The DOI matches its Crossref record; 6 of the 6 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach
Abstract
This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It introduces and employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates by averaging OLS coefficients across models. The weights given to individual regressions have a Bayesian justification similar to the Schwarz model selection criterion. Of 67 explanatory variables we find 18 to be significantly and robustly partially correlated with long-term growth and another three variables to be marginally related. The strongest evidence is for the relative price of investment, primary school enrollment, and the initial level of real GDP per capita.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration
Sachs, J. D., Warner, A., Aslund, A., & Fischer, S. (1995) · Brookings Papers on Economic Activity · doi:10.2307/2534573 · Cited by 4,950
Hoeting, J. A., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E., & Volinsky, C. T. (1999) · Statistical Science · doi:10.1214/ss/1009212519 · Cited by 4,118
Variable Selection via Gibbs Sampling
George, E. I., & McCulloch, R. E. (1993) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1080/01621459.1993.10476353 · Cited by 2,828
I Just Ran Four Million Regressions
Sala-i-Martin, X. (1997) · doi:10.3386/w6252 · Cited by 960
Prediction via Orthogonalized Model Mixing
Clyde, M., Desimone, H., & Parmigiani, G. (1996) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.1080/01621459.1996.10476989 · Cited by 145
York, J., Madigan, D., Heuch, I., & Lie, R. T. (1995) · Applied Statistics · doi:10.2307/2986347 · Cited by 52
Cited by
Does financial liberalization spur growth?
BEKAERT, G., HARVEY, C., & LUNDBLAD, C. (2005) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2004.05.007 · Cited by 2,012
The burden and costs of chronic diseases in low-income and middle-income countries.
Abegunde, D. O., Mathers, C. D., Adam, T., Ortegon, M., & Strong, K. (2007) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(07)61696-1 · Cited by 1,603
Blunt Instruments: Avoiding Common Pitfalls in Identifying the Causes of Economic Growth
Bazzi, S., & Clemens, M. A. (2013) · American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics · doi:10.1257/mac.5.2.152 · Cited by 640
Entrepreneurship, institutional economics, and economic growth: an ecosystem perspective
Acs, Z. J., Estrin, S., Mickiewicz, T., & Szerb, L. (2018) · Small Business Economics · doi:10.1007/s11187-018-0013-9 · Cited by 582
Demographic Change and Economic Growth in Asia
BLOOM, D. E., & FINLAY, J. E. (2009) · Asian Economic Policy Review · doi:10.1111/j.1748-3131.2009.01106.x · Cited by 434
Metadata
- Authors
- Sala-i-Martin, X., Doppelhofer, G., & Miller, R. I.
- Venue
- American Economic Review
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2004-09-01
- Volume
- 94
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 813-835
- ISSN
- 0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3124636723
- Cited by
- 2,112
- References
- 6
- FWCI
- 180.16
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1257/0002828042002570
- The paper
- Sala-i-Martin, X., Doppelhofer, G., & Miller, R. I. (2004). Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach. American Economic Review. https://doi.org/10.1257/0002828042002570
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.