PreprintCited by 21

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Can Individual Investors Beat the Market?

Coval, Joshua D., Hirshleifer, David, Shumway, Tyler·2003

Abstract

We document strong persistence in the performance of trades of individual investors. The correlation of the risk-adjusted performance of an individual across sample periods is about 10 percent. Investors classified in the top performance decile in the first half of our sample subsequently outperform those in the bottom decile by about 8 percent per year. Strategies long in firms purchased by previously successful investors and short in firms purchased by previously unsuccessful investors earn abnormal returns of 5 basis points per day. These returns are not confined to small stocks nor to stocks in which the investors are likely to have inside information. Our results suggest that skillful individual investors exploit market inefficiencies to earn abnormal profits, above and beyond any profits available from well-known strategies based upon size, value, or momentum. Presentation slides are available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3217430

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Cites

Research works printed but not linked: 13

  1. Kent D Daniel, 1999, Market Efficiency in an Irrational World, Financial Analysts' Journal, 55, 28, 10.2469/faj.v55.n6.2312 · DOI
  2. , J De Long, 1990, Noise trader risk in financial markets, Journal of Political Economy, 98, 703, 10.1086/261703 · DOI
  3. Edwin J Elton, 1996, The persistence of risk-adjusted mutual fund performance, Journal of Business, 69, 133, 10.1086/209685 · DOI
  4. Eugene F Fama, 1992, The Cross Section of Expected Returns, Journal of Finance, 47, 427, 10.2307/2329112 · DOI · Paper page
  5. S P Ferris, 1988, Predicting Contemporary Volume with Historic Volume at Differential Price Levels: Evidence Supporting the Disposition Effect, Journal of Finance, 43, 677, 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1988.tb04599.x · DOI
  6. Mark Grinblatt, 2001, How Distance, Language and Culture Influence Stockholdings and Trades, Journal of Finance, 56, 1053, 10.1111/0022-1082.00355 · DOI
  7. William N Goetzmann, 1994, Do winners repeat? Patterns in mutual fund performance, Journal of Portfolio Management, 20, 9, 10.3905/jpm.1994.9 · DOI
  8. Mark Grinblatt, 1992, The persistence of mutual fund performance, Journal of Finance, 47, 1977, 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04692.x · DOI
  9. Darryl Hendricks, 1993, Hot hands in mutual funds: The persistence of performance 1974-1988, Journal of Finance, 48, 93, 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1993.tb04703.x · DOI
  10. David Hirshleifer, 2001, Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing, Journal of Finance, 54, 1533, 10.1111/0022-1082.00379 · DOI
  11. David Hirshleifer, 2002, Do Individual Investors Drive Post-Earnings Announcement Drift?" Working paper
  12. Zoran Ivkovich, 2005, Local Does as Local Is: Information Content of the Geography of Individual Investors' Common Stock Investments, Journal of Finance, 60, 267, 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00730.x · DOI
  13. Zoran Ivkovich, 2005, Portfolio Concentration and the Performance of Individual Investors, 10.3386/w10675 · DOI

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Metadata

Authors
Coval, J. D., Hirshleifer, D., & Shumway, T.
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2003
Cited by
21
References
1
Type
Preprint

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