicles
Brown, A., Gonder, J., & Repac, B. (2014) · Lecture Notes in Mobility · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-05990-7_13 · Cited by 217 · cited 1× · see citing works
“These benefits can be achieved, for example, by platooning vehicles on motor-ways [8].”
BackgroundPreist, C., Schien, D., & Blevis, E. (2016) · Proceedings of the 2016 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems · doi:10.1145/2858036.2858378 · Cited by 133 · see citing works
Including second order effects in environmental assessments of ICT
Börjesson Rivera, M., Håkansson, C., Svenfelt, Å., & Finnveden, G. (2014) · Environmental Modelling & Software · doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.02.005 · Cited by 117 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 36
- Janet Abbate. 2003. Women and gender in the history of computing. IEEE Annals of the History of Computing 25, 4 (2003), 4-8. https://doi.org/10.1109/MAHC. 2003.1253885 · DOI
- Benedict Anderson. 1980. Imagined Communities: Reflections on the Origin and Spread of Nationalism. Verso, New York, US. https://doi.org/10.1017/ CBO9781107049963 · DOI
- Peter H. G. Berkhout, Jos C. Muskens, and Jan W. Velthuijsen. 2000. Defining the rebound effect. Energy Policy 28, 6-7 (2000), 425-432.
- Mathias Binswanger. 2001. Technological progress and sustainable development: what about the rebound effect? Ecological Economics 36, 1 (2001), 119-132. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(00)00214-7 · DOI · Paper page
- Joschka Bischoff and Michal Maciejewski. 2016. Simulation of City-wide Re- placement of Private Cars with Autonomous Taxis in Berlin. Procedia Computer Science 83 (2016), 237-244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2016.04.121 · DOI
- J. Scott Brennen and Daniel Kreiss. 2016. Digitalization. In The International Ency- clopedia of Communication Theory and Philosophy, K.B. Jensen, E.W. Rothenbuhler, J.D. Pooley, and R.T. Craig (Eds.). 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118766804. wbiect111 · DOI
- Lawrence D. Burns. 2013. A vision of our transport future. Nature 497 (2013), 181-182.
- Paul E. Ceruzzi. 1991. When Computers Were Human. IEEE Annals of the History of Computing 13, 3 (July 1991), 237--244. https://doi.org/10.1109/MAHC.1991. 10025 · DOI
- Vlad C. Coroamă, Pernilla Bergmark, Mattias Höjer, and Jens Malmodin. 2020. A Methodology for Assessing the Environmental Effects Induced by ICT Services. Part I: Single Services. In Proc. of the 7th Int. Conf. on ICT for Sustainability (ICT4S). ACM, Bristol, UK.
- Vlad C. Coroamă and Lorenz M. Hilty. 2009. Energy Consumed vs. Energy Saved by ICT -A Closer Look. In Environmental Informatics and Industrial Environmental Protection: Concepts, Methods and Tools, Volker Wohlgemuth, Bernd Page, and Kristina Voigt (Eds.). Shaker Verlag, Aachen, Germany, 353-361.
- Vlad C. Coroamă and Friedemann Mattern. 2019. Digital Rebound -Why Digitalization Will Not Redeem Us Our Environmental Sins. In Proceedings of the 6th international conference on ICT for Sustainability (ICT4S 2019). Lappeen- ranta, Finland. http://www.vs.inf.ethz.ch/publ/papers/CoroamaMattern2019- DigitalRebound.pdf
- Elizabeth L. Eisenstein. 1980. The Printing Press as an Agent of Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107049963 · DOI
- Daniel J. Fagnant, Kara M. Kockelman, and Prateek Bansal. 2016. Operations of Shared Autonomous Vehicle Fleet for Austin, Texas, Market. Transportation Research Record 2563, 1 (2016), 98-106. https://doi.org/10.3141/2536-12 · DOI · Paper page
- Jeffery B. Greenblatt and Samveg Saxena. 2015. Autonomous taxis could greatly reduce greenhouse-gas emissions of US light-duty vehicles. Nature Climate Change 5 (2015), 860-863.
- Mustapha Harb, Yu Xiao, Giovanni Circella, Patricia L. Mokhtarian, and Joan L. Walker. 2018. Projecting travelers into a world of self-driving vehicles: estimating travel behavior implications via a naturalistic experiment. Transportation 45 (2018), 1671-1685. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-018-9937-9 · DOI
- Corey D. Harper, Chris T. Hendrickson, Sonia Mangones, and Constantine Sama- ras. 2016. Estimating potential increases in travel with autonomous vehicles for the non-driving, elderly and people with travel-restrictive medical conditions. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 72 (2016), 1-9.
- Lorenz Hilty. 2015. Computing Efficiency, Sufficiency, and Self-sufficiency: A Model for Sustainability?. In Proceedings of the First Workshop on Computing within Limits. https://doi.org/10.5167/uzh-110766 · DOI
- Lorenz M. Hilty. 2012. Why energy efficiency is not sufficient -some remarks on "Green by IT". In Proceedings of the 26th Environmental Informatics Conference (EnviroInfo). Shaker Verlag, Dessau, Germany, 13-20. https://doi.org/10.13140/2. 1.4121.6968 · DOI
- Lorenz M. Hilty and Bernard Aebischer. 2015. ICT for Sustainability: An Emerging Research Field. In ICT Innovations for Sustainability, Lorenz M. Hilty and Bernard Aebischer (Eds.). Springer, Cham, 3-36.
