Cited by 316Smoking Behavior and CessationGlobal Cancer Incidence and ScreeningGlobal Public Health Policies and Epidemiology

Estimates of Global and Regional Smoking Prevalence in 1995, by Age and Sex

Open access
Jha, Prabhat, Ranson, M. Kent, Nguyen, Son N., Yach, Derek·2002·American Journal of Public Health

Abstract

Objectives. We calculated regional and sex- and age-specific smoking prevalence estimates worldwide in 1995. Methods. Sex-specific smoking prevalence data from studies in 139 countries and age distribution data from 7 studies were analyzed. Results. Globally, 29% of persons aged 15 years or older were regular smokers in 1995. Four fifths of the world's 1.1 billion smokers lived in low- or middle-income countries. East Asian countries accounted for a disproportionately high percentage (38%) of the world's smokers. Males accounted for four fifths of all smokers, and prevalence among males and females was highest among those aged 30 to 49 years (34%). Conclusions. Future decades will see dramatic increases in tobacco-attributable deaths in low- and middle-income regions. Although much of this excess mortality can be prevented if smokers stop smoking, quitting remains rare in low- and middle-income countries. (Am J Public Health. 2002;92:1002–1006)

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.2105/ajph.92.6.1002

Cites

1 of 1 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Previous analyses of smoking prevalence and attributable disease burden often were hindered by poor data availability, methodological limitations, or both.

    “Previous analyses of smoking prevalence and attributable disease burden often were hindered by poor data availability, methodological limitations, or both.25, 26, 27”

    From Smoking prevalence and attributable disease burden in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (2017) · cites this paper as [26]

    The Abstract says the 1997 WHO prevalence review relied heavily on older data, and the Discussion describes inconsistent smoking definitions and uncertain age-specific estimates. These passages support concerns about data and methods in smoking-prevalence analyses, but the paper does not establish that previous analyses of attributable disease burden were often hindered by those limitations. (LLM, conf=0.82)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 32

