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Cited by 685

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 39 of the 39 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Mixed Signals: Central Bank Independence, Coordinated Wage Bargaining, and European Monetary Union

Hall, Peter A., Franzese, Robert J.·1998·International Organization

Abstract

Plans for the European Monetary Union (EMU) are based on the conventional postulate that increasing the independence of the central bank can reduce inflation without any real economic effects. However, the theoretical and empirical bases for this claim rest on models of the economy that make unrealistic information assumptions and omit institutional variables other than the central bank. When signaling problems between the central bank and other actors in the political economy are considered, we find that the character of wage bargaining conditions the impact of central bank independence by rendering the signals between the bank and the bargainers more or less effective. Greater central bank independence can reduce inflation without major employment effects where bargaining is coordinated, but it can bring higher levels of unemployment where bargaining is less coordinated. Thus, currency unions like the EMU may require higher levels of unemployment to control inflation than their proponents envisage. They will have costs as well as benefits, and these will be unevenly distributed among and within the member nations, depending on the changes they induce in the status of the bank and of wage coordination.

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Metadata

Authors
Hall, P. A., & Franzese, R. J.
Venue
International Organization
Published
1998
Volume
52
Issue
3
Pages
505-535
ISSN
  • 0020-8183 (ISSN-L)
  • 1531-5088
OpenAlex
W2109300495
Cited by
685
References
39
FWCI
155.76
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Mixed Signals: Central Bank Independence, Coordinated Wage Bargaining, and European Monetary Union. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1162/002081898550644
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Hall, P. A., & Franzese, R. J. (1998). Mixed Signals: Central Bank Independence, Coordinated Wage Bargaining, and European Monetary Union. International Organization. https://doi.org/10.1162/002081898550644

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