Combining radiomic features with a miRNA classifier may improve prediction of malignant pathology for pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms
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// Jennifer B. Permuth 1,2 , Jung Choi 3 , Yoganand Balarunathan 4 , Jongphil Kim 5 , Dung-Tsa Chen 5 , Lu Chen 5 , Sonia Orcutt 2 , Matthew P. Doepker 11 , Kenneth Gage 3 , Geoffrey Zhang 4,6 , Kujtim Latifi 4,6 , Sarah Hoffe 2,6 , Kun Jiang 7 , Domenico Coppola 7 , Barbara A. Centeno 7 , Anthony Magliocco 7 , Qian Li 4,8 , Jose Trevino 9 , Nipun Merchant 10 , Robert Gillies 4 and Mokenge Malafa 2 on behalf of the Florida Pancreas Collaborative 1 Cancer Epidemiology, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, Florida, USA 2 Gastrointestinal Oncology, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, Florida, USA 3 Diagnostic Imaging and Interventional Radiology, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, Florida, USA 4 Cancer Imaging and Metabolism, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, Florida, USA 5 Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, Florida, USA 6 Radiation Oncology, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, Florida, USA 7 Anatomic Pathology, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, Florida, USA 8 Department of Radiology, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, Tianjin, China 9 Department of Surgery, Division of General Surgery, University of Florida Health Sciences Center, Gainesville, Florida, USA 10 Department of Surgery, Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center at the University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, Florida, USA 11 Department of Clinical Surgery/Surgical Oncology, Palmetto Health/USC School of Medicine, Columbia, South Carolina, USA Correspondence to: Jennifer B. Permuth, email: // Keywords : radiomics, miRNA, risk stratification, pre-malignant lesions, pancreas Received : July 06, 2016 Accepted : July 14, 2016 Published : August 31, 2016 Abstract Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are pancreatic cancer precursors incidentally discovered by cross-sectional imaging. Consensus guidelines for IPMN management rely on standard radiologic features to predict pathology, but they lack accuracy. Using a retrospective cohort of 38 surgically-resected, pathologically-confirmed IPMNs (20 benign; 18 malignant) with preoperative computed tomography (CT) images and matched plasma-based ‘miRNA genomic classifier (MGC)’ data, we determined whether quantitative ‘radiomic’ CT features (+/- the MGC) can more accurately predict IPMN pathology than standard radiologic features ‘high-risk’ or ‘worrisome’ for malignancy. Logistic regression, principal component analyses, and cross-validation were used to examine associations. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value (PPV, NPV) were estimated. The MGC, ‘high-risk,’ and ‘worrisome’ radiologic features had area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values of 0.83, 0.84, and 0.54, respectively. Fourteen radiomic features differentiated malignant from benign IPMNs (p<0.05) and collectively had an AUC=0.77. Combining radiomic features with the MGC revealed an AUC=0.92 and superior sensitivity (83%), specificity (89%), PPV (88%), and NPV (85%) than other models. Evaluation of uncertainty by 10-fold cross-validation retained an AUC>0.80 (0.87 (95% CI:0.84-0.89)). This proof-of-concept study suggests a noninvasive radiogenomic approach may more accurately predict IPMN pathology than ‘worrisome’ radiologic features considered in consensus guidelines.
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Permuth et al. (2016) found that texture analysis of CT images identified malignant IPMNs with an AUC of 0.77, improving to 0.92 with the inclusion of microRNA genomic data (sensitivity 83%, specificity 89%).
“In a 2016 proof-of-concept study, Permuth et al. demonstrated the potential of texture analysis of CT images to identify malignant IPMNs with an AUC of 0.77 [53]. This improved to 0.92 with the inclusion of microRNA genomic data (sensitivity 83%, specificity 89%).”
From Artificial Intelligence in the Diagnosis and Treatment of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions and Adenocarcinoma (2023) · cites this paper as [53]
The Abstract reports an AUC of 0.77 for CT radiomic features, rising to 0.92 when combined with the miRNA classifier, with 83% sensitivity and 89% specificity. However, the Results (Analysis of radiomic data) specify that the 0.77 AUC came from 14 features, including three non-textural size-and-shape features; it was not a result for texture features alone. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredWorrisome features as defined by consensus guidelines yielded an AUC of only 0.54.
“In comparison, “worrisome features”, as defined by consensus guidelines (main duct dilation, cyst size > 3 cm, cyst wall thickening, mural nodules, or acute pancreatitis), yielded an AUC of only 0.54.”
From Artificial Intelligence in the Diagnosis and Treatment of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions and Adenocarcinoma (2023) · cites this paper as [53]
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- [48]Adsay NV FT Hruban RH Klimstra DS Kloppel G Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas Bosman FT Carneiro F Hruban RH Theise ND WHO classification of tumors of the digestive system Lyon WHO Press 2010 304 313
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- Authors
- Permuth, J. B., Collaborative, T. F. P., Choi, J., Balarunathan, Y., Kim, J., Chen, D.-T., Chen, L., Orcutt, S., Doepker, M. P., Gage, K., Zhang, G., Latifi, K., Hoffe, S., Jiang, K., Coppola, D., Centeno, B. A., Magliocco, A., Li, Q., Trevino, J., Merchant, N., Gillies, R., & Malafa, M.
- Affiliations
- Moffitt Cancer Center (US)
- University of South Carolina (US)
- Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital (CN)
- University of Florida Health (US)
- University of Miami (US)
- Corresponding author
- Permuth, Jennifer B.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Oncotarget
- Publisher
- Impact Journals, LLC
- Published
- 2016-08-31
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 52
- Pages
- 85785-85797
- ISSN
- 1949-2553 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5349874
- OpenAlex
- W2510667250
- Cited by
- 127
- References
- 50
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 16 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 27 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 12 · 2016: 3
- FWCI
- 11.58
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- Oncotarget (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- American Cancer Society (93-032-16)
- Moffitt Cancer Center (P30CA076292, CA076292)
- National Cancer Institute (CA076292, P30CA076292)
- State of Florida
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Pancreatic and Hepatic Oncology Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › MRI in cancer diagnosis
- Keywords
- intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm, pancreatic cancer precursors, radiomics, malignant transformation prediction, risk stratification, microRNA expression, miRNA classifier
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Adenocarcinoma, Mucinous, Carcinoma, Papillary, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Pancreatic Neoplasms, Tomography, X-Ray Computed, Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal, MicroRNAs
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