A qualitative research framework for the design of user-centered displays of explanations for machine learning model predictions in healthcare
Open accessAbstract
Background: There is an increasing interest in clinical prediction tools that can achieve high prediction accuracy and provide explanations of the factors leading to increased risk of adverse outcomes. However, approaches to explaining complex machine learning (ML) models are rarely informed by end-user needs and user evaluations of model interpretability are lacking in the healthcare domain. We used extended revisions of previously-published theoretical frameworks to propose a framework for the design of user-centered displays of explanations. This new framework served as the basis for qualitative inquiries and design review sessions with critical care nurses and physicians that informed the design of a user-centered explanation display for an ML-based prediction tool. Methods: We used our framework to propose explanation displays for predictions from a p ediatric i ntensive c are u nit (PICU) in-hospital mortality risk model. Proposed displays were based on a model-agnostic, instance-level explanation approach based on feature influence, as determined by Shapley values. Focus group sessions solicited critical care provider feedback on the proposed displays, which were then revised accordingly. Results: The proposed displays were perceived as useful tools in assessing model predictions. However, specific explanation goals and information needs varied by clinical role and level of predictive modeling knowledge. Providers preferred explanation displays that required less information processing effort and could support the information needs of a variety of users. Providing supporting information to assist in interpretation was seen as critical for fostering provider understanding and acceptance of the predictions and explanations. The user-centered explanation display for the PICU in-hospital mortality risk model incorporated elements from the initial displays along with enhancements suggested by providers. Conclusions: We proposed a framework for the design of user-centered displays of explanations for ML models. We used the proposed framework to motivate the design of a user-centered display of an explanation for predictions from a PICU in-hospital mortality risk model. Positive feedback from focus group participants provides preliminary support for the use of model-agnostic, instance-level explanations of feature influence as an approach to understand ML model predictions in healthcare and advances the discussion on how to effectively communicate ML model information to healthcare providers.
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Health professionals positively perceived, and were more likely to use, XAI systems that fit into their existing workflow.
“Health professionals positively perceived, and were more likely to use, XAI systems that fit into their existing workflow [23–26,30,31,33,35].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
The Results section (‘Perceptions of participants on context of use’; page not provided) says that appropriate alerts and low time demands suggested workflow fit might influence perceived usability. The Discussion links actionable information to potential use, but the paper does not establish that workflow-fitting XAI systems were more likely to be used. The claim states that relationship more firmly than the source does. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredPerceptions of the XAI model's data quality impacted participants' trust and use of tools, and trust in outputs was reduced when XAI systems used hospital data that participants knew was unreliable.
“Similarly, perceptions of the XAI model’s data quality impacted participants trust and use of tools and trust in outputs were reduced when XAI system’s used hospital data that participants knew was unreliable [23,25,26,29,32,33,36].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
In Results, under “Perceptions of participants on context of use” (page not provided), the paper says predictions based on erroneous data were viewed unfavorably when participants assessed model credibility. It does not say participants knew particular hospital data were unreliable or report a resulting reduction in trust in the system’s outputs and use of the tools. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredA number of studies reported trust could be earned over time as model performance was proven.
“A number of studies also reported trust could be earned over time as model performance was proven [23,25,31–33,36], for example, an electrophysiologist said “I just think I should see that it confirms our decisions in enough cases - then I would feel comfortable about colleagues leaning on it” [33].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
The Results section (‘Perceptions of participants on context of use’; page not provided) says providers used explanations to assess model credibility and viewed high predictive performance favorably. It does not report that trust was earned over time as performance was proven, so the temporal part of the claim is unsupported. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredHealthcare professionals preferred grouping features and ordering them by their contribution to predicted risk to allow easy and quick interpretation.
“For presentation of features, healthcare professionals preferred grouping features and ordering them by their contribution to predicted risk to allow easy and quick interpretation.”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
In Results > Explanation design preferences (page not available), providers preferred grouping related features to reduce information-processing effort. The Discussion says participants valued seeing which risk factors contributed most to predicted risk. Neither passage establishes a preference for ordering features by their contribution, though the proposed display shows each feature’s contribution. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn three studies, participants reported wanting to see variables that could be altered through interventions in feature-based explanations.
“With regard to feature based explanations, participants in three studies reported wanting to see the variables that could be altered through interventions [23,25,28,32].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
The Results (Explanation design preferences; page unavailable) report that participants wanted actionable information, including ways to mitigate risk. The paper does not say they specifically wanted feature-based explanations to show variables alterable through interventions. It is one study cited alongside others, not evidence for the count of three by itself. (LLM, conf=0.83)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Simple, interpretable visualizations, such as bar charts and line graphs, were preferred for understanding predictions at a glance.
