Theories of Change and Realistic Evaluation: Peas in a Pod or Apples and Oranges?
Abstract
Two proponents of theory-based approaches to evaluation that have found favour in the UK in recent years are Theories of Change and Realistic Evaluation. In this article we share our evolving views on the points of connection and digression between the approaches based on our reading of the theory-based evaluation literature and our practice experience. We provide a background to the two approaches that emphasizes the importance of programme context in understanding how complex programmes lead to changes in outcomes.We then explore some of the differences in how `theory' is conceptualized and used within the two approaches and consider how knowledge is generated and cumulated in subtly different ways depending on the approach that is taken. Finally, we offer our thoughts on what this means for evaluators on the ground seeking an appropriate framework for their practice.
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Realist approaches have a different theoretical basis to ToC and differ in several ways including how they articulate and generate theory, the degree to which stakeholders are involved and the types of knowledge they seek to generate.
“Realist approaches have a different theoretical basis to ToC and differ in several ways including how they articulate and generate theory, the degree to which stakeholders are involved and the types of knowledge they seek to generate [20].”
From Using theory of change to design and evaluate public health interventions: a systematic review (2015) · cites this paper as [20]
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Eastwood, J. G., de Souza, D., Shaw, M., Garg, P., Woolfenden, S. R., Tyler, I. V., & Kemp, L. (2019) · International Journal of Integrated Care · doi:10.5334/ijic.3963 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Childsmile after 10 years part 2: programme development, implementation and evaluation
Macpherson, L. M. D., Rodgers, J., & Conway, D. I. (2019) · Dental Update · doi:10.12968/denu.2019.46.3.238 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
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Hickey, G., McGilloway, S., Furlong, M., Leckey, Y., Bywater, T. J., & Donnelly, M. (2016) · BMC Health Services Research · doi:10.1186/s12913-016-1737-3 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
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- Authors
- Blamey, A., & Mackenzie, M.
- Affiliations
- National Health Service Scotland (GB)
- University of Glasgow (GB)
- Venue
- Evaluation
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2007-10
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 439-455
- ISSN
- 1356-3890 (ISSN-L)
- 1461-7153
- OpenAlex
- W2145892273
- Cited by
- 383
- References
- 27
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 20 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 26 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 41 · 2019: 45 · 2018: 21 · 2017: 26 · 2016: 34 · 2015: 20 · 2014: 15 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 23
- FWCI
- 9.03
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Evaluation (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Evaluation and Performance Assessment
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Health Policy Implementation Science
- Keywords
- theory of change, realist evaluation, theory-based evaluation, program outcomes, knowledge production, evaluator practice, evaluation framework
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