The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Why the Pirate Party Won the German Election of 2009 or The Trouble With Predictions: A Response to Tumasjan, A., Sprenger, T. O., Sander, P. G., & Welpe, I. M. “Predicting Elections With Twitter: What 140 Characters Reveal About Political Sentiment”
Abstract
In their article “Predicting Elections with Twitter: What 140 Characters Reveal About Political Sentiment,” the authors Andranik Tumasjan, Timm O. Sprenger, Philipp G. Sandner, and Isabell M. Welpe (TSSW) the authors claim that it would be possible to predict election outcomes in Germany by examining the relative frequency of the mentions of political parties in Twitter messages posted during the election campaign. In this response we show that the results of TSSW are contingent on arbitrary choices of the authors. We demonstrate that as of yet the relative frequency of mentions of German political parties in Twitter message allows no prediction of election results.
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Cites
Predicting the future with social media
Asur, S., & Huberman, B. A. (2010) · 2010 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology · doi:10.1109/wi-iat.2010.63 · Cited by 2,081
Cited by
Luo, W., Phung, D., Tran, T., Gupta, S., Rana, S., Karmakar, C., Shilton, A., Yearwood, J., Dimitrova, N., Ho, T. B., et al. (2016) · Journal of Medical Internet Research · doi:10.2196/jmir.5870 · Cited by 988
How Social Media Facilitates Political Protest: Information, Motivation, and Social Networks
Jost, J. T., Barberá, P., Bonneau, R., Langer, M., Metzger, M., Nagler, J., Sterling, J., & Tucker, J. A. (2018) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.12478 · Cited by 492
Emotional Dynamics in the Age of Misinformation
Zollo, F., Novak, P. K., Del Vicario, M., Bessi, A., Mozetič, I., Scala, A., Caldarelli, G., & Quattrociocchi, W. (2015) · PLOS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0138740 · Cited by 273
Gayo-Avello, D. (2012) · arXiv · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1204.6441 · Cited by 179
Guerrero-Solé, F., & Lopez-Gonzalez, H. (2019) · Social Science Computer Review · doi:10.1177/0894439317744163 · Cited by 28
Metadata
- Authors
- Jungherr, A., Jürgens, P., & Schoen, H.
- Venue
- Social Science Computer Review
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2011-04-25
- Volume
- 30
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 229-234
- ISSN
- 0894-4393 (ISSN-L)
- 1552-8286
- OpenAlex
- W2116646433
- Cited by
- 267
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 57.31
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Why the Pirate Party Won the German Election of 2009 or The Trouble With Predictions: A Response to Tumasjan, A., Sprenger, T. O., Sander, P. G., & Welpe, I. M. “Predicting Elections With Twitter: What 140 Characters Reveal About Political Sentiment”. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1177/0894439311404119
- The paper
- Jungherr, A., Jürgens, P., & Schoen, H. (2012). Why the Pirate Party Won the German Election of 2009 or The Trouble With Predictions: A Response to Tumasjan, A., Sprenger, T. O., Sander, P. G., & Welpe, I. M. “Predicting Elections With Twitter: What 140 Characters Reveal About Political Sentiment”. Social Science Computer Review. https://doi.org/10.1177/0894439311404119
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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