The DOI matches its Crossref record; 33 of the 33 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
European Climate Extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation
Abstract
The authors estimate the change in extreme winter weather events over Europe that is due to a long-term change in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) such as that observed between the 1960s and 1990s. Using ensembles of simulations from a general circulation model, large changes in the frequency of 10th percentile temperature and 90th percentile precipitation events over Europe are found from changes in the NAO. In some cases, these changes are comparable to the expected change in the frequency of events due to anthropogenic forcing over the twenty-first century. Although the results presented here do not affect anthropogenic interpretation of global and annual mean changes in observed extremes, they do show that great care is needed to assess changes due to modes of climate variability when interpreting extreme events on regional and seasonal scales. How changes in natural modes of variability, such as the NAO, could radically alter current climate model predictions of changes in extreme weather events on multidecadal time scales is also discussed.
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Cites
Rayner, N. A., Parker, D. E., Horton, E. B., Folland, C. K., Alexander, L. V., Rowell, D. P., Kent, E. C., & Kaplan, A. (2003) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2002jd002670 · Cited by 10,991
Self-citationDecadal Trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional Temperatures and Precipitation
Hurrell, J. W. (1995) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.269.5224.676 · Cited by 7,879
Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation
Alexander, L. V., Zhang, X., Peterson, T. C., Caesar, J., Gleason, B., Klein Tank, A. M. G., Haylock, M., Collins, D., Trewin, B., Rahimzadeh, F., et al. (2006) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2005jd006290 · Cited by 4,492
Self-citationObserved coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century
Frich, P., Alexander, L., Della-Marta, P., Gleason, B., Haylock, M., Klein Tank, A., & Peterson, T. (2002) · Climate Research · doi:10.3354/cr019193 · Cited by 2,123
Self-citationKlein Tank, A. M. G., Wijngaard, J. B., Können, G. P., Böhm, R., Demarée, G., Gocheva, A., Mileta, M., Pashiardis, S., Hejkrlik, L., Kern‐Hansen, C., et al. (2002) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.773 · Cited by 1,738
Self-citationDECADAL VARIATIONS IN CLIMATE ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION
HURRELL, J. W., & VAN LOON, H. (1997) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1023/a:1005314315270 · Cited by 1,709
Maximum and Minimum Temperature Trends for the Globe
Easterling, D. R., Horton, B., Jones, P. D., Peterson, T. C., Karl, T. R., Parker, D. E., Salinger, M. J., Razuvayev, V., Plummer, N., Jamason, P., et al. (1997) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.277.5324.364 · Cited by 1,615
Self-citationThe impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley Centre climate model: HadAM3
Pope, V. D., Gallani, M. L., Rowntree, P. R., & Stratton, R. A. (2000) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s003820050009 · Cited by 1,542
Trends in Intense Precipitation in the Climate Record
Groisman, P. Y., Knight, R. W., Easterling, D. R., Karl, T. R., Hegerl, G. C., & Razuvaev, V. N. (2005) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3339.1 · Cited by 1,334
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Cited by
Dunn, R. J. H., Alexander, L. V., Donat, M. G., Zhang, X., Bador, M., Herold, N., Lippmann, T., Allan, R., Aguilar, E., Barry, A. A., et al. (2020) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2019jd032263 · Cited by 480
Self-citationAlexander, L. V., & Arblaster, J. M. (2009) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.1730 · Cited by 391
Self-citationDecadal to multidecadal variability and the climate change background
Parker, D., Folland, C., Scaife, A., Knight, J., Colman, A., Baines, P., & Dong, B. (2007) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2007jd008411 · Cited by 306
Self-citationLong-range prediction and the stratosphere
Scaife, A. A., Baldwin, M. P., Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Domeisen, D. I. V., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Haynes, P., Karpechko, A. Y., Lim, E.-P., et al. (2022) · Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics · doi:10.5194/acp-22-2601-2022 · Cited by 85
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Metadata
- Authors
- Scaife, A. A., Folland, C. K., Alexander, L. V., Moberg, A., & Knight, J. R.
- Venue
- Journal of Climate
- Publisher
- American Meteorological Society
- Published
- 2008-01-01
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 72-83
- ISSN
- 0894-8755 (ISSN-L)
- 1520-0442
- OpenAlex
- W1963819694
- Cited by
- 290
- References
- 33
- FWCI
- 11.75
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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