Quantitative imaging to evaluate malignant potential of IPMNs
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// Alexander N. Hanania 1,2 , Leonidas E. Bantis 3 , Ziding Feng 3 , Huamin Wang 4 , Eric P. Tamm 5 , Matthew H. Katz 6 , Anirban Maitra 4 and Eugene J. Koay 2 1 University of Texas Medical School, Houston, TX, USA 2 Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA 3 Department of Biostatistics, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA 4 Department of Pathology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA 5 Department of Diagnostic Radiology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA 6 Department of Surgical Oncology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA Correspondence to: Eugene J. Koay, email: // Keywords : IPMN, quantitative imaging, radiomics, fukuoka, pancreatic cyst Received : July 06, 2016 Accepted : August 18, 2016 Published :August 31, 2016 Abstract Objective: To investigate using quantitative imaging to assess the malignant potential of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) in the pancreas. Background: Pancreatic cysts are identified in over 2% of the population and a subset of these, including intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs), represent pre-malignant lesions. Unfortunately, clinicians cannot accurately predict which of these lesions are likely to progress to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Methods: We investigated 360 imaging features within the domains of intensity, texture and shape using pancreatic protocol CT images in 53 patients diagnosed with IPMN (34 “high-grade” [HG] and 19 “low-grade” [LG]) who subsequently underwent surgical resection. We evaluated the performance of these features as well as the Fukuoka criteria for pancreatic cyst resection. Results: In our cohort, the Fukuoka criteria had a false positive rate of 36%. We identified 14 imaging biomarkers within Gray-Level Co-Occurrence Matrix (GLCM) that predicted histopathological grade within cyst contours. The most predictive marker differentiated LG and HG lesions with an area under the curve (AUC) of .82 at a sensitivity of 85% and specificity of 68%. Using a cross-validated design, the best logistic regression yielded an AUC of 0.96 (σ = .05) at a sensitivity of 97% and specificity of 88%. Based on the principal component analysis, HG IPMNs demonstrated a pattern of separation from LG IPMNs. Conclusions: HG IPMNs appear to have distinct imaging properties. Further validation of these findings may address a major clinical need in this population by identifying those most likely to benefit from surgical resection.
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These models had false positive rates of 5%, while the Fukuoka criteria had a 36% false positive rate in their cohort.
“These models had false positive rates of 5%, while the Fukouka criteria had a 36% false positive rate in their cohort [54].”
From Artificial Intelligence in the Diagnosis and Treatment of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions and Adenocarcinoma (2023) · cites this paper as [54]
The Results section reports a 36% false-positive rate for the Fukuoka criteria in this cohort. It reports 88% specificity for the best cross-validated model, equivalent to a 12% false-positive rate at that operating point. The 5% rate in Materials and Methods was a fixed threshold used to assess candidate markers, not a reported false-positive rate for the models. (LLM, conf=0.91)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredHanania et al. reported a logistic regression model achieving an AUC of 0.96 (sensitivity 97% and specificity 88%) for identifying malignant IPMNs.
“Hanania et al. reported similarly promising findings, with a logistic regression model achieving an AUC of 0.96 (sensitivity 97% and specificity 88%).”
From Artificial Intelligence in the Diagnosis and Treatment of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions and Adenocarcinoma (2023) · cites this paper as [54]
The Fukuoka criteria incorrectly direct benign lesions to surgery one-third of the time (false-positive rate 36%).
“The current approach to preoperative identification of potentially malignant IPMNs (Fukuoka criteria) incorrectly directs benign lesions to surgery one-third of the time (a false-positive rate of 36%).207”
From Artificial Intelligence and Early Detection of Pancreatic Cancer: 2020 Summative Review (2021) · cites this paper as [207]
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- Authors
- Hanania, A. N., Bantis, L. E., Feng, Z., Wang, H., Tamm, E. P., Katz, M. H., Maitra, A., & Koay, E. J.
- Affiliations
- The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (US)
- ORCID
- Venue
- Oncotarget
- Publisher
- Impact Journals, LLC
- Published
- 2016-08-31
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 52
- Pages
- 85776-85784
- ISSN
- 1949-2553 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5349873
- OpenAlex
- W2515797801
- Cited by
- 143
- References
- 6
- Citations by year
- 2026: 8 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 10 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 27 · 2019: 24 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 9 · 2016: 2
- FWCI
- 14.47
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- Oncotarget (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Pancreatic Cancer Action Network (14-20-25-KOAY, 16‐65‐SING)
- Radiological Society of North America (RSD1429)
- National Institutes of Health (CA- 016672)
- University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center ((CA016672), grant CA016672)
- National Cancer Institute (Grant CA016672, CA 016672, U01CA196403, P30CA016672)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Pancreatic and Hepatic Oncology Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › MRI in cancer diagnosis
- Keywords
- intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm, pancreatic cysts, quantitative imaging, radiomics, gray level co-occurrence matrix, texture analysis, pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, malignant potential prediction, histopathological grade, CT imaging biomarkers, false positive rate
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Adenocarcinoma, Mucinous, Carcinoma, Papillary, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Pancreatic Neoplasms, Retrospective Studies, Tomography, X-Ray Computed, Logistic Models, Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal
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