ChatGPT Hallucinates Nonexistent Citations: Evidence from Economics
Open accessAbstract
In this study, we generate prompts derived from every topic within the Journal of Economic Literature to assess the abilities of both GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 versions of the ChatGPT large language model (LLM) to write about economic concepts. ChatGPT demonstrates considerable competency in offering general summaries but also cites non-existent references. More than 30% of the citations provided by the GPT-3.5 version do not exist and this rate is only slightly reduced for the GPT-4 version. Additionally, our findings suggest that the reliability of the model decreases as the prompts become more specific. We provide quantitative evidence for errors in ChatGPT output to demonstrate the importance of LLM verification.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
ChatGPT and similar large language models tend to fabricate plausible-sounding but non-existent references (hallucinated citations).
“One of the most pressing concerns is the phenomenon of AI hallucinations, i.e.ChatGPT's tendency to fabricate plausible-sounding but non-existent references.”
From Training Students to Identify and Correct Fabricated References in ChatGPT-Generated Literature Reviews (2025) · cites this paper as Buchanan et al. (2023)
Buchanan et al. (2023) found that over 30% of citations produced by GPT-3.5 in economics contexts did not exist, and even GPT-4 failed to eliminate this problem entirely.
“Similarly, Buchanan et al. (2023) found that over 30% of citations produced by GPT-3.5 in economics contexts did not exist, and even GPT-4 failed to eliminate this problem entirely.”
From Training Students to Identify and Correct Fabricated References in ChatGPT-Generated Literature Reviews (2025) · cites this paper as Buchanan et al. (2023)
Cites
Survey of Hallucination in Natural Language Generation
Ji, Z., Lee, N., Frieske, R., Yu, T., Su, D., Xu, Y., Ishii, E., Bang, Y. J., Madotto, A., & Fung, P. (2023) · ACM Computing Surveys · doi:10.1145/3571730 · Cited by 5,025 · see citing works
GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models
Eloundou, T., Manning, S., Mishkin, P., & Rock, D. (2023) · arXiv · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2303.10130 · Cited by 545 · see citing works
Large Language Models as Simulated Economic Agents: What Can We Learn from Homo Silicus?
Horton, J., Filippas, A., & Manning, B. (2023) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w31122 · Cited by 329 · see citing works
The Impact of AI on Developer Productivity: Evidence from GitHub Copilot
Peng, S., Kalliamvakou, E., Cihon, P., & Demirer, M. (2023) · arXiv · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2302.06590 · Cited by 287 · see citing works
ChatGPT has Aced the Test of Understanding in College Economics: Now What?
Geerling, W., Mateer, G. D., Wooten, J., & Damodaran, N. (2023) · The American Economist · doi:10.1177/05694345231169654 · Cited by 119 · see citing works
Using ChatGPT and Other Large Language Model (LLM) Applications for Academic Paper Assignments
Jungherr, A. (2023) · doi:10.31235/osf.io/d84q6 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
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Pratama, H. (2025) · Conference on English Language Teaching · doi:10.24090/celti.2025.1335 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
- Authors
- Buchanan, J., Hill, S., & Shapoval, O.
- Affiliations
- Samford University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Buchanan, Joy
- Venue
- SSRN Electronic Journal
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2023
- ISSN
- 1556-5068 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4389161477
- Cited by
- 8
- References
- 6
- Citations by year
- 2025: 5 · 2024: 3
- Type
- posted content
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- SSRN Electronic Journal (acceptedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Topic Modeling
- Social Sciences › Safety Research › Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Artificial Intelligence Applications
- Keywords
- ChatGPT, hallucinations, citation errors, large language models, GPT-3.5, GPT-4, prompt specificity, model reliability, economics writing, Journal of Economic Literature
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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