- Nathaniel C Horner, Arman Shehabi, and Inês L Azevedo. 2016. Known unknowns: indirect energy effects of information and communication technology. Environ- mental Research Letters 11, 10 (Oct. 2016), 103001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748- 9326/11/10/103001 · DOI · Paper page
- Cecilia Håkansson and Goran Finnveden. 2015. Indirect rebound and reverse rebound effects in the ICT-sector and emissions of CO2. In Joint Proceedings of EnviroInfo and ICT for Sustainability (ICT4S) 2015. Atlantis Press, 66-73. https: //doi.org/10.2991/ict4s-env-15.2015.8 · DOI
- J. Daniel Khazzoom. 1980. Economic Implications of Mandated Efficiency in Standards for Household Appliances. The Energy Journal 1, 4 (1980), 21-40.
- Rico Krueger, Taha H. Rashidi, and John M. Rose. 2016. Preferences for shared autonomous vehicles. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 69 (2016), 343-355. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2016.06.015 · DOI · Paper page
- George Lakoff and Mark Johnson. 2008. Metaphors we live by. University of Chicago press.
- Jennifer S. Light. 1999. When Computers Were Women. Technology and Culture 40, 3 (1999), 455-483. http://www.jstor.org/stable/25147356
- Marshall McLuhan. 1962. The Gutenberg Galaxy. University of Toronto Press, Toronto, Canada.
- Christina Pakusch, Gunnar Stevens, and Paul Bossauer. 2018. Shared Autonomous Vehicles: Potentials for a Sustainable Mobility and Risks of Unintended Effects. In ICT4S2018. 5th International Conference on Information and Communication Technology for Sustainability (EPiC Series in Computing), Birgit Penzenstadler, Steve Easterbrook, Colin Venters, and Syed Ishtiaque Ahmed (Eds.), Vol. 52. EasyChair, 258-269. https://doi.org/10.29007/rg73 · DOI
- Barath Raghavan. 2015. Abstraction, indirection, and Sevareid's Law: Towards benign computing. First Monday 20, 8 (July 2015). https://doi.org/10.5210/fm. v20i8.6120 · DOI
- Barath Raghavan and Shaddi Hasan. 2016. Macroscopically Sustainable Net- working: On Internet Quines. In Proceedings of the Second Workshop on Com- puting within Limits (LIMITS '16). ACM, New York, NY, USA, Article Article 11. https://doi.org/10.1145/2926676.2926685 · DOI
- Barath Raghavan and Daniel Pargman. 2016. Refactoring Society: Systems Com- plexity in an Age of Limits. In Proceedings of the Second Workshop on Computing within Limits (LIMITS '16). Association for Computing Machinery, New York, NY, USA, Article Article 2, 7 pages. https://doi.org/10.1145/2926676.2926677 · DOI
- Tina Ringenson, Mattias Höjer, Anna Kramers, and Anna Viggedal. 2018. Digi- talization and Environmental Aims in Municipalities. Sustainability 10, 4 (2018). https://doi.org/10.3390/su10041278 · DOI
- Everett M. Rogers. 2003. Diffusion of Innovations (5 ed.). Free Press, New York, US.
- Hartmut Rosa. 2013. Social Acceleration. A New Theory of Modernity. Columbia University Press, New York, US.
- SAE. 2014. Taxonomy and Definitions for Terms Related to On-Road Motor Vehicle Automated Driving Systems. https://doi.org/10.4271/J3016_201401 · DOI · Paper page
- Jack H. Townsend and Vlad C. Coroamă. 2018. Digital Acceleration of Sustain- ability Transition: The Paradox of Push Impacts. Sustainability 10, 8 (2018). https://doi.org/10.3390/su10082816 · DOI
- Iis P. Tussyadiah, Florian J. Zach, and Jianxi Wang. 2017. Attitudes Toward Autonomous on Demand Mobility System: The Case of Self-Driving Taxi. In Information and Communication Technologies in Tourism 2017, Roland Schegg and Brigitte Stangl (Eds.). Cham, 755-766.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Sustainability in computing education: A systematic literature review
Peters, A.-K., Capilla, R., Coroamă, V. C., Heldal, R., Lago, P., Leifler, O., Moreira, A., Fernandes, J. P., Penzenstadler, B., Porras, J., et al. (2024) · ACM Transactions on Computing Education · doi:10.1145/3639060 · Cited by 78 · see citing works
Self-citationLuccioni, A. S., Strubell, E., & Crawford, K. (2025) · Proceedings of the 2025 ACM Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency · doi:10.1145/3715275.3732007 · Cited by 71 · see citing works
“Given that AI pervades many different areas of society and economic sectors, it is more difficult to enumerate all of the possible indirect impacts and rebound effects that it can have, which wouldinvolve considering the different interactions at play within every sector and between them [23, 53].”
- Authors
- Coroamă, V. C., & Pargman, D.
- Affiliations
- ETH Zurich (CH)
- KTH Royal Institute of Technology (SE)
- Venue
- Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on ICT for Sustainability
- Publisher
- ACM
- Published
- 2020-06-21
- Pages
- 213-219
- OpenAlex
- W3046449701
- Cited by
- 17
- References
- 5
- Citations by year
- 2025: 5 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 1 · 2019: 1
- FWCI
- 3.35
- Type
- conference paper
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- International Conference on ICT for Sustainability (ICT4S) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Automotive Engineering › Transportation and Mobility Innovations
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
- Keywords
- rebound effect, digitalization, efficiency improvement, autonomous vehicles, skill requirements, environmental sustainability, technology design, transportation use, older drivers
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review