Cited by 105Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)Machine Learning in HealthcareArtificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education

A qualitative research framework for the design of user-centered displays of explanations for machine learning model predictions in healthcare

Open access
Barda, Amie J., Horvat, Christopher M., Hochheiser, Harry·2020·BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making

Abstract

Background: There is an increasing interest in clinical prediction tools that can achieve high prediction accuracy and provide explanations of the factors leading to increased risk of adverse outcomes. However, approaches to explaining complex machine learning (ML) models are rarely informed by end-user needs and user evaluations of model interpretability are lacking in the healthcare domain. We used extended revisions of previously-published theoretical frameworks to propose a framework for the design of user-centered displays of explanations. This new framework served as the basis for qualitative inquiries and design review sessions with critical care nurses and physicians that informed the design of a user-centered explanation display for an ML-based prediction tool. Methods: We used our framework to propose explanation displays for predictions from a p ediatric i ntensive c are u nit (PICU) in-hospital mortality risk model. Proposed displays were based on a model-agnostic, instance-level explanation approach based on feature influence, as determined by Shapley values. Focus group sessions solicited critical care provider feedback on the proposed displays, which were then revised accordingly. Results: The proposed displays were perceived as useful tools in assessing model predictions. However, specific explanation goals and information needs varied by clinical role and level of predictive modeling knowledge. Providers preferred explanation displays that required less information processing effort and could support the information needs of a variety of users. Providing supporting information to assist in interpretation was seen as critical for fostering provider understanding and acceptance of the predictions and explanations. The user-centered explanation display for the PICU in-hospital mortality risk model incorporated elements from the initial displays along with enhancements suggested by providers. Conclusions: We proposed a framework for the design of user-centered displays of explanations for ML models. We used the proposed framework to motivate the design of a user-centered display of an explanation for predictions from a PICU in-hospital mortality risk model. Positive feedback from focus group participants provides preliminary support for the use of model-agnostic, instance-level explanations of feature influence as an approach to understand ML model predictions in healthcare and advances the discussion on how to effectively communicate ML model information to healthcare providers.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1186/s12911-020-01276-x

Cites

7 of 7 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Health professionals positively perceived, and were more likely to use, XAI systems that fit into their existing workflow.

    “Health professionals positively perceived, and were more likely to use, XAI systems that fit into their existing workflow [23–26,30,31,33,35].”

    From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]

    The Results section (‘Perceptions of participants on context of use’; page not provided) says that appropriate alerts and low time demands suggested workflow fit might influence perceived usability. The Discussion links actionable information to potential use, but the paper does not establish that workflow-fitting XAI systems were more likely to be used. The claim states that relationship more firmly than the source does. (LLM, conf=0.85)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Perceptions of the XAI model's data quality impacted participants' trust and use of tools, and trust in outputs was reduced when XAI systems used hospital data that participants knew was unreliable.

    “Similarly, perceptions of the XAI model’s data quality impacted participants trust and use of tools and trust in outputs were reduced when XAI system’s used hospital data that participants knew was unreliable [23,25,26,29,32,33,36].”

    From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]

    In Results, under “Perceptions of participants on context of use” (page not provided), the paper says predictions based on erroneous data were viewed unfavorably when participants assessed model credibility. It does not say participants knew particular hospital data were unreliable or report a resulting reduction in trust in the system’s outputs and use of the tools. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • A number of studies reported trust could be earned over time as model performance was proven.

    “A number of studies also reported trust could be earned over time as model performance was proven [23,25,31–33,36], for example, an electrophysiologist said “I just think I should see that it confirms our decisions in enough cases - then I would feel comfortable about colleagues leaning on it” [33].”

    From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]

    The Results section (‘Perceptions of participants on context of use’; page not provided) says providers used explanations to assess model credibility and viewed high predictive performance favorably. It does not report that trust was earned over time as performance was proven, so the temporal part of the claim is unsupported. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Healthcare professionals preferred grouping features and ordering them by their contribution to predicted risk to allow easy and quick interpretation.

    “For presentation of features, healthcare professionals preferred grouping features and ordering them by their contribution to predicted risk to allow easy and quick interpretation.”

    From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]

    In Results > Explanation design preferences (page not available), providers preferred grouping related features to reduce information-processing effort. The Discussion says participants valued seeing which risk factors contributed most to predicted risk. Neither passage establishes a preference for ordering features by their contribution, though the proposed display shows each feature’s contribution. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • In three studies, participants reported wanting to see variables that could be altered through interventions in feature-based explanations.

