The DOI matches its Crossref record; 33 of the 33 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
In defense of P values
Abstract
Statistical hypothesis testing has been widely criticized by ecologists in recent years. I review some of the more persistent criticisms of P values and argue that most stem from misunderstandings or incorrect interpretations, rather than from intrinsic shortcomings of the P value. I show that P values are intimately linked to confidence intervals and to differences in Akaike's information criterion (ΔAIC), two metrics that have been advocated as replacements for the P value. The choice of a threshold value of ΔAIC that breaks ties among competing models is as arbitrary as the choice of the probability of a Type I error in hypothesis testing, and several other criticisms of the P value apply equally to ΔAIC. Since P values, confidence intervals, and ΔAIC are based on the same statistical information, all have their places in modern statistical practice. The choice of which to use should be stylistic, dictated by details of the application rather than by dogmatic, a priori considerations.
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Cites
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Cited by
Statistical tests, P values, confidence intervals, and power: a guide to misinterpretations
Greenland, S., Senn, S. J., Rothman, K. J., Carlin, J. B., Poole, C., Goodman, S. N., & Altman, D. G. (2016) · European Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1007/s10654-016-0149-3 · Cited by 3,200
A brief introduction to mixed effects modelling and multi-model inference in ecology
Harrison, X. A., Donaldson, L., Correa-Cano, M. E., Evans, J., Fisher, D. N., Goodwin, C. E. D., Robinson, B. S., Hodgson, D. J., & Inger, R. (2018) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.4794 · Cited by 2,094
Model selection for ecologists: the worldviews of AIC and BIC
Aho, K., Derryberry, D., & Peterson, T. (2014) · Ecology · doi:10.1890/13-1452.1 · Cited by 1,165
Sensitivity and specificity of information criteria
(2019) · doi:10.1093/bib/bbz016 · Cited by 718
The earth is flat ( p > 0.05): significance thresholds and the crisis of unreplicable research
Amrhein, V., Korner-Nievergelt, F., & Roth, T. (2017) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.3544 · Cited by 308
Metadata
- Authors
- Murtaugh, P. A.
- Venue
- Ecology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2014-03
- Volume
- 95
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 611-617
- ISSN
- 0012-9658 (ISSN-L)
- 1939-9170
- OpenAlex
- W2037592609
- Cited by
- 317
- References
- 33
- FWCI
- 33.68
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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