The DOI matches its Crossref record; 27 of the 27 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Anxiety of Political Uncertainty: Insights from the Brexit Vote
Open accessAbstract
Anxiety is driven by cognitive uncertainty, and large political events can change levels of uncertainty in a nation’s population, including among individuals in migrant groups. This article explores the association between the Brexit vote and the relative anxiety levels of various sectors of the UK population: the UK born, EU migrants, and non-EU migrants. Self-reported high anxiety levels among these population groups six months before and after the referendum suggest differences in social and economic uncertainty. After the Brexit vote, EU migrants reported high levels of anxiety at a rate that was 1.8 percentage points lower than the UK born; this suggests economic rather than social anxiety, given that the UK born were losing access to EU opportunities. The reduction in anxiety for EU migrants was marked in regions with greater support to remain in the EU, suggesting its importance in reducing their social uncertainty and therefore anxiety.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“Studies have demonstrated that uncertainty surrounding elections, governance changes, and economic downturns can lead to future-oriented anxiety, heightened vigilance, and cognitive rigidity [49].”
From Impact of Media-Induced Uncertainty on Mental Health: Narrative-Based Perspective. (2025) · cites this paper as [49]
Citations
Cites
All Negative Moods Are Not Equal: Motivational Influences of Anxiety and Sadness on Decision Making
Raghunathan, R., & Pham, M. T. (1999) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1006/obhd.1999.2838 · Cited by 1,277 · cited 1×
“First, anxiety may affect many life outcomes by impairing cognitive performance (Raghunathan and Pham 1999; Wetherell et al. 2002; Linder et al. 2020).”
BackgroundStein, M. B., & Stein, D. J. (2008) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(08)60488-2 · Cited by 1,137
Threat, Anxiety, and Support of Antiterrorism Policies
Huddy, L., Feldman, S., Taber, C., & Lahav, G. (2005) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2005.00144.x · Cited by 948 · cited 1×
“Keywords: immigration; Brexit; mental health; anxiety; uncertainty; political events Massively shared societal events—such as terrorist attacks (Huddy et al. 2005), natural disasters (Beaglehole et al. 2018), and pandemics (Fetzer et al. 2020)—can have widespread cognitive and affective effects.”
BackgroundBeaglehole, B., Mulder, R. T., Frampton, C. M., Boden, J. M., Newton-Howes, G., & Bell, C. J. (2018) · The British Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1192/bjp.2018.210 · Cited by 454 · cited 1×
“Keywords: immigration; Brexit; mental health; anxiety; uncertainty; political events Massively shared societal events—such as terrorist attacks (Huddy et al. 2005), natural disasters (Beaglehole et al. 2018), and pandemics (Fetzer et al. 2020)—can have widespread cognitive and affective effects.”
BackgroundCoronavirus Perceptions and Economic Anxiety
Fetzer, T., Hensel, L., Hermle, J., & Roth, C. (2020) · The Review of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.1162/rest_a_00946 · Cited by 444
Anxiety, Cognitive Performance, and Cognitive Decline in Normal Aging
Wetherell, J. L., Reynolds, C. A., Gatz, M., & Pedersen, N. L. (2002) · The Journals of Gerontology Series B · doi:10.1093/geronb/57.3.p246 · Cited by 200 · cited 1×
“First, anxiety may affect many life outcomes by impairing cognitive performance (Raghunathan and Pham 1999; Wetherell et al. 2002; Linder et al. 2020).”
BackgroundTHE EFFECT OF MENTAL HEALTH ON EMPLOYMENT: EVIDENCE FROM AUSTRALIAN PANEL DATA
Frijters, P., Johnston, D. W., & Shields, M. A. (2014) · Health Economics · doi:10.1002/hec.3083 · Cited by 176 · cited 1×
“Second, substantial evidence exists that anxiety can have negative implications for labor market outcomes and productivity (Chatterji et al. 2007; Frijters, Johnston, and Shields 2014; Banerjee, Chatterji, and Lahiri 2017).”
BackgroundGuma, T., & Jones, R. (2018) · Population Space and Place · doi:10.1002/psp.2198 · Cited by 136
Chatterji, P., Alegria, M. M., Lu, M., & Takeuchi, D. T. (2007) · Health Economics · doi:10.1002/hec.1210 · Cited by 132 · cited 1×
“Second, substantial evidence exists that anxiety can have negative implications for labor market outcomes and productivity (Chatterji et al. 2007; Frijters, Johnston, and Shields 2014; Banerjee, Chatterji, and Lahiri 2017).”
