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The Triumph of Novelty over Experience? Social Policy Responses to Demographic Crises in Hungary and Poland since EU Enlargement
Abstract
This article belongs to the special cluster, “Politics and Current Demographic Challenges in Central and Eastern Europe,” guest-edited by Tsveta Petrova and Tomasz Inglot. During the past two decades, many European countries, including Germany, Italy, and Spain in the west, and Poland and Hungary in the east, encountered prolonged demographic crises. These challenges first became evident in the late 1990s as fertility rates declined rapidly, much below the level necessary to ensure a simple replacement of generations. Moreover, since the EU accession, mass labor migration from the new Member States to the more developed western European countries added yet another dimension to the growing population problems. This article attempts to explain variation in governmental policy responses to these developments between two countries, Poland and Hungary. Hungary, owing to its long-term tradition of relatively generous and extensive social programs directed to families, youth, and children, should be expected to handle its population emergency much better than Poland. Yet, the opposite has happened. In the last few years, Poland has proposed and implemented several innovative measures to address fertility and migration pressures while Hungary has remained committed to its traditional social policies in this domain. I will analyze and compare the two cases by examining a combination of historical factors related to the legacies of demographic emergencies defined in terms of national s…
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In the citing paper
“A comparison of family policies employed in the three former communist states of Poland, Hungary and Romania show continuity in the pre-1990 period as the three states share Bismarckian legacies as regards maternity care, protection of the traditional family as well as all major benefits which were extended during the communist period.”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020: 3
In the citing paper
“In 2013, Poland registered a fertility rate at 1.29, compared to Hungary at 1.35, when both countries remained far below the EU-28 average of 1.55.”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020:3
In the citing paper
“the median age of Hungary's population increased from 37.4 to 41.3 years.”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020:3
In the citing paper
“In contrast, Poland neglected family support and childcare until recently.”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020: 3
In the citing paper
“The Polish demographic crisis was further exacerbated by mass migration (predominantly of younger people) to the west, reaching a high of 2.5 million: more than 2 million Poles moved to EU states in 2016”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020:3
In the citing paper
“Hungary has been a leader in the development of kindergartens and achieved major progress in the area of family policy during the 1970s and 1980s, when both Poland and Romania lagged far behind”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020: 3
In the citing paper
“In Poland, during the same period, the median age rose even faster from just 33.4 to 39.5.”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020:3
In the citing paper
“Unlike Poland, Hungary developed and maintained a generous and extensive social policy, with a particular focus on the declining fertility rate and childcare during the decades before 2004.”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020: 3
In the citing paper
“Large families with three or more children as well as those lower-income families who had faced the greatest losses following the transition to a market economy after the regime change have benefited the most from the new family policy”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020:15
In the citing paper
“the second Orbán government's reform program offered substantial tax breaks for higher- and middle-income families and based its family policy on a disproportional redistribution of funds from the poor to the wealthy”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020: 9
In the citing paper
“As a result of the reform, child poverty decreased by as much as fifty to seventy percent in comparison to the pre-2016 period.”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020:15
In the citing paper
“Poland, however, embarked on a different path of family policy, even though this route also focused on the continuing fertility decline”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020: 9
In the citing paper
“In 2015, it was the Law and Justice (PiS) Party, which announced the major benefit known as 500+ . This new family policy granted each family with two or more children a monthly, tax-free benefit of 500 zloty (ca.120 Euros), which was separate from the means-tested family allowance”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020:15
In the citing paper
“In Hungary, Orbán's centralized, decision-making power left little room for civic bodies: in Poland, the discussion surrounding the family program was a complex process of interaction carried out among political parties, nongovernmental bodies and individuals with considerable influence in the formulation of family policy before 2016.”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020: 9
In the citing paper
“Beginning in 2016, this program was expanded to include all children in the 500+ .”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020:15
In the citing paper
“In contrast, from 2010 the Hungarian family policy focused only on the 'better-off families' found in the upper and middle strata of society and disregarded child poverty (Inglot 2020: 3; See Appendix, Table 6).”
From Child and Family Benefits to Halt Hungary’s Population Decline, 1965-2020: A Comparison with Polish and Romanian Family Policies (2021) · cites this paper as Inglot 2020: 3
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Szántó, I. (2021) · Hungarian Cultural Studies · doi:10.5195/ahea.2021.429 · Cited by 110
Metadata
- Authors
- Inglot, T.
- Affiliations
- Minnesota State University, Mankato (US)
- Corresponding author
- Inglot, Tomasz
- ORCID
- Inglot, Tomasz
- Venue
- East European Politics and Societies: and Cultures
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2020-05-12
- Volume
- 34
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 984-1004
- ISSN
- 0888-3254 (ISSN-L)
- 1533-8371
- OpenAlex
- W3024452315
- Cited by
- 20
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 13 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 2 · 2020: 1
- FWCI
- 1.33
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- East European Politics and Societies and Cultures (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social Policies and Family
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Social Policy and Reform Studies
- Social Sciences › Demography › Social and Demographic Issues in Germany
- Keywords
- demographic crisis, fertility decline, family policy, social policy, EU enlargement, labor migration, policy innovation, Hungary, Poland, comparative policy analysis, coalition politics, post-communist transition, population policy
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Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Triumph of Novelty over Experience? Social Policy Responses to Demographic Crises in Hungary and Poland since EU Enlargement. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1177/0888325419874421
- The paper
- Inglot, T. (2020). The Triumph of Novelty over Experience? Social Policy Responses to Demographic Crises in Hungary and Poland since EU Enlargement. East European Politics and Societies: and Cultures. https://doi.org/10.1177/0888325419874421