    “With regard to feature based explanations, participants in three studies reported wanting to see the variables that could be altered through interventions [23,25,28,32].”

    From Explainable AI in hospital clinical decision support systems: A scoping review of healthcare professionals’ perspectives (2026) · cites this paper as [25]

    The Results (Explanation design preferences; page unavailable) report that participants wanted actionable information, including ways to mitigate risk. The paper does not say they specifically wanted feature-based explanations to show variables alterable through interventions. It is one study cited alongside others, not evidence for the count of three by itself. (LLM, conf=0.83)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 30

  1. [1]Beam AL Kohane IS Big data and machine learning in health care JAMA. 2018 319 1317 1318 10.1001/jama.2017.18391 29532063 · DOI · Paper page
  2. [2]Shah ND Steyerberg EW Kent DM Big data and predictive analytics: recalibrating expectations JAMA. 2018 320 27 28 10.1001/jama.2018.5602 29813156 · DOI
  3. [3]Nakamura F Nakai M Prediction models - why are they used or not used? Circ J 2017 81 1766 1767 10.1253/circj.CJ-17-1185 29129875 · DOI
  4. [5]Ahmad MA Eckert C Teredesai A Interpretable machine learning in healthcare Proceedings of the 2018 ACM international conference on bioinformatics, computational biology, and health informatics - BCB ‘18 2018 New York ACM Press 559 560
  5. [6]Vellido A Societal Issues Concerning the Application of Artificial Intelligence in Medicine Kidney Dis (Basel, Switzerland) 2019 5 11 17 10.1159/000492428 PMC6388581 30815459 · DOI
  6. [9]Johnson TL Brewer D Estacio R Vlasimsky T Durfee MJ Thompson KR Augmenting Predictive Modeling Tools with Clinical Insights for Care Coordination Program Design and Implementation EGEMS (Washington, DC) 2015 3 1181 10.13063/2327-9214.1181 PMC4537083 26290884 · DOI
  7. [10]Elish MC The stakes of uncertainty: developing and integrating machine learning in clinical care Ethnographic Praxis in Industry Conference Proceedings 2018
  8. [12]Abdul A Vermeulen J Wang D Lim BY Kankanhalli M Trends and trajectories for explainable, accountable and intelligible systems Proceedings of the 2018 CHI conference on human factors in computing systems - CHI ‘18 2018 New York ACM Press 1 18
  9. [13]Zhu J Liapis A Risi S Bidarra R Youngblood GM Explainable AI for Designers: A Human-Centered Perspective on Mixed-Initiative Co-Creation 2018 IEEE conference on computational intelligence and games (CIG). IEEE 2018 1 8
  10. [14]Ras G van Gerven M Haselager P Escalante HJ Escalera S Guyon I Baró X Güçlütürk Y Güçlü U Explanation Methods in Deep Learning: Users, Values, Concerns and Challenges Explainable and Interpretable Models in Computer Vision and Machine Learning 2018 Cham Springer 19 36
  11. [15]Wang D Yang Q Abdul A Lim BY Designing theory-driven user-centric explainable AI Proceedings of the 2019 CHI conference on human factors in computing systems - CHI ‘19 2019 New York ACM Press 1 15
  12. [16]Lim BY Yang Q Abdul A Wang D Why these Explanations? Selecting Intelligibility Types for Explanation Goals Joint Proceedings of the ACM IUI 2019 Workshops. Los Angeles, CA, USA 2019
  13. [17]Ribera M Lapedriza A Can we do better explanations? A proposal of User-Centered Explainable AI Joint Proceedings of the ACM IUI 2019 Workshops. Los Angeles, CA, USA 2019
  14. [20]Kilsdonk E Peute LW Jaspers MWM Factors influencing implementation success of guideline-based clinical decision support systems: a systematic review and gaps analysis Int J Med Inform 2017 98 56 64 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2016.12.001 28034413 · DOI
  15. [22]Holzinger A Langs G Denk H Zatloukal K Müller H Causability and explainability of artificial intelligence in medicine Wiley Interdiscip Rev Data Min Knowl Discov 2019 9 1 13 10.1002/widm.1312 PMC7017860 32089788 · DOI · Paper page
  16. [23]Teasdale G, Jennett B. Assessment of coma and impaired consciousness. A practical scale. Lancet (London, England). 1974;2:81–4. 10.1016/s0140-6736(74)91639-0. 4136544 · DOI · Paper page
  17. [24]Fayyad UM, Irani KB. Multi-lnterval Discretization of Continuous-Valued Attributes for Classification learning. In: 13th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence. 1993. p. 1022–7.
