Cited by 108HIV/AIDS Research and InterventionsHIV, Drug Use, Sexual RiskHIV, TB, and STIs Epidemiology

The expanding epidemic of HIV-1 in the Russian Federation

Open access
Beyrer, Chris, Wirtz, Andrea L., O’Hara, George, Léon, Nolwenn, Kazatchkine, Michel·2017·PLoS Medicine

Abstract

had been increasing at some 10% per year from 2011-2016 [2].Among Russian men aged 30-39 years of age, a group that has the highest male infection burden, some 2.8% were living with HIV infection in 2016 [2].AIDS deaths, too, are rising and now negatively impact life expectancy [3].From January to June 2017, some 14,631 AIDS deaths were recorded, a 13.5% increase over the previous 6-month period [3].HIV/AIDS has risen to feature in the top 10 causes of premature death in the RF-a 35% increase from 2005 [4].These realities should concern all who seek global control of the HIV pandemic.Despite the severity of this epidemic, including its scale, scope, and trajectory, remarkably little attention has been paid to the associated public health crisis in the international scientific literature.This may in part be due to the limited availability of data on HIV-1 in the RF that are presented and published outside Russia, and to the few international collaborations on HIV in the RF under the current administration.Therefore, we reviewed publicly available data in the Russian language on HIV-1 in the RF through mid-2017 and analyzed Russian federal and oblast (province)-level HIV policies and programs to assess the current burden of HIV-1 prevalence and incidence, the state of prevention programs as they relate to the epidemiology of HIV in the country, and policy impacts of current Russian laws, policies, and practices on the future trajectory of the epidemic.Cumulative Russian federal data through mid-2017 are available on Russian language websites from several oblasts, a Federal AIDS Center report, and from Rosstat, the Russian Federal Statistics Bureau [2,[5][6][7].Russian federal data are reported as cumulative diagnoses and as new diagnoses per 100,000 population.We used these data to generate burden maps of reported prevalence and of new diagnoses, by oblast, across the RF (Fig 1 and Fig 2).Neither measure can be said to yield true HIV prevalence or incidence infection estimates, since they do not account for deaths (in the case of cumulative infections) or estimate the rate of new infections,

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002462

Cites

14 of 14 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • HIV incidence and mortality continue to increase in spite of global progress.

    “HIV incidence and mortality continue to increase in spite of global progress.13”

    From An acceptance-based, intersectional stigma coping intervention for people with HIV who inject drugs—a randomized clinical trial (2023) · cites this paper as [13]

    The Introduction reports increasing new HIV diagnoses and AIDS deaths in the Russian Federation, in contrast to the global epidemic pattern. The claim omits that geographic limit and could imply that incidence and mortality are increasing globally. The paper also cautions that reported diagnoses do not directly measure true HIV incidence. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

1 of the 15 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 3

  1. [6]Federal Scientific for the Prevention and Combat of AIDS of the Public Office of the Central Scientific Research Institute Rospotrebnadzor. Последние эпидемиологические данные по ВИЧ-инфекции в Российской Федерации (The latest epidemiological data on HIV in the Russian Federation). 2017. Available from: http://www.hivrussia.ru/stat/bulletin.shtml#40 (accessed 01 Aug 2017).
  2. [13]Federal Scientific for the Prevention and Combat of AIDS of the Public Office of the Central Scientific Research Institute Rospotrebnadzor. ВИЧ-ИНФЕКЦИЯ Информационный бюллетень № 40 (HIV Infection Bulletin № 40). Moscow, 2015.
  3. [23]World Health Organization Consolidated guidelines on HIV prevention, diagnosis, treatment and care for key populations. Geneva: WHO, 2014 http://www.who.int/hiv/pub/guidelines/keypopulations/en/ 25996019

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Beyrer, C., Wirtz, A. L., O’Hara, G., Léon, N., & Kazatchkine, M.
Affiliations
  • Johns Hopkins University (US)
  • Haverford College (US)
  • Global Health Centre (CH)
Corresponding author
Beyrer, Chris
Venue
PLoS Medicine
Published
2017-11-28
Volume
14
Issue
11
Pages
e1002462
ISSN
  • 1549-1277 (ISSN-L)
  • 1549-1676
OpenAlex
W2769321721
Cited by
108
References
15
Citations by year
2025: 5 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 49 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 7 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 1
FWCI
15.36
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • PLoS Medicine (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Funders
  • Johns Hopkins University (P30 AI 094189)
  • National Institutes of Health
  • Center for AIDS Research, University of Washington (P30AI094189)
  • National Institute on Aging
  • National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute
  • National Institute of Mental Health
  • National Institute on Drug Abuse
  • National Cancer Institute
  • National Institute of General Medical Sciences
  • National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (P30AI094189)
  • National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › HIV/AIDS Research and Interventions
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › HIV, Drug Use, Sexual Risk
  • Social Sciences › General Social Sciences › HIV, TB, and STIs Epidemiology
Keywords
HIV-1 epidemic, HIV prevalence, HIV incidence, AIDS mortality, HIV prevention programs, HIV/AIDS policy, HIV epidemiology, Russia
MeSH terms
Humans, Russia, HIV-1, HIV Infections, Epidemics

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review