Climate change, violent conflict and local institutions in Kenya’s drylands
Open accessAbstract
Many regions that are endowed with scarce natural resources such as arable land and water, and which are remote from a central government, suffer from violence and ethnic strife. A number of studies have looked at the convergence of economic, political and ecological marginality in several African countries. However, there is limited empirical study on the role of violence in pastoral livelihoods across ecological and geographical locations. Yet, case studies focusing on livelihood and poverty issues could inform us about violent behaviour as collective action or as individual decisions, and to what extent such decisions are informed or explained by specific climatic conditions. Several case studies point out that violence is indeed an enacted behaviour, rooted in culture and an accepted form of interaction. This article critically discusses the relevance of geographical and climatic parameters in explaining the connection between poverty and violent conflicts in Kenya’s pastoral areas. These issues are considered vis-à-vis the role institutional arrangements play in preventing violent conflict over natural resources from occurring or getting out of hand. The article uses long-term historical data, archival information and a number of fieldwork sources. The results indicate that the context of violence does not deny its agency in explanation of conflicts, but the institutional set-up may ultimately explain the occurrence of the resource curse.
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Increased precipitation can also make violent conflict more likely in certain settings, by allowing rebels to live off the land, triggering targeting of rich agricultural areas by state forces, or allowing cattle raiders to hide.
“First, increased precipitation can also make violent conflict more likely in certain settings. It allows rebels to live off the land and feed their fighters (Schon et al 2023b), can trigger the targeting of rich agricultural areas by state forces (Selby and Hoffmann 2014, Koren and Schon 2023), or allow cattle raiders to hide in dense vegetation while their tracks are washed away (Adano et al 2012”
From The impacts of climate change on violent conflict risk: a review of causal pathways (2024) · cites this paper as Adano et al 2012
Where (neo-)traditional institutions are well-functioning, there is evidence that they can contribute to dampening the risk of violence in the wake of climate-related shocks.
“Where such institutions are well-functioning there is evidence that they can contribute to dampening the risk of violence in the wake of climate-related shocks (117-119).”
From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [119]
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References 52 · Cited by 259
- Authors
- Adano, W. R., Dietz, T., Witsenburg, K., & Zaal, F.
- Affiliations
- Max Planck Institute for Social Anthropology (DE)
- Leiden University (NL)
- Royal Tropical Institute (NL)
- Corresponding author
- Adano, Wario R
- ORCID
- Dietz, Ton
- Venue
- Journal of Peace Research
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2012-01-01
- Volume
- 49
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 65-80
- ISSN
- 0022-3433 (ISSN-L)
- 1460-3578
- OpenAlex
- W2085322044
- Cited by
- 259
- References
- 52
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 24 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 21 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 27 · 2019: 16 · 2018: 21 · 2017: 23 · 2016: 14 · 2015: 21 · 2014: 24 · 2013: 5 · 2012: 12
- FWCI
- 65.40
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- Locations
- Journal of Peace Research (publishedVersion)
- UvA-DARE (University of Amsterdam) (publishedVersion)
- Leiden Repository (Leiden University) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Transboundary Water Resource Management
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law › Rangeland Management and Livestock Ecology
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Keywords
- climate change, violent conflict, local institutions, arid regions, pastoral livelihoods, poverty, resource curse, natural resource conflicts, ethnic conflict, Kenya, marginality, conflict prevention
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