The DOI matches its Crossref record; 12 of the 12 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Long Way From α-Error Control to Validity Proper: Problems With a Short-Sighted False-Positive Debate
Abstract
Several influential publications have sensitized the community of behavioral scientists to the dangers of inflated effects and false-positive errors leading to the unwarranted publication of nonreplicable findings. This issue has been related to prominent cases of data fabrication and survey results pointing to bad practices in empirical science. Although we concur with the motives behind these critical arguments, we note that an isolated debate of false positives may itself be misleading and counter-productive. Instead, we argue that, given the current state of affairs in behavioral science, false negatives often constitute a more serious problem. Referring to Wason’s (1960) seminal work on inductive reasoning, we show that the failure to assertively generate and test alternative hypotheses can lead to dramatic theoretical mistakes, which cannot be corrected by any kind of rigor applied to statistical tests of the focal hypotheses. We conclude that a scientific culture rewarding strong inference (Platt, 1964) is more likely to see progress than a culture preoccupied with tightening its standards for the mere publication of original findings.
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Cites
Higgins, E. T. (1997) · American Psychologist · doi:10.1037/0003-066x.52.12.1280 · Cited by 6,775
Simmons, J. P., Nelson, L. D., & Simonsohn, U. (2011) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/0956797611417632 · Cited by 6,567
Why Most Published Research Findings Are False
Ioannidis, J. P. A. (2005) · CHANCE · doi:10.1080/09332480.2005.10722754 · Cited by 4,702 · cited 2×
“As a result, virtually all suggested remedies to invalid scientific inferences have concentrated on α-error control in statistical significance testing, thus considering false positives as the most prevalent and most costly error in current behavioral science (Ioannidis, 2005; Simmons et al., 2011; Wagenmakers et al.,…”
BackgroundPlatt, J. R. (1964) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.146.3642.347 · Cited by 2,907
The statistical power of abnormal-social psychological research: A review.
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Puzzlingly High Correlations in fMRI Studies of Emotion, Personality, and Social Cognition
Vul, E., Harris, C., Winkielman, P., & Pashler, H. (2009) · Perspectives on Psychological Science · doi:10.1111/j.1745-6924.2009.01125.x · Cited by 1,475
Yes, but what’s the mechanism? (don’t expect an easy answer).
Bullock, J. G., Green, D. P., & Ha, S. E. (2010) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/a0018933 · Cited by 1,063
Erroneous analyses of interactions in neuroscience: A problem of significance
Nieuwenhuis, S., Forstmann, B. U., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2011) · Nature Neuroscience · doi:10.1038/nn.2886 · Cited by 864
Do studies of statistical power have an effect on the power of studies?
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Cited by
Lakens, D. (2013) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2013.00863 · Cited by 10,303
The New Statistics: Why and How
Cumming, G. (2014) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/0956797613504966 · Cited by 3,200
Nelson, L. D., Simmons, J., & Simonsohn, U. (2018) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-122216-011836 · Cited by 548
Addressing the theory crisis in psychology
Oberauer, K., & Lewandowsky, S. (2019) · Psychonomic Bulletin & Review · doi:10.3758/s13423-019-01645-2 · Cited by 462
Questionable Research Practices Revisited
Fiedler, K., & Schwarz, N. (2016) · Social Psychological and Personality Science · doi:10.1177/1948550615612150 · Cited by 279
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Fiedler, K., Kutzner, F., & Krueger, J. I.
- Venue
- Perspectives on Psychological Science
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2012-11
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 661-669
- ISSN
- 1745-6916 (ISSN-L)
- 1745-6924
- OpenAlex
- W2090853328
- Cited by
- 229
- References
- 12
- FWCI
- 15.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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