Prediction Markets

Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error

Heckman, J. J. (1979) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912352 · Cited by 28,779

The Limits of Arbitrage

Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1997) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb03807.x · Cited by 5,291

Implied Binomial Trees

RUBINSTEIN, M. (1994) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1994.tb00079.x · Cited by 1,752

Forecasting: theory and practice

Petropoulos, F., Apiletti, D., Assimakopoulos, V., Babaï, M. Z., Barrow, D. K., Taieb, S. B., Bergmeir, C., Bessa, R. J., Bijak, J., Boylan, J. E., et al. (2022) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.11.001 · Cited by 1,187

Anomalies: Parimutuel Betting Markets: Racetracks and Lotteries

Thaler, R. H., & Ziemba, W. T. (1988) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.2.2.161 · Cited by 621

Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets

Plott, C. R., & Sunder, S. (1988) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1911360 · Cited by 608

Repugnance as a Constraint on Markets

Roth, A. E. (2007) · The Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.21.3.37 · Cited by 580

Efficiency of Experimental Security Markets with Insider Information: An Application of Rational-Expectations Models

Plott, C. R., & Sunder, S. (1982) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/261084 · Cited by 565

Combinatorial Information Market Design

Hanson, R. D. (2003) · Inf. Syst. Frontiers · doi:10.1023/a:1022058209073 · Cited by 554

Wishes, expectations and actions: a survey on price formation in election stock markets

Forsythe, R. S., Rietz, T. A., & Ross, T. W. (1999) · Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization · doi:10.1016/s0167-2681(99)00027-x · Cited by 283

A Prediction Market for Macro-Economic Variables

Teschner, F., Stathel, S., & Weinhardt, C. (2011) · Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS) · doi:10.1109/hicss.2011.23 · Cited by 16

Prediction Markets as a Forecasting Tool

O’Leary, D. E. (2011) · Advances in business and management forecasting · doi:10.1108/s1477-4070(2011)0000008014 · Cited by 16

Put your money where your forecast is: Supply chain collaborative forecasting with cost-function-based prediction markets

Karimi, M., & Zaerpour, N. (2021) · European Journal of Operational Research · doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2021.09.013 · Cited by 16

Political uncertainty and the 2012 US presidential election: A cointegration study of prediction markets, polls and a stand-out expert

Goodell, J. W., McGroarty, F., & Urquhart, A. (2015) · International Review of Financial Analysis · doi:10.1016/j.irfa.2015.05.003 · Cited by 16

A Collaborative Information Aggregation System for Idea Management

Bothos, E., Apostolou, D., & Mentzas, G. N. (2008) · International Conference on Internet and Web Applications and Services · doi:10.1109/iciw.2008.107 · Cited by 16

The wisdom of the crowd and prediction markets

Dai, M., Jia, Y., & Kou, S. G. (2020) · Journal of Econometrics · doi:10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.016 · Cited by 16

Corporate Foresight

Cuhls, K. E., & Johnston, R. (2008) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-540-68811-2_8 · Cited by 16

Forecasting in International Relations

Metternich, N. W., Gleditsch, K. S., & Dworschak, C. (2016) · doi:10.1093/obo/9780199743292-0179 · Cited by 16

Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets

Leigh, A., & Wolfers, J. J. (2006) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w12053 · Cited by 16

Using web-based collaborative forecasting to enhance information literacy and disciplinary knowledge

Buckley, P. G., & Doyle, E. (2015) · Interactive Learning Environments · doi:10.1080/10494820.2015.1041399 · Cited by 15

Finding profitable forecast combinations using probability scoring rules

Grant, A. R., & Johnstone, D. J. (2010) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2010.01.002 · Cited by 15

Using Crowd Funding for Idea Assessment Inside Organizations: Lessons Learned from a Market Engineering Perspective

Feldmann, N., Gimpel, H., Köhler, M., & Weinhardt, C. (2013) · International Conference on Cloud and Green Computing · doi:10.1109/cgc.2013.88 · Cited by 15

