The DOI matches its Crossref record; 17 of the 17 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Unholy Trinity of Financial Contagion
Open accessAbstract
Over the last 20 years, some financial events, such as devaluations or defaults, have triggered an immediate adverse chain reaction in other countries -- which we call fast and furious contagion. Yet, on other occasions, similar events have failed to trigger any immediate international reaction. We argue that fast and furious contagion episodes are characterized by “the unholy trinity”: (i) they follow a large surge in capital flows; (ii) they come as a surprise; and (iii) they involve a leveraged common creditor. In contrast, when similar events have elicited little international reaction, they were widely anticipated and took place at a time when capital flows had already subsided.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
A Simple Model of Herd Behavior
Banerjee, A. V. (1992) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/2118364 · Cited by 6,556
Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1997) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb03807.x · Cited by 5,291
Learning from the Behavior of Others: Conformity, Fads, and Informational Cascades
Bikhchandani, S., Hirshleifer, D., & Welch, I. (1998) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.12.3.151 · Cited by 1,915
Kindleberger, C. P. (1978) · Palgrave Macmillan UK eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-349-04338-5 · Cited by 1,748
On crises, contagion, and confusion
Kaminsky, G., & Reinhart, C. (2000) · Journal of International Economics · doi:10.1016/s0022-1996(99)00040-9 · Cited by 1,229
Self-citationA Rational Expectations Model of Financial Contagion
Kodres, L. E., & Pritsker, M. (2002) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/1540-6261.00441 · Cited by 1,076
Rational contagion and the globalization of securities markets
Calvo, G. A., & Mendoza, E. G. (2000) · Journal of International Economics · doi:10.1016/s0022-1996(99)00038-0 · Cited by 952
Contagious Currency Crises: First Tests
Eichengreen, B., Rose, A., & Wyplosz, C. (1996) · The Scandinavian Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/3440879 · Cited by 843
Contagion and Trade: Why Are Currency Crises Regional?
Glick, R., & Rose, A. (1998) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w6806 · Cited by 794
Asset Prices and Exchange Rates
Pavlova, A., & Rigobon, R. (2007) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/revfin/hhm008 · Cited by 328
Cited by
Spillovers in Sub-Saharan Africa’s Sovereign Eurobond Yields
Senga, C., & Cassimon, D. (2020) · Emerging Markets Finance and Trade · doi:10.1080/1540496x.2019.1575724 · Cited by 18
Metadata
- Authors
- Kaminsky, G. L., Reinhart, C. M., & Végh, C. A.
- Venue
- Journal of Economic Perspectives
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2003-11-01
- Volume
- 17
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 51-74
- ISSN
- 0895-3309 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2167666676
- Cited by
- 593
- References
- 17
- FWCI
- 23.74
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Unholy Trinity of Financial Contagion. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1257/089533003772034899
- The paper
- Kaminsky, G. L., Reinhart, C. M., & Végh, C. A. (2003). The Unholy Trinity of Financial Contagion. Journal of Economic Perspectives. https://doi.org/10.1257/089533003772034899
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.