Role of interleukin 6 as a predictive factor for a severe course of Covid-19: retrospective data analysis of patients from a long-term care facility during Covid-19 outbreak
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Abstract
Background: Covid-19 is a disease with high morbidity and mortality among elderly residents of long-term care facilities (LTCF). During an outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the LTCF an effective screening tool is essential to identify the patients at risk for severe disease. We explored the role of interleukin 6 (IL-6) as a predictor for severe disease during the outbreak of Covid-19 in one LTCF in Slovakia. Methods: We conducted a retrospective data analysis of cases of COVID-19, diagnosed during the outbreak in one LTCF in Slovakia between April 11, 2020, and May 5, 2020. Within 24 h after the diagnosis of Covid-19, clinical and laboratory screening was performed in the LTCF to identify patients in need of hospitalization. Patients with oxygen saturation below 90% were immediately referred to the hospital. Patients staying in the LFTC were monitored daily and those that developed hypoxemia were transferred to the hospital. We analyzed the association between the IL-6 at the initial assessment and development of hypoxemia during follow up and determined the cut-off of the IL-6 able to predict the development of hypoxemia requiring oxygen therapy. Results: Fifty-three patients (11 men, 42 women) with diagnosed Covid-19 were included in the analysis. 19 (53%) patients developed hypoxemia during the disease. Patients with hypoxemia had significantly higher concentrations of IL-6, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, fibrinogen, total bilirubin, aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase at initial screening. ROC analyses identified IL-6 as the most robust predictor of hypoxemia. The concentration of IL-6 > 24 pg/mL predicted the development of hypoxemia with the sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 88.9%. The positive and negative predictive values were 76.9, and 100% respectively. Conclusions: The concentration of IL-6 > 24 pg/mL at initial assessment predicted the development of hypoxemia requiring hospitalization with excellent sensitivity and good specificity. IL-6 appears as a potential predictor for the development of the severe Covid-19 and might serve for early identification of patients in need of hospitalization. Further studies are needed to evaluate the robustness of the use of IL-6 as an effective screening tool for the severe course of Covid-19.
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Taurine has been linked to protection from inflammation in SARS-CoV-2 viral infection and reduces oxidative damage by formation of taurine haloamines.
“In addition, taurine has been linked to protection from inflammation in SARS-CoV-2 viral infection and reduces oxidative damage by the formation of taurine haloamines.71,72”
From Taurine lowers inflammaging by regulating the NLRP3 inflammasome in macrophages (2026) · cites this paper as [72]
The Background and Discussion address COVID-19 inflammation and IL-6 as a marker of severe disease, but do not discuss taurine. Searches for taurine, taurine haloamines, and oxidative damage found no passage supporting either attributed effect. (LLM, conf=0.76)
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- Authors
- Sabaka, P., Koščálová, A., Straka, I., Hodosy, J., Lipták, R., Kmotorková, B., Kachlíková, M., & Kušnírová, A.
- Affiliations
- Comenius University Bratislava (SK)
- Slovak Medical University (SK)
- University Hospital Bratislava (SK)
- Corresponding author
- Sabaka, P.
- Venue
- BMC Infectious Diseases
- Published
- 2021-03-29
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 308-308
- ISSN
- 1471-2334 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC8006112
- OpenAlex
- W3113110940
- Cited by
- 130
- References
- 5
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 38 · 2022: 48 · 2021: 26
- FWCI
- 9.74
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- BMC Infectious Diseases (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- Agentúra na Podporu Výskumu a Vývoja (APVV-18-0287)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Neurology › Long-Term Effects of COVID-19
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Geriatric Care and Nursing Homes
- Keywords
- interleukin-6, COVID-19 pandemic, long-term care facilities, hypoxemia, disease severity prediction, prognostic factors, elderly residents, SARS-CoV-2, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, fibrinogen, early hospitalization, cytokine storm, hyperinflammation, liver enzymes, bilirubin
- MeSH terms
- COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Disease Outbreaks, Female, Hospitalization, Humans, Long-Term Care, Male, Retrospective Studies, Severity of Illness Index, Interleukin-6
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