Naive traders and mispricing in prediction markets

Serrano-Padial, R. (2012) · Journal of Economic Theory · doi:10.1016/j.jet.2012.05.020 · Cited by 15

IDEA FORUM: the impact of subscription-based video on demand on traditional distributors’ value chains and business models

Clément, M., Otten, C., Seifert, R., Kleinen, O., Houston, M. B., Karniouchina, E. V., & Heller, C. (2018) · Journal of Media Economics · doi:10.1080/08997764.2020.1796687 · Cited by 15

Dynamic Learning and Market Making in Spread Betting Markets With Informed Bettors

Birge, J. R., Feng, Y., Keskin, N. B., & Schultz, A. (2018) · Operations Research · doi:10.1287/opre.2021.2109 · Cited by 14

Prognosemärkte

Tiberius, V., & Rasche, C. (2010) · Zeitschrift für Planung & Unternehmenssteuerung · doi:10.1007/s00187-010-0110-7 · Cited by 15

Collective Outsourcing to Market (Com): A Market-Based Framework for Information Supply Chain Outsourcing

Whinston, A. B., Fang, F., & Guo, Z. (2008) · Journal of the Association for Information Systems · doi:10.17705/1jais.00157 · Cited by 15

Optimal Betting Strategies for Simultaneous Games

Grant, A. R., Johnstone, D. J., & Kwon, O. K. (2008) · Decision Analysis · doi:10.1287/deca.1080.0106 · Cited by 15

Prediction market prices under risk aversion and heterogeneous beliefs

He, X.-Z. '., & Treich, N. (2017) · Journal of Mathematical Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jmateco.2017.02.005 · Cited by 14

Forecasting and Criminal Justice Policy and Practice

Sabol, W. J., & Baumann, M. L. (2022) · American Journal of Criminal Justice · doi:10.1007/s12103-022-09715-3 · Cited by 18

Accurately predicting hit songs using neurophysiology and machine learning

Merritt, S. H., Gaffuri, K., & Zak, P. J. (2023) · Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence · doi:10.3389/frai.2023.1154663 · Cited by 16

Distilling wisdom of crowds in online communities: A novel prediction market constructed with comment posters

Dong, L., Zheng, H., Li, L., & Zhou, C. (2024) · Decision Support Systems · doi:10.1016/j.dss.2024.114190 · Cited by 14

Preference Markets for Innovation Ranking and Selection

Chen, L., Goes, P. B., Harris, W., Marsden, J. R., & Zhang, J. (2009) · INFORMS Journal on Applied Analytics · doi:10.1287/inte.1090.0478 · Cited by 14

Measuring the liquidity impact on catastrophe bond spreads

Zhao, Y., & Yu, M. (2019) · Pacific-Basin Finance Journal · doi:10.1016/j.pacfin.2019.06.006 · Cited by 14

A Prediction Market-Based Gamified Approach to Enhance Knowledge Sharing in Organizations

Mizuyama, H., Yamaguchi, S., & Sato, M. (2019) · Simulation & Gaming · doi:10.1177/1046878119867382 · Cited by 14

A comprehensive review and evaluation on text predictive and entertainment systems

Hamarashid, H. K., Saeed, S., & Rashid, T. A. (2022) · Soft Computing · doi:10.1007/s00500-021-06691-4 · Cited by 14

Overconfidence or Competence? Your Employees Know

Kim, J., Jeon, H.-J., & Kim, G. G. (2022) · Economics Letters · doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2022.110580 · Cited by 14

Three Models for Collective Intellectual Virtues

de Ridder, J. (2022) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9780367808952-49 · Cited by 14

Prediction markets and their potential role in biomedical research – A review

Pfeiffer, T., & Almenberg, J. (2010) · Biosystems · doi:10.1016/j.biosystems.2010.09.005 · Cited by 14

Partition-Dependent Framing Effects in Lab and Field Prediction MarketsPreprint

Sonnemann, U., Camerer, C. F., Fox, C. R., & Langer, T. (2008) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1099073 · Cited by 14

