Cancer patterns, trends and projections in Latin America and the Caribbean: a global context
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OBJECTIVE: To develop a situation analysis encompassing the patterns and trends in cancer incidence and mortality in South and Central America and the Caribbean, with comparisons globally and with selected external countries. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on cancer incidence and mortality rates for 31 countries were obtained from the 2012 GLOBOCAN database. Incidence and mortality trends for selected countries were analysed with data from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5) series and the WHO Mortality Database, respectively. RESULTS: In 2012, almost 1.1 million new cancer cases were estimated annually, with important variations in rates across countries. The most common cancer types were breast, prostate, colorectum and lung cancer; stomach and cervical cancer ranked high in less developed countries. Increasing trends were observed in prostate, breast and colorectal cancer; lung cancer mortality trends diverged among males and females, while cervix cancer incidence and stomach cancer mortality uniformly decreased. A 66% increase in cancer cases in the region by 2030 is projected based on population aging and growth. CONCLUSIONS: Cancer patterns and trends reflect the significant sociodemographic changes in the region: the growing burden imposes great challenges to national health care systems to implement cancer control actions, while improving cancer surveillance to effectively measure the response.
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Mortality rates have decreased in most high-income countries since the mid-1990s, including those in Northern America, Oceania, and Northern and Western Europe.
“Mortality rates have decreased in most high-income countries since the mid-1990s, including those in Northern America, Oceania, and Northern and Western Europe, 88,98,100”
From Global cancer statistics 2022: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries. (2024) · cites this paper as [98]
The Discussion (page unavailable) reports reduced all-cancer mortality in the U.S. and declining breast-cancer mortality in the U.S. and Spain. It does not establish that mortality fell in most high-income countries since the mid-1990s, or document the claimed trends across Oceania and Northern and Western Europe. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredBreast cancer incidence is on the rise in Latin America.
“This is the case in Latin America, where breast cancer incidence is on the rise.2”
From Model for Early Detection of Breast Cancer in Low-Resource Areas: The Experience in Peru (2018) · cites this paper as [2]
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“97 88, 98 In contrast Mortality rates have decreased in most high ‐ income countries since the mid ‐ 1990s, including those in Northern America, Oceania, and Northern and Western Europe, 88,98,100 likely reflecting advancements in effective treatment and earlier detection through increased testing…”
BackgroundSelf-citationModel for Early Detection of Breast Cancer in Low-Resource Areas: The Experience in Peru
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“In Latin America, there is an overall need to improve cancer surveillance, as well as quality, coverage, and data use.(2) Better systems for data collection on the impact of these interventions are urgently needed for appropriate evaluation and adaptation.”
Background
- Authors
- Bray, F., & Piñeros, M.
- Affiliations
- Centre international de recherche sur le cancer (FR)
- Venue
- Salud Pública de México
- Publisher
- Instituto Nacional de Salud Publica
- Published
- 2016-03
- Volume
- 58
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 104-117
- ISSN
- 0036-3634 (ISSN-L)
- 1606-7916
- OpenAlex
- W2308263493
- Cited by
- 139
- References
- 31
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 17 · 2019: 14 · 2018: 26 · 2017: 15 · 2016: 3
- FWCI
- 10.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by-nc-sa
- Locations
- Salud Pública de México (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Redalyc (Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Colorectal Cancer Screening and Detection
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economic and Financial Impacts of Cancer
- Keywords
- cancer incidence, cancer mortality, cancer trends, cancer projections, Latin America and the Caribbean, breast cancer, prostate cancer, colorectal cancer, lung cancer, gastric cancer, cervical cancer, population aging, cancer control, cancer surveillance
- MeSH terms
- Female, Forecasting, Humans, Latin America, Male, Morbidity, Mortality, Neoplasms, Incidence, Sex Distribution, Caribbean Region
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