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Weakly Supervised Deep Learning Predicts Immunotherapy Response in Solid Tumors Based on PD-L1 Expression

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Ligero, Marta, Serna, Garazi, El Nahhas, Omar S.M., Sansano, Irene, Mauchanski, Siarhei, Viaplana, Cristina, Calderaro, Julien, Toledo, Rodrigo A. +10 more·2024·Cancer Research Communications

Published version of a preprint

Abstract

Programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) IHC is the most commonly used biomarker for immunotherapy response. However, quantification of PD-L1 status in pathology slides is challenging. Neither manual quantification nor a computer-based mimicking of manual readouts is perfectly reproducible, and the predictive performance of both approaches regarding immunotherapy response is limited. In this study, we developed a deep learning (DL) method to predict PD-L1 status directly from raw IHC image data, without explicit intermediary steps such as cell detection or pigment quantification. We trained the weakly supervised model on PD-L1–stained slides from the non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC)-Memorial Sloan Kettering (MSK) cohort (N = 233) and validated it on the pan-cancer-Vall d'Hebron Institute of Oncology (VHIO) cohort (N = 108). We also investigated the performance of the model to predict response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) in terms of progression-free survival. In the pan-cancer-VHIO cohort, the performance was compared with tumor proportion score (TPS) and combined positive score (CPS). The DL model showed good performance in predicting PD-L1 expression (TPS ≥ 1%) in both NSCLC-MSK and pan-cancer-VHIO cohort (AUC 0.88 ± 0.06 and 0.80 ± 0.03, respectively). The predicted PD-L1 status showed an improved association with response to ICIs [HR: 1.5 (95% confidence interval: 1–2.3), P = 0.049] compared with TPS [HR: 1.4 (0.96–2.2), P = 0.082] and CPS [HR: 1.2 (0.79–1.9), P = 0.386]. Notably, our explainability analysis showed that the model does not just look at the amount of brown pigment in the IHC slides, but also considers morphologic factors such as lymphocyte conglomerates. Overall, end-to-end weakly supervised DL shows potential for improving patient stratification for cancer immunotherapy by analyzing PD-L1 IHC, holistically integrating morphology and PD-L1 staining intensity. Significance: The weakly supervised DL model to predict PD-L1 status from raw IHC data, integrating tumor staining intensity and morphology, enables enhanced patient stratification in cancer immunotherapy compared with traditional pathologist assessment.

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  • Numerous deep learning studies for predicting ICI responses in NSCLC from H&E images are primarily focused on refining PD-L1 quantification.

    “While numerous deep learning studies have emerged for predicting ICI responses in NSCLC from H&E images, they are primarily focused on refining PD-L1 quantification56–58.”

    From Predicting the tumor microenvironment composition and immunotherapy response in non-small cell lung cancer from digital histopathology images (2024) · cites this paper as [58]

    The Introduction (page unavailable) describes prior deep-learning studies that predict PD-L1 status from H&E images, supporting that part of the claim. It does not establish that numerous such studies predict ICI response in NSCLC. The Methods and Results (pages unavailable) specify that this paper’s own response-related model uses PD-L1–stained IHC images, not H&E images. (LLM, conf=0.85)

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Authors
Ligero, M., Serna, G., El Nahhas, O. S. M., Sansano, I., Mauchanski, S., Viaplana, C., Calderaro, J., Toledo, R. A., Dienstmann, R., Vanguri, R. S., Sauter, J. L., Sanchez-Vega, F., Shah, S. P., Ramón y Cajal, S., Garralda, E., Nuciforo, P., Perez-Lopez, R., & Kather, J. N.
Affiliations
  • Vall d'Hebron Institute of Oncology (ES)
  • 3Else Kroener Fresenius Center for Digital Health, Technical University Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
  • Vall d'Hebron Hospital Universitari (ES)
  • 6Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Département de Pathologie, CHU Henri Mondor, Créteil, France.
  • Children's Hospital of Philadelphia (US)
  • Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (US)
  • 11Computational Oncology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
  • 4Pathology Department, Vall d'Hebron University Hospital (VHUH), Barcelona, Spain.
  • 1Radiomics Group, Vall d'Hebron Institute of Oncology (VHIO), Barcelona, Spain.
  • University of Leeds (GB)
Corresponding author
Kather, Jakob Nikolas
Venue
Cancer Research Communications
Published
2024-01-11
Volume
4
Issue
1
Pages
92-102
ISSN
2767-9764 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4390061188
Cited by
22
References
4
Citations by year
2026: 6 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 6
FWCI
2.07
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Cancer Research Communications (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Funders
  • Bundesministerium für Gesundheit (ZMVI1-2520DAT111)
  • Deutsche Krebshilfe (#70113864)
  • Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (01KD2104C)
  • 'la Caixa' Foundation
  • CRIS Cancer Foundation (TALENT19-05)
  • MEC | Instituto de Salud Carlos III (PI18/01395, PI21/01019)
  • NIHR | National Institute for Health and Care Research Applied Research Collaboration Oxford and Thames Valley (NIHR213331)
  • Fundación Fero
  • Prostate Cancer Foundation (18YOUN19)
  • PERIS
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › AI in cancer detection
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Cancer Immunotherapy and Biomarkers
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
Keywords
PD-L1 expression, immunotherapy response prediction, weakly supervised deep learning, immunohistochemistry image analysis, immune checkpoint inhibitors, non-small cell lung cancer, solid tumors, tumor proportion score, combined positive score, model explainability, patient stratification, progression-free survival, pan-cancer cohort
MeSH terms
Deep Learning, Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung, Humans, Immunotherapy, Lung Neoplasms, B7-H1 Antigen

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