Do Non-Executive Employees Have Information? Evidence from Employee Stock Purchase PlansPreprint

Babenko, I., & Sen, R. (2010) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1572741 · Cited by 12

Human and Algorithmic Predictions in Geopolitical Forecasting: Quantifying Uncertainty in Hard-to-Quantify Domains

Mellers, B. A., McCoy, J. P., Lu, L., & Tetlock, P. E. (2023) · Perspectives on Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/17456916231185339 · Cited by 13

Manipulation and (Mis)trust in Prediction Markets

Choo, L. C. Y., Kaplan, T. R., & Zultan, R. (2022) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.2021.4213 · Cited by 13

Memoirs of an indifferent trader: Estimating forecast distributions from prediction markets

Berg, J. E., Geweke, J., & Rietz, T. A. (2010) · Quantitative Economics · doi:10.3982/qe6 · Cited by 13

Decomposing the Effects of Crowd-Wisdom Aggregators: The Bias-Information-Noise (BIN) Model

Satopää, V., Salikhov, M., Tetlock, P. E., & Mellers, B. A. (2021) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.12.010 · Cited by 13

Applicability of Prediction Markets in Information Security Risk Management

Pandey, P. K., & Snekkenes, E. A. (2014) · International Workshop on Database and Expert Systems Applications (DEXA) · doi:10.1109/dexa.2014.66 · Cited by 13

Manipulation among the Arbiters of Collective Intelligence

Das, S., Lavoie, A., & Magdon‐Ismail, M. (2016) · ACM Transactions on the Web · doi:10.1145/3001937 · Cited by 13

The formation of aggregate expectations: wisdom of the crowds or media influence?

Pavía, J. M., Gil-Carceller, I., Rubio-Mataix, A., Serrano, V. C., Álvarez-Jareño, J. A., Aybar, C., & Arroyo, S. C. (2017) · Contemporary Social Science · doi:10.1080/21582041.2017.1367831 · Cited by 13

A Preliminary Research of Prediction Markets Based on Blockchain Powered Smart Contracts

Wang, S., Ni, X., Yuan, Y., Wang, F., Wang, X., & Ouyang, L. (2018) · IEEE International Conference on Internet of Things (iThings) and IEEE Green Computing and Communications (GreenCom) and IEEE Cyber, Physical and Social Computing (CPSCom) and IEEE Smart Data (SmartData) · doi:10.1109/cybermatics_2018.2018.00224 · Cited by 13

Five Open Questions about Prediction Markets

Wolfers, J. J., Zitzewitz, E. W., & Stanford, G. S. B. (2006) · Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Working Paper Series · doi:10.24148/wp2006-06 · Cited by 13

Weighted Representative DemocracyPreprint

Pivato, M., & Voutsa, A. C. S. (2019) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3468210 · Cited by 13

The Compensation Fund for Climate Impacts

Sprinz, D. F., & von Bünau, S. (2013) · Weather Climate and Society · doi:10.1175/wcas-d-12-00010.1 · Cited by 12

Strategic rule breaking: Time wasting to win soccer games

Greve, H. R., Rudi, N., & Walvekar, A. (2019) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0224150 · Cited by 12

Information markets and nonmarkets

Bergemann, D., & Ottaviani, M. (2021) · Handbook of Industrial Organization · doi:10.1016/bs.hesind.2021.11.008 · Cited by 12

Victory or repudiation? Predicting winners in civil wars using international financial markets

Mitchener, K. J., Oosterlinck, K., Weidenmier, M., & Haber, S. H. (2015) · Journal of Banking & Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.07.009 · Cited by 16

Log-Optimal Economic Evaluation of Probability Forecasts

Johnstone, D. J. (2012) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) · doi:10.1111/j.1467-985x.2011.01011.x · Cited by 12

Elicitation for Aggregation

Frongillo, R., Chen, Y., & Kash, I. A. (2015) · Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence · doi:10.1609/aaai.v29i1.9315 · Cited by 12

The behaviour of betting and currency markets on the night of the EU referendum

Auld, T., & Linton, O. (2018) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.07.014 · Cited by 12

