Fine-Grained Urban Flow Prediction
Open accessAbstract
Urban flow prediction benefits smart cities in many aspects, such as traffic management and risk assessment. However, a critical prerequisite for these benefits is having fine-grained knowledge of the city. Thus, unlike previous works that are limited to coarse-grained data, we extend the horizon of urban flow prediction to fine granularity which raises specific challenges: 1) the predominance of inter-grid transitions observed in fine-grained data makes it more complicated to capture the spatial dependencies among grid cells at a global scale; 2) it is very challenging to learn the impact of external factors (e.g., weather) on a large number of grid cells separately. To address these two challenges, we present a Spatio-Temporal Relation Network (STRN) to predict fine-grained urban flows. First, a backbone network is used to learn high-level representations for each cell. Second, we present a Global Relation Module (GloNet) that captures global spatial dependencies much more efficiently compared to existing methods. Third, we design a Meta Learner that takes external factors and land functions (e.g., POI density) as inputs to produce meta knowledge and boost model performances. We conduct extensive experiments on two real-world datasets. The results show that STRN reduces the errors by 7.1% to 11.5% compared to the state-of-the-art method while using much fewer parameters. Moreover, a cloud-based system called UrbanFlow 3.0 has been deployed to show the practicality of our approach.
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Tracking locations and analysing mobility has contributed to many day-to-day applications such as traffic management, routing, recommender systems, and cellular network load balancing.
“Tracking locations and analysing mobility has contributed to many day-to-day applications, for example, traffic management and forecasting [87,88], routing individuals [89] and delivery packages [90], recommender systems [91], dynamic load balancing systems for cellular networks [92], to name a few.”
From Human-centred artificial intelligence for mobile health sensing: challenges and opportunities (2023) · cites this paper as [88]
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Forecasting Citywide Crowd Transition Process via Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks
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Air Traffic Flow Prediction with Spatiotemporal Knowledge Distillation Network
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Human Mobility Prediction Based on Trend Iteration of Spectral Clustering
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- Authors
- Liang, Y., Ouyang, K., Sun, J., Wang, Y., Zhang, J., Zheng, Y., Rosenblum, D., & Zimmermann, R.
- Affiliations
- National University of Singapore (SG)
- Jingdong (China) (CN)
- Southwest Jiaotong University (CN)
- George Mason University (US)
- Venue
- Proceedings of the Web Conference 2021
- Publisher
- ACM
- Published
- 2021-04-19
- Pages
- 1833-1845
- OpenAlex
- W3156972038
- Cited by
- 89
- References
- 46
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 18 · 2024: 21 · 2023: 24 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 3
- FWCI
- 34.30
- Type
- conference paper
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- International World Wide Web Conference (WWW) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (72061127001, 62076191)
- Ministry of Education, India
- Beijing Nova Program (Z201100006820053)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Building and Construction › Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Building and Construction › Urban Design and Spatial Analysis
- Social Sciences › Transportation › Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis
- Keywords
- external factors, weather effects, meta-learning, smart cities, traffic management
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