The DOI matches its Crossref record; 51 of the 51 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Extended ENSO Predictions Using a Fully Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Model
Open accessAbstract
Using a fully coupled global ocean–atmosphere general circulation model assimilating only sea surface temperature, the authors found for the first time that several El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events over the past two decades can be predicted at lead times of up to 2 yr. The El Niño condition in the 1997/98 winter can be predicted to some extent up to about a 1½-yr lead but with a weak intensity and large phase delay in the prediction of the onset of this exceptionally strong event. This is attributed to the influence of active and intensive stochastic westerly wind bursts during late 1996 to mid-1997, which are generally unpredictable at seasonal time scales. The cold signals in the 1984/85 and 1999/2000 winters during the peak phases of the past two long-lasting La Niña events are predicted well up to a 2-yr lead. Amazingly, the mild El Niño–like event of 2002/03 is also predicted well up to a 2-yr lead, suggesting a link between the prolonged El Niño and the tropical Pacific decadal variability. Seasonal climate anomalies over vast parts of the globe during specific ENSO years are also realistically predicted up to a 2-yr lead for the first time.
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Cites
The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project
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An Improved In Situ and Satellite SST Analysis for Climate
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Jin, F.-F. (1997) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1997)054<0811:aeorpf>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 1,589
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Genesis and Evolution of the 1997-98 El Niño
McPhaden, M. J. (1999) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.283.5404.950 · Cited by 1,272
Palmer, T. N., Alessandri, A., Andersen, U., Cantelaube, P., Davey, M., Délécluse, P., Déqué, M., Díez, E., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Feddersen, H., et al. (2004) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-85-6-853 · Cited by 959
A Delayed Action Oscillator for ENSO
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Self-citationBattisti, D. S., & Hirst, A. C. (1989) · Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1989)046<1687:iviata>2.0.co;2 · Cited by 897
Cited by
El Niño–Southern Oscillation complexity
Timmermann, A., An, S.-I., Kug, J.-S., Jin, F.-F., Cai, W., Capotondi, A., Cobb, K. M., Lengaigne, M., McPhaden, M. J., Stuecker, M. F., et al. (2018) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6 · Cited by 1,204
Self-citationIndo-western Pacific ocean capacitor and coherent climate anomalies in post-ENSO summer: A review
Xie, S.-P., Kosaka, Y., Du, Y., Hu, K., Chowdary, J. S., & Huang, G. (2016) · Advances in Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1007/s00376-015-5192-6 · Cited by 771
Impacts of El Niño Southern Oscillation on the global yields of major crops
Iizumi, T., Luo, J.-J., Challinor, A. J., Sakurai, G., Yokozawa, M., Sakuma, H., Brown, M. E., & Yamagata, T. (2014) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms4712 · Cited by 454
Self-citationA signal-to-noise paradox in climate science
Scaife, A. A., & Smith, D. (2018) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-018-0038-4 · Cited by 411
Indian Ocean warming modulates Pacific climate change
Luo, J.-J., Sasaki, W., & Masumoto, Y. (2012) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1210239109 · Cited by 393
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Luo, J.-J., Masson, S., Behera, S. K., & Yamagata, T.
- Venue
- Journal of Climate
- Publisher
- American Meteorological Society
- Published
- 2008-01-01
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 84-93
- ISSN
- 0894-8755 (ISSN-L)
- 1520-0442
- OpenAlex
- W2072000799
- Cited by
- 310
- References
- 51
- FWCI
- 8.52
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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