  1. [1]Peto R, Lopez AD. The future worldwide health effects of current smoking patterns. In: Koop EC, Pearson CE, Schwarz PM, eds. Global Health in the 21st Century. New York, NY: Jossey-Bass; 2000:154–161.
  2. [2]Liu BQ, Peto R, Chen ZM, et al. Emerging tobacco hazards in China, 1: retrospective proportional mortality study of one million deaths. BMJ. 1998;317:1411–1422. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  3. [3]Gupta PC. Socio-demographic characteristics of tobacco use among 99,598 individuals in Bombay, India using hand-held computers. Tob Control. 1996;5:114–120. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  4. [4]Gupta PC, Mehta HC. Cohort study of all-cause mortality among tobacco users in Mumbai, India. Bull World Health Organ. 2000;78:877–883. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  5. [5]Peto R, Lopez AD, Boreham J, Thun M, Heath C Jr. Mortality From Smoking in Developed Countries, 1950–2000. Oxford, England: Oxford University Press; 1994.
  6. [7]Ranson MK, Jha P, Chaloupka FJ, Nguyen S. Global and regional estimates of the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of price increases and other tobacco control policies. Nicotine Tob Res. In press. [DOI] [PubMed]
  7. [9]Corrao MA, Guindon GE, Cokkinides V, Sharma N. Building the evidence base for global tobacco control. Bull World Health Organ. 2000;78:884–890. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  8. [13]Jha P, Chaloupka FJ, eds. Tobacco Control in Developing Countries. Oxford, England: Oxford University Press; 2000.
  9. [14]Balabanova D, Bobak M, McKee M. Patterns of smoking in Bulgaria. Tob Control. 1998;7:383–385. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  10. [15]McKee M, Bobak M, Rose R, Shkolnikov V, Chenet L, Leon D. Patterns of smoking in Russia. Tob Control. 1998;7:22–26. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  11. [16]Bobak M, Pikhart H, Hertzman C, Rose R, Marmot M. Socioeconomic factors, perceived control and self-reported health in Russia: a cross-sectional survey. Soc Sci Med. 1998;47:269–279. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  12. [17]Jarallah JS, al-Rubeaan KA, al-Nuaim AR, al-Ruhaily AA, Kalantan KA. Prevalence and determinants of smoking in three regions of Saudi Arabia. Tob Control. 1999;8:53–56. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  13. [18]Hill DJ, White VM, Scollo MM. Smoking behaviours of Australian adults in 1995: trends and concerns. Med J Aust. 1998;168:209–213. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  14. [19]Haidinger G, Waldhoer T, Vutuc C. The prevalence of smoking in Austria. Prev Med. 1998;27:50–55. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  15. [21]Alam SE. Prevalence and pattern of smoking in Pakistan. JPMA J Pak Med Assoc. 1998;48:64–66. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  16. [22]Jenkins CN, Dai PX, Ngoc DH, et al. Tobacco use in Vietnam: prevalence, predictors, and the role of the transnational tobacco corporations. JAMA. 1997;277:1726–1731. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  17. [23]Chinese Academy of Preventive Medicine. Smoking in China: 1996 National Prevalence Survey of Smoking Pattern. Beijing: China Science and Technology Press; 1997.
  18. [24]Idris AM, Ibrahim YE, Warnakulasuriya KAAS, Cooper DJ, Johnson NW, Nilsen R. Toombak use and cigarette smoking in the Sudan: estimates of prevalence in the Nile State. Prev Med. 1998;27:597–603. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  19. [25]Venkat Narayan KM, Chadha SL, Hanson RL, et al. Prevalence and patterns of smoking in Delhi: cross sectional study. BMJ. 1996;312:1576–1579. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  20. [29]Cigarette smoking among adults—United States, 1997. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 1999;48:993–996. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  21. [32]Nicolaides-Bouman A, Wald N, Forey B, Lee P. International Smoking Statistics: A Collection of Historical Data From 22 Economically Developed Countries. Oxford, England: Oxford Medical Publications; 1993.
  22. [33]Warren CW, Riley L, Asma S, et al. Tobacco use by youth: a surveillance report from the Global Youth Tobacco Survey project. Bull World Health Organ. 2000;78:868–876. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  23. [35]Murray CJ, Lopez AD. Alternative projections of mortality and disability by cause 1990–2020: Global Burden of Disease Study. Lancet. 1997;349:1498–1504. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  24. [36]Doll R, Peto R, Wheatley K, Gray R, Sutherland I. Mortality in relation to smoking: 40 years' observations on male British doctors. BMJ. 1994;309:901–911. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  25. [37]Peto R, Darby S, Deo H, Silcocks P, Whitley E, Doll R. Smoking, smoking cessation, and lung cancer in the UK since 1950: combination of national statistics with two case-control studies. BMJ. 2000;321:323–329. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  26. [38]Giovino GA, Schooley MW, Zhu BP, et al. Surveillance for selected tobacco-use behaviors—United States, 1900–1994. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 1994;43:1–43. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  27. [39]Hill DJ. Australian patterns of tobacco smoking in 1986. Med J Aust. 1988;149:6–10. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  28. [40]Hill DJ, White VM. Australian adult smoking prevalence in 1992. Aust J Public Health. 1995;19:305–308. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  29. [41]La Vecchia C, Pagano R, Decarli A, Ferraroni M. Smoking in Italy, 1990–1991. Tumori. 1994;80:175–180. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  30. [42]Pagano R, La Vecchia C, Decarli A. Smoking in Italy, 1995. Tumori. 1998;84:456–459. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  31. [43]Wersall JP, Eklund G. The decline of smoking among Swedish men. Int J Epidemiol. 1998;27:20–26. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  32. [44]del Rio MC, Alvarez FJ. Patterns of smoking in Spain: results from a regional general population survey. Eur J Epidemiol. 1994;10:595–598. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Jha, P., Ranson, M. K., Nguyen, S. N., & Yach, D.
Affiliations
World Bank (US)
Venue
American Journal of Public Health
Published
2002-06
Volume
92
Issue
6
Pages
1002-1006
ISSN
  • 0090-0036 (ISSN-L)
  • 1541-0048
OpenAlex
W2031880709
Cited by
316
References
1
Citations by year
2026: 4 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 7 · 2020: 9 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 11 · 2017: 14 · 2016: 15 · 2015: 16 · 2014: 16 · 2013: 21 · 2012: 21
FWCI
6.80
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • American Journal of Public Health (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • LSHTM Research Online (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) (submittedVersion)
Funders
World Bank Group
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
  • Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › Global Public Health Policies and Epidemiology
Keywords
smoking prevalence, tobacco use, sex differences in smoking, low- and middle-income countries, East Asia, smoking cessation, regional variation
MeSH terms
Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Developing Countries, Female, Health Surveys, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Smoking, Global Health, Prevalence, Developed Countries

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review