Cited by 143Pharmaceutical Economics and PolicyHIV/AIDS Impact and ResponsesHIV/AIDS Research and Interventions

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 40 of the 42 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Evolution of Antiretroviral Drug Costs in Brazil in the Context of Free and Universal Access to AIDS Treatment

Open access
Nunn, Amy S, Fonseca, Elize M, Bastos, Francisco I, Gruskin, Sofia, Salomon, Joshua A·2007·PLoS Medicine

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the long-term drug costs associated with treating AIDS in developing countries. Brazil's AIDS treatment program has been cited widely as the developing world's largest and most successful AIDS treatment program. The program guarantees free access to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) for all people living with HIV/AIDS in need of treatment. Brazil produces non-patented generic antiretroviral drugs (ARVs), procures many patented ARVs with negotiated price reductions, and recently issued a compulsory license to import one patented ARV. In this study, we investigate the drivers of recent ARV cost trends in Brazil through analysis of drug-specific prices and expenditures between 2001 and 2005. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We compared Brazil's ARV prices to those in other low- and middle-income countries. We analyzed trends in drug expenditures for HAART in Brazil from 2001 to 2005 on the basis of cost data disaggregated by each ARV purchased by the Brazilian program. We decomposed the overall changes in expenditures to compare the relative impacts of changes in drug prices and drug purchase quantities. We also estimated the excess costs attributable to the difference between prices for generics in Brazil and the lowest global prices for these drugs. Finally, we estimated the savings attributable to Brazil's reduced prices for patented drugs. Negotiated drug prices in Brazil are lowest for patented ARVs for which generic competition is emerging. In recent years, the prices for efavirenz and lopinavir-ritonavir (lopinavir/r) have been lower in Brazil than in other middle-income countries. In contrast, the price of tenofovir is US$200 higher per patient per year than that reported in other middle-income countries. Despite precipitous price declines for four patented ARVs, total Brazilian drug expenditures doubled, to reach US$414 million in 2005. We find that the major driver of cost increases was increased purchase quantities of six specific drugs: patented lopinavir/r, efavirenz, tenofovir, atazanavir, enfuvirtide, and a locally produced generic, fixed-dose combination of zidovudine and lamivudine (AZT/3TC). Because prices declined for many of the patented drugs that constitute the largest share of drug costs, nearly the entire increase in overall drug expenditures between 2001 and 2005 is attributable to increases in drug quantities. Had all drug quantities been held constant from 2001 until 2005 (or for those drugs entering treatment guidelines after 2001, held constant between the year of introduction and 2005), total costs would have increased by only an estimated US$7 million. We estimate that in the absence of price declines for patented drugs, Brazil would have spent a cumulative total of US$2 billion on drugs for HAART between 2001 and 2005, implying a savings of US$1.2 billion from price declines. Finally, in comparing Brazilian prices for locally produced generic ARVs to the lowest international prices meeting global pharmaceutical quality standards, we find that current prices for Brazil's locally produced generics are generally much higher than corresponding global prices, and note that these prices have risen in Brazil while declining globally. We estimate the excess costs of Brazil's locally produced generics totaled US$110 million from 2001 to 2005. CONCLUSIONS: Despite Brazil's more costly generic ARVs, the net result of ARV price changes has been a cost savings of approximately US$1 billion since 2001. HAART costs have nevertheless risen steeply as Brazil has scaled up treatment. These trends may foreshadow future AIDS treatment cost trends in other developing countries as more people start treatment, AIDS patients live longer and move from first-line to second and third-line treatment, AIDS treatment becomes more complex, generic competition emerges, and newer patented drugs become available. The specific application of the Brazilian model to other countries will depend, however, on the strength of their health systems, intellectual property regulations, epidemiological profiles, AIDS treatment guidelines, and differing capacities to produce drugs locally.