  18. [25]Hall MA. Correlation-based feature selection for machine learning: The University of Waikato; 1999. https://www.cs.waikato.ac.nz/~mhall/thesis.pdf.
  19. [26]Lundberg S, Lee S-I. An unexpected unity among methods for interpreting model predictions. In: NIPS 2016 Workshop on Interpretable Machine Learning in Complex Systems. Barcelona, Spain; 2016. http://arxiv.org/abs/1611.07478. · arXiv
  20. [28]Biran O Cotton C Explanation and Justification in Machine Learning: A Survey IJCAI-17 Workshop on Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI). Melbourne, Australia 2017
  21. [29]Pu P Chen L Trust-inspiring explanation interfaces for recommender systems Knowledge-Based Syst 2007 20 542 556 10.1016/j.knosys.2007.04.004 · DOI
  22. [30]Allahyari H Lavesson N User-oriented assessment of classification model understandability. In: 11th Scandinavian Conference on Artificial Intelligence. Trondheim, Norway 2011
  23. [32]Ribeiro MT Singh S Guestrin C “Why should I trust you?”: explaining the predictions of any classifier Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining 2016 San Francisco ACM 1135 1144
  24. [33]Van Belle V Van Calster B Visualizing risk prediction models PLoS One 2015 10 e0132614 10.1371/journal.pone.0132614 26176945 PMC4503430 · DOI
  25. [39]Pollack MM Holubkov R Funai T Dean JM Berger JT Wessel DL The pediatric risk of mortality score: update 2015 Pediatr Crit Care Med 2016 17 2 9 10.1097/PCC.0000000000000558 26492059 PMC5048467 · DOI
  26. [40]Yang C Delcher C Shenkman E Ranka S Predicting 30-day all-cause readmissions from hospital inpatient discharge data 2016 IEEE 18th International Conference on e-Health Networking, Applications and Services (Healthcom). IEEE 2016 1 6
  27. [41]Edwards A Explaining risks: turning numerical data into meaningful pictures BMJ. 2002 324 827 830 10.1136/bmj.324.7341.827 11934777 PMC1122766 · DOI
  28. [42]Jeffery AD Novak LL Kennedy B Dietrich MS Mion LC Participatory design of probability-based decision support tools for in-hospital nurses J Am Med Informatics Assoc 2017 24 1102 1110 10.1093/jamia/ocx060 PMC6580937 28637180 · DOI · Paper page
  29. [43]Kappen TH van Loon K Kappen MAM van Wolfswinkel L Vergouwe Y van Klei WA Barriers and facilitators perceived by physicians when using prediction models in practice J Clin Epidemiol 2016 70 136 145 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2015.09.008 26399905 · DOI
  30. [44]Holzinger A Carrington A Müller H Measuring the quality of explanations: the system Causability scale (SCS): comparing human and machine explanations KI - Kunstl Intelligenz 2020 34 193 198 10.1007/s13218-020-00636-z PMC7271052 32549653 · DOI · Paper page

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Barda, A. J., Horvat, C. M., & Hochheiser, H.
Affiliations
University of Pittsburgh (US)
Corresponding author
Hochheiser, Harry
Venue
BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making
Published
2020-10-08
Volume
20
Issue
1
Pages
257-257
ISSN
1472-6947 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3092259203
Cited by
105
References
7
Citations by year
2026: 15 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 22 · 2023: 23 · 2022: 16 · 2021: 10
FWCI
4.82
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Funders
  • U.S. National Library of Medicine (T15 LM007059)
  • National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (K23HD099331)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning in Healthcare
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Health Informatics › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
Keywords
explainable machine learning, user-centered design, model interpretability, clinical prediction tool, in-hospital mortality prediction, pediatric intensive care, Shapley value, feature influence, instance-level explanation, model-agnostic explanation, intensive care unit nurses, physician attitudes, information needs
MeSH terms
Machine Learning, Child, Delivery of Health Care, Health Personnel, Humans, Intensive Care Units, Pediatric, Hospital Mortality, Focus Groups, Qualitative Research

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review