The "Missing Girls" of China and the Unintended Consequences of the One Child Policy
Abstract
High ratios of males to females in China have concerned researchers (Sen 1990, Yi et al. 1993) and the recent increase has alarmed policymakers worldwide. This paper presents an analysis of China’s census data that indicates that the “missing girls” phenomenon is causally linked to enforcement of the One Child Policy. Fertility is lower and sex ratios are higher among those under stricter fertility control, and the overall increase in the sex ratio is driven by an increase in the prevalence of sex selection among first and second births. By exploiting regional and temporal variation in fines levied for unauthorized births, I find that higher fine regimes discourage fertility, but are associated with higher ratios of males to females.
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Sex ratio at birth was especially elevated among high parity births and in areas with strict policy implementation.
“Sex ratio at birth was especially elevated among high parity births and in areas with strict policy implementation (Cai & Lavely 2003, Ebenstein 2010, Guilmoto & Ren 2011, Li et al. 2011).”
From The Social and Sociological Consequences of China's One-Child Policy (2021) · cites this paper as Ebenstein 2010
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Li, L., & Wu, X. (2011) · Journal of Human Resources · doi:10.1353/jhr.2011.0014 · Cited by 164 · see citing works
The Social and Sociological Consequences of China's One-Child Policy
Cai, Y., & Feng, W. (2021) · Annual Review of Sociology · doi:10.1146/annurev-soc-090220-032839 · Cited by 120 · see citing works
Fertility restrictions and life cycle outcomes: evidence from the one-child policy in China
Huang, W., Lei, X., & Sun, A. (2021) · The Review of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.1162/rest_a_00921 · Cited by 106 · see citing works
Older parents enjoy better filial piety and care from daughters than sons in China
(2016) · American Journal of Medical Research · doi:10.22381/ajmr3120169 · Cited by 71 · see citing works
Aggregate Fertility and Household Savings: A General Equilibrium Analysis using Micro Data
Banerjee, A., Meng, X., Porzio, T., & Qian, N. (2014) · doi:10.3386/w20050 · Cited by 57 · see citing works
- Authors
- Ebenstein, A.
- Corresponding author
- Ebenstein, Avraham
- ORCID
- Ebenstein, Avraham
- Venue
- Journal of Human Resources
- Publisher
- University of Wisconsin Press
- Published
- 2010
- Volume
- 45
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 87-115
- ISSN
- 0022-166X (ISSN-L)
- 1548-8004
- OpenAlex
- W4234238734
- Cited by
- 603
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 35 · 2025: 84 · 2024: 43 · 2023: 47 · 2022: 45 · 2021: 43 · 2020: 82 · 2019: 48 · 2018: 28 · 2017: 28 · 2016: 23 · 2015: 22 · 2014: 21 · 2013: 19 · 2012: 14
- FWCI
- 35.88
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- The Journal of Human Resources (publishedVersion)
- Project Muse (Johns Hopkins University) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics
- Keywords
- missing girl, one-child policy, sex-selective abortion, gender discrimination, China
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