Overview

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1371/journal.pmed.0040305

Cites

40 of 40 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Verification

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Citations

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Show all 42 references

2 of the 42 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 42

  1. Szwarcwald, 2000, Cad de Saúde Pública, 16, 135
  2. Matida, 2005, AIDS, 19, S37
  3. Marins, 2003, AIDS, 17, 1675
  4. Teixeira, 2004, AIDS, 18, S5
  5. Campos, 2005, AIDS, 19, S22
  6. Hacker, 2004, Rev Panam Salud Publica, 16, 78
  7. Dourado, 2006, Rev Saude Publica, 40, 91
  8. Esau, 2003, AIDS, 17, 1583
  9. Brito, 2005, Braz J Inf Dis, 9, 9
  10. Galvão, 2002, Lancet, 360, 1862
  11. Cohen, 2006, Science, 313, 484
  12. Tanuri, 2002, J Clin Virol, 25, 39
  13. Petersen, 2006, Rev Panam Salud Publica, 19, 146
  14. Soares, 2004, AIDS, 18, S9
  15. Padua, 2006, Braz J Med Biol Res, 39, 495
  16. Santos, 2005, AIDS, 19, S14
  17. Blal, 2005, Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis, 24, 41
  18. Resende, 2004, Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol, 25, 1115
  19. Morgado, 2000, Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz, 95, 145
  20. Scheffer, 2005, O remédio via justiça
  21. Okie, 2006, N Engl J Med, 354, 1977
  22. Grangeiro, 2006, Rev Saude Publica, 40, 60
  23. Chequer, 2005, Access to treatment and prevention: Brazil and beyond [plenary session presentation]
  24. Walmsley, 2002, N Engl J Med, 346, 2039
  25. Sanne, 2003, J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr, 32, 18
  26. Kempf, 2004, J Infect Dis, 189, 51
  27. Hicks, 2004, AIDS, 18, 775
  28. Murphy, 2003, AIDS, 17, 2603
  29. Schooley, 2002, AIDS, 16, 1257
  30. Gallant, 2004, JAMA, 292, 191
  31. Staszewski, 1999, N Engl J Med, 341, 1865
  32. DeJesus, 2004, Clin Infect Dis, 39, 1038
  33. Albrecht, 2001, N Engl J Med, 345, 398
  34. Robbins, 2003, N Engl J Med, 349, 2293
  35. Clotet, 2004, AIDS, 18, 1137
  36. Mills, 2006, PLoS Med, 3
  37. Stone, 2004, J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr, 36, 808
  38. Legorreta, 2005, AIDS Care, 17, 938
  39. Pinheiro, 2006, AIDS, 20, 1745
  40. Landim, 2007, Valor Econômico. São Paulo
  41. Gentleman, 2006 May 12, The New York Times
  42. Zamiska, 2007 April 24, The Wall Street Journal

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Items 101–143 of 143

Metadata

Authors
Nunn, A. S., Fonseca, E. M., Bastos, F. I., Gruskin, S., & Salomon, J. A.
Affiliations
  • Harvard University (US)
  • Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (BR)
Corresponding author
Nunn, Amy S
Venue
PLoS Medicine
Published
2007-11-13
Volume
4
Issue
11
Pages
e305
ISSN
  • 1549-1277 (ISSN-L)
  • 1549-1676
OpenAlex
W2104489459
Cited by
142
References
42
Citations by year
2026: 1 · 2025: 1 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 2 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 9 · 2017: 6 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 5 · 2013: 12 · 2012: 19
FWCI
35.48
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • PLoS Medicine (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard (DASH) (Harvard University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
  • Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
  • Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
  • Fundação Oswaldo Cruz
  • National Institute on Aging
  • National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (P30AI060354)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Pharmaceutical Economics and Policy
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › HIV/AIDS Impact and Responses
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › HIV/AIDS Research and Interventions
Keywords
antiretroviral drugs, HIV/AIDS treatment, drug costs, drug expenditure, highly active antiretroviral therapy, generic drugs, patented drugs, compulsory licensing, universal access to treatment, Brazil, tenofovir, lopinavir/ritonavir, efavirenz, fixed-dose combination, cost decomposition, low- and middle-income countries
MeSH terms
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome, Brazil, Developing Countries, Foundations, Health Services Accessibility, Humans, National Health Programs, Drug Costs, Drugs, Generic, Cost Savings, Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active, Internationality, Anti-Retroviral Agents

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review