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A Rational Expectations Model of Financial Contagion
Open accessAbstract
We develop a multiple asset rational expectations model of asset prices to explain financial market contagion. Although the model allows contagion through several channels, our focus is on contagion through cross‐market rebalancing. Through this channel, investors transmit idiosyncratic shocks from one market to others by adjusting their portfolios' exposures to shared macroeconomic risks. The pattern and severity of financial contagion depends on markets' sensitivities to shared macroeconomic risk factors, and on the amount of information asymmetry in each market. The model can generate contagion in the absence of news, as well as between markets that do not directly share macroeconomic risks.
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Cites
The separation of ownership and control in East Asian Corporations
Claessens, S., Djankov, S., & Lang, L. H. P. (2000) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/s0304-405x(00)00067-2 · Cited by 5,754
On the impossibility of informationally efficient markets
Stiglitz, J. E., & Grossman, S. J. (1980) · Columbia University · doi:10.7916/d8765r99 · Cited by 3,645
Cited by
Contagion in financial networks
Gai, P., & Kapadia, S. (2010) · Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspa.2009.0410 · Cited by 1,163
Competition and Financial Stability
Allen, F., & Gale, D. (2004) · Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking · doi:10.1353/mcb.2004.0038 · Cited by 1,137
Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from Asian markets
Chiang, T. C., Jeon, B. N., & Li, H. (2007) · Journal of International Money and Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jimonfin.2007.06.005 · Cited by 894
Speculators, commodities and cross-market linkages
Büyükşahin, B., & Robe, M. A. (2014) · Journal of International Money and Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.08.004 · Cited by 616
Financial System: Shock Absorber or Amplifier?
Allen, F., & Carletti, E. (2008) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1165642 · Cited by 23
Metadata
- Authors
- Kodres, L. E., & Pritsker, M.
- Venue
- The Journal of Finance
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2002-04
- Volume
- 57
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 769-799
- ISSN
- 0022-1082 (ISSN-L)
- 1540-6261
- OpenAlex
- W2166422272
- Cited by
- 1,076
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 63.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.