“Simple, interpretable visualizations, such as bar charts and line graphs, were preferred for understanding predictions at a glance.”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
In Results > Explanation design preferences (page not provided), providers preferred displays that reduced information-processing effort, and some preferred simpler explanations. The paper describes time-series plots as useful for examining patient data, but does not report a preference for bar charts and line graphs as ways to understand predictions at a glance; it says preferences about display format were mixed. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredSome health professionals had limited time to interpret model explanations and make a decision.
“Considering context and users was also reported, with some health professionals having limited time to interpret model explanations and make a decision [23,25,27,32].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Participants had concerns with performance regarding unique patients believed to be outliers.
“Participants also had concerns with performance regarding unique patients believed to be outliers [25,26,29,36].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Impact on workflow arose as a theme in 9 papers.
“Impact in workflow related to how XAI systems aligned with and influenced work processes, and arose as a theme in 9 papers [23–27,30,31,33,35].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Education and training was a theme that arose in 9 studies.
“Education and training was a theme that arose in 9 studies, where participants described their need for, or experience of, learning how to use the XAI system [23,25,26,28–30,32,35,36].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Perceptions on the model's performance were reported in 13 studies.
“Perceptions on the model’s performance was reported in 13 studies [23–26,29–37].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Participants in several studies described the role of the model's performance in influencing trust.
“Participants in several studies described the role of the model’s performance in influencing trust [23,25,31–33,36].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Participants wanted the XAI tool to be incorporated into existing decision making processes and to require action at the relevant time so they do not create additional work.
“For example, participants wanted the XAI tool to be incorporated into existing decision making processes, [35] and require action at the relevant time so they do not create additional work [25].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Validation of the model output was a major reason for explainability, reported in nine studies.
“Validation of the model output was a major reason for explainability, and was reported in nine studies [25–27,30,32,33,35,36,38].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
In two studies, some participants reported wanting to understand the model at a global level.
“Conversely, in two studies some participants reported wanting to also understand the model at a global level [25,36]”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
XAI model predictions were reportedly more likely to be accepted when they aligned with health professionals' knowledge or with the patient context.
“XAI model predictions were reportedly more likely to be accepted when they aligned with health professionals’ knowledge, or with the patient context [23,25,27–30,32–36]”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Five studies specifically described using SHAP.
“Five studies [23,25,27,28,34] specifically described using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP)”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Explanations were wanted by users for educational purposes, for example, so health professionals could learn from the model.
“Additionally, explanations were wanted by users for educational purposes, for example, so health professionals could learn from the model [25].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Health professionals' perceptions involving design and usability were found in 14 papers.
“Health professionals’ perceptions involving design and usability were found in 14 papers [23–34,37,38].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Eight studies reported participants desired actionable information from XAI systems.
“Eight studies in this review reported participants desired actionable information from the XAI systems [23–25,28,30,32,36,37].”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Flexibility in presentation formats was valued, enabling alignment with individual user preferences.
“Flexibility in presentation formats was also valued, enabling alignment with individual user preferences.”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Health professionals valued the presentation of contextual information such as patient results alongside predictions and explanations.
“Health professionals valued the presentation of contextual information such as patient results alongside predictions and explanations”
From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]
Similar to others, we found that extraction of directly interpretable patient data and actionable needs was a high priority.
“Similar to others,73–75 we found that extraction of directly interpretable patient data and actionable needs was a high priority (Subtheme 4.d).”
From Potential uses of AI for perioperative nursing handoffs: a qualitative study (2023) · cites this paper as [74]
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“…or tabs to offer additional information , so clinicians could choose how much information Use simple to interpret plots to understand at a glance what features impacted the prediction [24,25,27,33,34,38] “But this information over here [referring to Shapley values of dynamic contributors, Fig.”
Influential
- Authors
- Barda, A. J., Horvat, C. M., & Hochheiser, H.
- Affiliations
- University of Pittsburgh (US)
- Corresponding author
- Hochheiser, Harry
- Venue
- BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making
- Published
- 2020-10-08
- Volume
- 20
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 257-257
- ISSN
- 1472-6947 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7545557
- OpenAlex
- W3092259203
- Cited by
- 105
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2026: 15 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 22 · 2023: 23 · 2022: 16 · 2021: 10
- FWCI
- 4.82
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- U.S. National Library of Medicine (T15 LM007059)
- National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (K23HD099331)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning in Healthcare
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Health Informatics › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
- Keywords
- explainable machine learning, user-centered design, model interpretability, clinical prediction tool, in-hospital mortality prediction, pediatric intensive care, Shapley value, feature influence, instance-level explanation, model-agnostic explanation, intensive care unit nurses, physician attitudes, information needs
- MeSH terms
- Machine Learning, Child, Delivery of Health Care, Health Personnel, Humans, Intensive Care Units, Pediatric, Hospital Mortality, Focus Groups, Qualitative Research
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