Long-term predictors of subsequent cardiovascular events with coronary artery disease and 'desirable' levels of plasma total cholesterol.
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) are at considerable risk for subsequent cardiovascular events. Although hyperlipidemia accentuates the risk, predictors of subsequent events with CAD and desirable total cholesterol (TC) (less than 5.2 mmol/l) have not been assessed. METHODS AND RESULTS: A survival analysis was performed in a subset of 740 consecutive patients who underwent diagnostic coronary arteriography between 1977 and 1978. Eight-three men and 24 women with angiographically documented CAD and desirable TC were followed for subsequent cardiovascular events, including myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death. Over a 13-year period, 75% of CAD subjects with reduced high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (less than 0.9 mmol/l) developed a subsequent cardiovascular event compared with 45% of those with HDL-C greater than or equal to 0.9 mmol/l (p = 0.002). A Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed significantly greater survival from cardiovascular end points in patients with baseline levels of HDL-C greater than or equal to 0.9 mmol/l (p = 0.005). After 11 variables were tested, an age-adjusted Cox proportional-hazards model identified two pairs of independent predictors of subsequent cardiovascular events: they were a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) less than 35% (relative risk [RR], 6.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.8, 15.3; p less than 0.001) and reduced HDL-C (RR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.2, 3.3; p = 0.01) in the first model and LVEF less than 35% (RR, 6.5; 95% CI, 2.7, 15.6; p less than 0.001) and TC:HDL ratio greater than or equal to 5.5 (RR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.1, 3.1; p = 0.02) in the second model. CONCLUSIONS: Low HDL-C (or high TC:HDL-C) is strongly predictive of subsequent cardiovascular events in subjects with CAD, despite desirable TC. As such, identification of this potentially modifiable risk factor should be actively pursued in this high-risk subgroup.
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Another study of CVD survivors with desirable total cholesterol found low HDL-C to be predictive of recurrent events.
“Another study of CVD survivors with desirable total cholesterol34 also found low HDL-C to be predictive of recurrent events”
From Is Isolated Low High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol a Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factor?: New Insights From the Framingham Offspring Study (2016) · cites this paper as [34]
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Miller, M., Seidler, A., Kwiterovich, P. O., & Pearson, T. A.
- Affiliations
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- ORCID
- Miller, M
- Venue
- Circulation
- Published
- 1992-10
- Volume
- 86
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 1165-1170
- ISSN
- 0009-7322 (ISSN-L)
- 1524-4539
- OpenAlex
- W2001802117
- Cited by
- 131
- References
- 10
- Citations by year
- 2023: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 1 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 4 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 2 · 2015: 3 · 2014: 2 · 2013: 2 · 2012: 2
- FWCI
- 11.25
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Circulation (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (1f32hl007596-01, 5k07hl002263-04)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (5F32HL07596, KO7 HL-02263-03)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Lipoproteins and Cardiovascular Health
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Acute Myocardial Infarction Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Keywords
- coronary artery disease, cardiovascular events, HDL cholesterol, total cholesterol, TC/HDL-C ratio, left ventricular ejection fraction, cardiovascular risk prediction, myocardial infarction, cardiovascular mortality, hyperlipidemia, risk factors, long-term prognosis, coronary angiography follow-up, modifiable risk factors
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cholesterol, Coronary Disease, Female, Forecasting, Humans, Lipids, Lipoproteins, Cholesterol, HDL, Cholesterol, LDL, Male, Risk Factors, Time Factors, Triglycerides, Proportional Hazards Models
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