Too Much Trust in Group Decisions: Uncovering Hidden Profiles by Groups and Markets

Maciejovsky, B., & Budescu, D. V. (2020) · Organization Science · doi:10.1287/orsc.2020.1363 · Cited by 11

Information Aggregation Under Ambiguity: Theory and Experimental Evidence

Galanis, S., Ioannou, C. A., & Kotronis, S. (2024) · The Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1093/restud/rdae009 · Cited by 12

Using Social Media to Predict Future Events with Agent-based Markets

Bothos, E., Apostolou, D., & Mentzas, G. N. (2010) · IEEE Intelligent Systems · doi:10.1109/mis.2010.132 · Cited by 12

When Will We Meet Again? Regularities of Social Connectivity and Their Reflections in Memory and Decision Making

Pachur, T., Schooler, L. J., & Stevens, J. R. (2012) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195388435.003.0007 · Cited by 12

Simple Heuristics in a Social Game

Hertwig, R., Fischbacher, U., & Bruhin, A. (2012) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195388435.003.0002 · Cited by 12

Symbiotic Innovation: Getting the Most Out of Collaboration

Thomas, R. J., & Wind, Y. (2013) · Palgrave Macmillan UK eBooks · doi:10.1057/9781137299994_1 · Cited by 12

Unifying the Favorite-Longshot Bias with Other Market Anomalies

Sobel, R. S., & Ryan, M. E. (2008) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-044450744-0.50011-1 · Cited by 12

The Is and Ought of Sharing: The Equality Heuristic Across the Lifespan

Keller, M., Gummerum, M., Canz, T., Gigerenzer, G., & Takezawa, M. (2012) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195388435.003.0006 · Cited by 12

From Prediction to Foresight: The Role of AI in Designing Responsible Futures

Pérez‐Ortiz, M. (2024) · Journal of artificial intelligence for sustainable development. · doi:10.69828/4d4kja · Cited by 13

Arbitrage Opportunities and Market-Making Traders in Prediction Markets

Luckner, S., & Weinhardt, C. (2008) · IEEE International Workshop on Advanced Issues of E-Commerce and Web-Based Information Systems (WECWIS) · doi:10.1109/cecandeee.2008.131 · Cited by 11

Predicting the failures of prediction markets: A procedure of decision making using classification models

Tai, C.-C., Lin, H.-W., Chie, B.-T., & Tung, C. (2018) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.04.003 · Cited by 11

Bayesian Learning and the Pricing of New Information: Evidence from Prediction Markets

Lee, D. S., & Moretti, E. (2009) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.99.2.330 · Cited by 11

SURPRISE ME IF YOU CAN: THE INFLUENCE OF NEWSPAPER ENDORSEMENTS IN U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

Casas, A., Fawaz, Y., & Trindade, A. (2016) · Economic Inquiry · doi:10.1111/ecin.12317 · Cited by 11

Improving Information Security Risk Analysis Practices for Small- and Medium-Sized Enterprises: A Research Agenda

Beachboard, J. C., Cole, A., Mellor, M., Hernandez, S., Aytes, K., & Massad, N. (2008) · Issues in Informing Science and Information Technology · doi:10.28945/996 · Cited by 11

Collective Intelligence and Practice-Based Innovation: An Idea Evaluation Method Based on Collective Intelligence

Salminen, J., & Harmaakorpi, V. (2011) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-642-21723-4_12 · Cited by 11

Software economies

Bacon, D. F., Bokelberg, E. H., Chen, Y., Kash, I. A., Parkes, D. C., Rao, M., & Sridharan, M. (2010) · FSE/SDP Workshop on Future of Software Engineering Research (FoSER) · doi:10.1145/1882362.1882365 · Cited by 11

An influence analysis of diversity and collective cardinality on collective performance

Nguyen, V. D., & Nguyên, N. T. (2017) · Information Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.ins.2017.11.053 · Cited by 11

It Takes All Sorts: A Heterogeneous Agent Explanation of State-Contingent Claims Mispricing

