Student or educator? Sign up with your school email and get 6 months of Pro free.
Cited by 608

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 36 of the 36 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

On the Consistency of Bayes Estimates

Open access
Diaconis, Persi, Freedman, David·1986·The Annals of Statistics

Abstract

We discuss frequency properties of Bayes rules, paying special attention to consistency. Some new and fairly natural counterexamples are given, involving nonparametric estimates of location. Even the Dirichlet prior can lead to inconsistent estimates if used too aggressively. Finally, we discuss reasons for Bayesians to be interested in frequency properties of Bayes rules. As a part of the discussion we give a subjective equivalent to consistency and compute the derivative of the map taking priors to posteriors.

Overview

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1214/aos/1176349830

Cites

36 of 36 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Verification

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Citations

Cites

Show all 36 references

Cited by

See all 608

Metadata

Authors
Diaconis, P., & Freedman, D.
Venue
The Annals of Statistics
Published
1986-03-01
Volume
14
Issue
1
ISSN
0090-5364 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2003706076
Cited by
608
References
36
FWCI
5.15
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
bronze

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review

How to cite

Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.

This page
CoChat. (2026). Citation check: On the Consistency of Bayes Estimates. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1214/aos/1176349830
The paper
Diaconis, P., & Freedman, D. (1986). On the Consistency of Bayes Estimates. The Annals of Statistics. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176349830

Data sources

Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.

Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.