BackgroundBanerjee, S., Chatterji, P., & Lahiri, K. (2015) · Health Economics · doi:10.1002/hec.3286 · Cited by 131
UK Euroscepticism and the Brexit Referendum
Vasilopoulou, S. (2016) · The Political Quarterly · doi:10.1111/1467-923x.12258 · Cited by 126
Ramiah, V., Pham, H. N. A., & Moosa, I. A. (2016) · Applied Economics · doi:10.1080/00036846.2016.1240352 · Cited by 125 · cited 1×
“In fact, financial markets worldwide had an immediate negative reaction to the electoral result, with the UK pound depreciating to a 31-year low against the U.S. dollar (Ramiah, Pham, and Moosa 2016), and the economic downturn was forecasted to be stronger in the UK than in other eU countries.”
BackgroundEquity for All Students in the New Millennium
Furner, J. M., & Duffy, M. L. (2002) · Intervention in School and Clinic · doi:10.1177/10534512020380020101 · Cited by 109 · cited 1×
“For instance, evidence exists that positive messages from doctors and teachers can reduce anxiety among patients and students, respectively (Furner and Duffy 2002; Stortenbeker et al. 2018).”
BackgroundMcGhee, D., Moreh, C., & Vlachantoni, A. (2017) · Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies · doi:10.1080/1369183x.2017.1299622 · Cited by 99
Young adults’ psychological and physiological reactions to the 2016 U.S. presidential election
Hoyt, L. T., Zeiders, K. H., Chaku, N., Toomey, R. B., & Nair, R. L. (2018) · Psychoneuroendocrinology · doi:10.1016/j.psyneuen.2018.03.011 · Cited by 84 · cited 1×
“2016 election of Donald Trump, have been followed by widely shared negative psychological experiences (Hoyt et al. 2018).”
BackgroundReason for immigration and immigrants' health
Giuntella, O., Kone, Z. L., Ruiz, I., & Vargas‐Silva, C. (2018) · Public Health · doi:10.1016/j.puhe.2018.01.037 · Cited by 69 · cited 1×
“This corresponds well with a large literature indicating that migrants tend to have a health advantage over natives across countries (giuntella et al. 2018, 2019).”
ResultSelf-citationLinder, A., Gerdtham, U., Trygg, N. F., Fritzell, S. C., & Saha, S. (2019) · European Journal of Public Health · doi:10.1093/eurpub/ckz127 · Cited by 67
Immigration and the reallocation of work health risks
Giuntella, O., Mazzonna, F., Nicodemo, C., & Vargas‐Silva, C. (2018) · Journal of Population Economics · doi:10.1007/s00148-018-0710-3 · Cited by 62
Self-citationWho Got the Brexit Blues? The Effect of Brexit on Subjective Wellbeing in the UK
Powdthavee, N., Plagnol, A. C., Frijters, P., & Clark, A. E. (2019) · Economica · doi:10.1111/ecca.12304 · Cited by 60 · cited 1×
“Antidepressant prescriptions increased after the referendum (Vandoros, Avendano, and Kawachi 2019; Liew, goodwin, and Walasek 2020), although only small effects appeared on average life satisfaction of UK residents (Powdthavee et al. 2019).”
BackgroundFrost, D. M. (2019) · Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1037/ccp0000458 · Cited by 43 · cited 1×
“…the referendum result was accompanied by uncertainty about the future social rights of eU migrants in the UK (Hall et al. 2020; Mcghee, Moreh, and Vlachantoni 2017).2 Some evidence indicated that the referendum increased social anxiety among eU migrants (Frost 2020; guma and Dafydd Jones 2019).”
BackgroundThe Economic Impact of Brexit: Evidence from Modelling Free Trade Agreements
Belke, A. H., & Gros, D. (2017) · Atlantic Economic Journal · doi:10.1007/s11293-017-9553-7 · Cited by 41 · cited 1×
“economic anxiety related to the referendum result was high in general with the overall negative outlook for the UK economy after the vote (Belke and gros 2017).”