Restocchi, V., McGroarty, F., Gerding, E., & JOHNSON, J. E. V. (2016) · European Journal of Operational Research · doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2018.04.011 · Cited by 11

Pricing externalities

Tideman, N., & Plassmann, F. (2010) · European Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2009.12.006 · Cited by 11

The Mind as an Intuitive Pollster: Frugal Search in Social Spaces

Pachur, T., Hertwig, R., & Rieskamp, J. (2012) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195388435.003.0009 · Cited by 11

Preference Markets: Organizing Securities Markets for Opinion Surveys with Infinite ScalabilityPreprint

Dahan, E., Soukhoroukova, A., & Spann, M. (2007) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1031754 · Cited by 11

Decision Making in Groups and Organizations

Tindale, R. S., & Kluwe, K. (2015) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/9781118468333.ch30 · Cited by 11

Learning Political Science with Prediction Markets: An Experimental Study

Ellis, C. M., & Rahul Sami, D. (2012) · PS Political Science & Politics · doi:10.1017/s1049096511002113 · Cited by 10

Cost function market makers for measurable spaces

Chen, Y., Ruberry, M., & Vaughan, J. W. (2013) · ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC) · doi:10.1145/2482540.2482608 · Cited by 10

Educational Prediction Markets: Construction Project Management Case Study

Damnjanovic, I. D., Faghihi, V., Scott, C. E., McTigue, E. M., & Reinschmidt, K. F. (2012) · Journal of Professional Issues in Engineering Education and Practice · doi:10.1061/(asce)ei.1943-5541.0000127 · Cited by 10

The effect of malicious manipulations on prediction market accuracy

Buckley, P. G., & O’Brien, F. (2015) · Information Systems Frontiers · doi:10.1007/s10796-015-9617-7 · Cited by 10

Risk aversion in prediction markets: A framed-field experiment

Boulu-Reshef, B., Comeig, I., Donze, R., & Weiss, G. D. (2016) · Journal of Business Research · doi:10.1016/j.jbusres.2016.04.082 · Cited by 10

‘It ain’t over till it's over.’ Yogi Berra bias on prediction markets

Page, L. (2011) · Applied Economics · doi:10.1080/00036846.2010.498578 · Cited by 9

The Gates Hillman prediction market

Othman, A., & Sandholm, T. (2013) · Review of Economic Design · doi:10.1007/s10058-013-0144-z · Cited by 10

Decision framework for constructing prediction markets

Sripawatakul, P., & Sutivong, D. (2010) · International Conference on Information Management and Engineering (ICIME) · doi:10.1109/icime.2010.5477548 · Cited by 10

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF KNOWLEDGE: THE HISTORY OF THOUGHT AND THE CENTRAL THEMES

Leppälä, S. (2013) · Journal of Economic Surveys · doi:10.1111/joes.12052 · Cited by 10

OPINION DIFFUSION ON MULTILAYER SOCIAL NETWORKS

Hu, H., LI, C.-H., & Miao, Q. (2017) · Advances in Complex Systems · doi:10.1142/s0219525917500151 · Cited by 10

The distribution of initial estimates moderates the effect of social influence on the wisdom of the crowd

Almaatouq, A., Rahimian, M. A., Burton, J. W., & Alhajri, A. (2022) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-022-20551-7 · Cited by 14

Prediction markets for electricity demand

de Castro, L. I., & Cramton, P. (2012) · Allerton Conference on Communication, Control, and Computing · doi:10.1109/allerton.2012.6483340 · Cited by 10

Reliability (or “lack thereof”) of on-line preference revelation: A controlled experimental analysis

Chen, L., Marsden, J. R., & Zhang, Z. (2013) · Decision Support Systems · doi:10.1016/j.dss.2013.06.010 · Cited by 10

Testing the effectiveness of Semi - Predictive Markets: Are fight fans smarter than expert bookies?

