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Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements

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Gürkaynak, Refet S., Sack, Brian, Swanson, Eric T.·2004·Finance and Economics Discussion Series

Abstract

We investigate the effects of U.S. monetary policy on asset prices using a high-frequency event-study analysis. We test whether these effects are adequately captured by a single factor--changes in the federal funds rate target-and find that they are not. Instead, we find that two factors are required. These factors have a structural interpretation as a "current federal funds rate target" factor and a "future path of policy" factor, with the latter closely associated with FOMC statements. We measure the effects of these two factors on bond yields and stock prices using a new intraday dataset going back to 1990. According to our estimates, both monetary policy actions and statements have important but differing effects on asset prices, with statements having a much greater impact on longer-term Treasury yields.

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Metadata

Authors
Gürkaynak, R. S., Sack, B., & Swanson, E. T.
Venue
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
Published
2004
Volume
2004.0
Issue
66
Pages
1-43
ISSN
1936-2854 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2114597179
Cited by
1,560
References
0
FWCI
45.56
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
hybrid
Licence

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.17016/feds.2004.66
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Gürkaynak, R. S., Sack, B., & Swanson, E. T. (2004). Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements. Finance and Economics Discussion Series. https://doi.org/10.17016/feds.2004.66

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