BackgroundStortenbeker, I. A., Houwen, J., Lucassen, P. L., Stappers, H. W., Assendelft, W. J., van Dulmen, S., Hartman, T. O., & Das, E. (2018) · Patient Education and Counseling · doi:10.1016/j.pec.2018.05.002 · Cited by 41 · cited 1×
“For instance, evidence exists that positive messages from doctors and teachers can reduce anxiety among patients and students, respectively (Furner and Duffy 2002; Stortenbeker et al. 2018).”
BackgroundVandoros, S., Avendaño, M., & Kawachi, I. I. (2018) · Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health · doi:10.1136/jech-2018-210637 · Cited by 33
Migration uncertainty in the context of Brexit: resource conservation tactics
Hall, K., Phillimore, J., Grzymała-Kazłowska, A., Vershinina, N. A., Ögtem‐Young, Ö., & Harris, C. (2020) · Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies · doi:10.1080/1369183x.2020.1839398 · Cited by 28
EU Migration to and from the UK After Brexit
Vargas‐Silva, C. (2016) · Intereconomics · doi:10.1007/s10272-016-0613-z · Cited by 26 · cited 1×
“…version of the UK Annual Population Survey produced by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and supplied by the UK Data Service (UKDS), but the views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the ONS or UKDS. about the rights of eU migrants in the UK (Vargas-Silva 2016).”
Self-citationThe 2016 presidential election and periviable births among Latina women
Gemmill, A., Catalano, R. A., Alcalá, H. E., Karasek, D. A., Casey, J. A., & Bruckner, T. A. (2020) · Early Human Development · doi:10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2020.105203 · Cited by 20 · cited 1×
“For example, after the Trump election, premature births increased among Latina women, a factor linked with increased anxiety among the U.S. Latino population (gemmill et al. 2020).”
BackgroundLiew, T., Goodwin, R. B., & Walasek, L. (2020) · Social Science & Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2020.113025 · Cited by 10 · cited 1×
“Antidepressant prescriptions increased after the referendum (Vandoros, Avendano, and Kawachi 2019; Liew, goodwin, and Walasek 2020), although only small effects appeared on average life satisfaction of UK residents (Powdthavee et al. 2019).”
Background
Research works printed but not linked: 2
- Office for National Statistics. 2020. Annual Population Survey, 2004–2020: Secure Access [data collection]. 17th edition. UK Data Service. SN: 6721.
- Vargas-Silva Carlos. 2011. Lessons from the EU Eastern enlargement: Chances and challenges for policy makers CESifo DICE Report ISSN 1613-6373 ifo Institut - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München München 9 (4): 9–13.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Impact of Media-Induced Uncertainty on Mental Health: Narrative-Based Perspective.
Kesner, L., Juríčková, V., Grygarová, D., & Horáček, J. (2025) · JMIR Mental Health · doi:10.2196/68640 · Cited by 23
“Studies have demonstrated that uncertainty surrounding elections, governance changes, and economic downturns can lead to future-oriented anxiety, heightened vigilance, and cognitive rigidity [49].”
Duda‐Mikulin, E. A. (2024) · Social Sciences · doi:10.3390/socsci13090493 · Cited by 10
Ortlund, K., Chandler, M., Lin, B., Anastario, M. P., & Eick, S. M. (2025) · Social Science & Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2025.117800 · Cited by 7
Cui, Z., Liu, L., & Zhuang, C. C. (2023) · Economics Letters · doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111189 · Cited by 2
Researching and Communicating Migration and Disability
Duda‐Mikulin, E. A. (2025) · Kultura i Społeczeństwo · doi:10.35757/kis.2025.69.2.4
Metadata
- Authors
- Ruiz, I., & Vargas-Silva, C.
- ORCID
- Ruiz, Isabel
- Venue
- The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2021-09
- Volume
- 697
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 81-98
- ISSN
- 0002-7162 (ISSN-L)
- 1552-3349
- OpenAlex
- W4200351359
- Cited by
- 6
- References
- 27
- Citations by year
- 2025: 4 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 1
- FWCI
- 1.66
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Migration, Refugees, and Integration
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Populism, Right-Wing Movements
- Keywords
- Brexit, anxiety, political uncertainty, cognitive uncertainty, EU migrants, non-EU immigrants, economic uncertainty, social uncertainty, referendum, self-reported anxiety
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review