Wise, S. E., Miric, M., & Valliere, D. (2010) · Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.sbspro.2010.04.059 · Cited by 10

Option Fund Market Dynamics for Threshold Public Goods

Dragicevic, A. Z. (2015) · Dynamic Games and Applications · doi:10.1007/s13235-015-0172-0 · Cited by 10

Sports lottery game prediction system development and evaluation on social networks

Wen, Y., Hung, K.-Y., Hwang, Y., & Lin, Y.-S. F. (2016) · Internet Research · doi:10.1108/intr-05-2014-0139 · Cited by 10

Information transparency in prediction markets

Yang, S., Li, T., & van Heck, E. (2015) · Decision Support Systems · doi:10.1016/j.dss.2015.05.009 · Cited by 10

Consumer Driven New Product Development in Future Re-Distributed Models of Sustainable Production and Consumption

Jreissat, M., Isaev, S., Moreno, M., & Makatsoris, C. (2017) · Procedia CIRP · doi:10.1016/j.procir.2017.03.314 · Cited by 10

Searching for Google's Value: Using Prediction Markets to Forecast Market Capitalization Prior to an Initial Public OfferingPreprint

Berg, J. E., Neumann, G. R., & Rietz, T. A. (2008) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.887562 · Cited by 10

The British Pound on Brexit Night: A Natural Experiment of Market Efficiency and Real-Time PredictabilityPreprint

Wu, K., & Wheatley, S. (2017) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2940173 · Cited by 10

Elections, Contracts and MarketsPreprint

Gersbach, H., & Müller, M. (2006) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.947818 · Cited by 10

DECISION‐MAKING MODELS, DECISION SUPPORT, AND PROBLEM SOLVING

Lehto, M. R., Nanda, G., & Nanda, G. (2021) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/9781119636113.ch6 · Cited by 11

Market Response to Racial UprisingsPreprint

Ba, B., Rivera, R. G., & Whitefield, A. (2023) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4553610 · Cited by 10

Prediction Markets for Science: Is the Cure Worse than the Disease?

Thicke, M. (2017) · Social Epistemology · doi:10.1080/02691728.2017.1346720 · Cited by 9

How Effective Altruism Can Help Psychologists Maximize Their Impact

Gainsburg, I., Pauer, S., Abboub, N., Aloyo, E., Mourrat, J.-C., & Cristià, A. (2022) · Perspectives on Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/17456916221079596 · Cited by 14

Collective Adoption of Max–Min Strategy in an Information Cascade Voting Experiment

Mori, S., Hisakado, M., & Takahashi, T. (2013) · Journal of the Physical Society of Japan · doi:10.7566/jpsj.82.084004 · Cited by 9

How to motivate people to put their money where their mouth is: What makes employees participate in electronic prediction markets?

Decker, C., Welpe, I. M., & Ankenbrand, B. H. (2011) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2011.01.010 · Cited by 9

The “timeline” method of studying electoral dynamics

Wlezien, C. B., Jennings, W., & Erikson, R. S. (2017) · Electoral Studies · doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2017.03.003 · Cited by 10

How Can Human-Computer “Superminds” Develop Business Strategies?

Malone, T. W. (2019) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-20680-2_9 · Cited by 9

Herding or wisdom of the crowd? Controlling efficiency in a partially rational financial market

Rossa, F. D., Giannini, L., & Lellis, P. D. (2020) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0239132 · Cited by 11

Abstract PRELIMINARY – Comments welcome

Wolfers, J. J., & Zitzewitz, E. W. (2003)

Prediction Markets in Theory and PracticePreprint

Wolfers, J. J., & Zitzewitz, E. W. (2006) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.3386/w12083 · Cited by 131

Information (in)efficiency in prediction markets

Snowberg, E., Wolfers, J. J., & Zitzewitz, E. W. (2005) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511493614.019 · Cited by 31

Abstract

Wolfers, J. J., Zitzewitz, E. W., Camerer, C., Hanson, R., Oprea, R., Plott, C., Rhode, P., & For, E. S. (2005)

Prediction Markets: Fundamentals, Key Design Elements, and Applications

Luckner, S. (2008) · Cited by 22