The DOI matches its Crossref record; 3 of the 3 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Opportunistic Political Cycles: Test in a Young Democracy Setting
Abstract
This paper tests the theory of opportunistic cycles in a decade-old democracy—Russia—finds strong evidence of cycles, and provides an explanation for why previous literature often found weaker evidence. Using regional monthly panel data, we find that (1) the budget cycle is sizable and short-lived; public spending shifts toward direct monetary transfers to voters; (2) the magnitude of the cycle decreases with democracy, government transparency, media freedom, voter awareness, and over time; and (3) preelectoral manipulation increases incumbents' chances for reelection. The short length of the cycle explains underestimation of its size by previous literature because of low frequency data used in previous studies.
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Cites
Biases in dynamic models with fixed effects
Nickell, S. (1981) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1911408 · Cited by 8,735
Regression Diagnostics: Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity
Belsley, D. A., Kuh, E., & Welsch, R. E. (1980) · Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics · doi:10.1002/0471725153 · Cited by 7,297
Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy
Hibbs, D. A. (1977) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055400269712 · Cited by 3,368
Cited by
Political budget cycles in new versus established democracies
Brender, A., & Drazen, A. (2005) · Journal of Monetary Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2005.04.004 · Cited by 893
Retrospective Voting Reconsidered
Healy, A., & Malhotra, N. (2013) · Annual Review of Political Science · doi:10.1146/annurev-polisci-032211-212920 · Cited by 667
Fixing Market Failures or Fixing Elections? Agricultural Credit in India
Cole, S. (2009) · American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · doi:10.1257/app.1.1.219 · Cited by 441
DO BETTER PAID POLITICIANS PERFORM BETTER? DISENTANGLING INCENTIVES FROM SELECTION
Gagliarducci, S., & Nannicini, T. (2013) · Journal of the European Economic Association · doi:10.1111/jeea.12002 · Cited by 357
Metadata
- Authors
- Akhmedov, A., & Zhuravskaya, E.
- Venue
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2004-11-01
- Volume
- 119
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 1301-1338
- ISSN
- 0033-5533 (ISSN-L)
- 1531-4650
- OpenAlex
- W3121845429
- Cited by
- 475
- References
- 3
- FWCI
- 27.66
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
