Student or educator? Sign up with your school email and get 6 months of Pro free.
Cited by 304

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 61 of the 61 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

The Bond Premium in a DSGE Model with Long-Run Real and Nominal Risks

Rudebusch, Glenn D, Swanson, Eric T·2012·American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics

Abstract

The term premium in standard macroeconomic DSGE models is far too small and stable relative to the data—an example of the “bond premium puzzle.” However, in endowment economy models, researchers have generated reasonable term premiums by assuming investors have recursive Epstein-Zin preferences and face long-run economic risks. We show that introducing Epstein-Zin preferences into a canonical DSGE model can also produce a large and variable term premium without compromising the model's ability to fit key macroeconomic variables. Long-run nominal risks further improve the model's empirical fit, but do not substantially reduce the need for high risk aversion. (JEL E13, E31, E43, E44)

Overview

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1257/mac.4.1.105

Cites

61 of 61 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Verification

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Citations

Cites

Show all 61 references

Cited by

See all 304

Metadata

Authors
Rudebusch, G. D., & Swanson, E. T.
Venue
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Published
2012-01-01
Volume
4
Issue
1
Pages
105-143
ISSN
  • 1945-7707 (ISSN-L)
  • 1945-7715
OpenAlex
W3123374514
Cited by
304
References
61
FWCI
69.69
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review

How to cite

Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.

This page
CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Bond Premium in a DSGE Model with Long-Run Real and Nominal Risks. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1257/mac.4.1.105
The paper
Rudebusch, G. D., & Swanson, E. T. (2012). The Bond Premium in a DSGE Model with Long-Run Real and Nominal Risks. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics. https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.4.1.105

Data sources

Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.

Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.