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Characteristics, Physical Mechanisms, and Prediction of Pre-summer Rainfall over South China: Research Progress during 2008–2019
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The pre-summer rainy season (April to mid-June) over South China (SC) is characterized by a high intensity and frequent occurrence of heavy rainfall in the East Asian monsoon region. This review describes recent progress in the research related to this phenomenon. The mechanisms responsible for pre-summer rainfall consist of multiscale processes. Sea surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific and Indian Oceans are shown to have a great influence on the interannual variations of pre-summer rainfall over SC. Synoptic disturbances associated with regional extreme rainfall over SC are mainly related to cyclone- and trough-type anomalies. Surface sensible heating and mechanical forcing from the Tibetan Plateau can contribute to the formation and intensification of such anomalies. On a sub-daily scale, double rain belts often co-exist over SC. The northern rain belt is closely linked to dynamic lifting by a subtropical low pressure and its associated front/shear line, whereas westward extension of the western North Pacific high and intensification of the southwesterly monsoonal flows play important roles in providing high-equivalent potential temperature air to the west- and east-inland regions, respectively. The southern rain belt, with a smaller horizontal span, exists in the warm sector over either inland or coastal SC. The warm-sector rainfall over inland SC results from surface heating, local topographic lifting, and urban heat island effects interacting with the sea breeze. The warm-sector rainfall over coastal SC is closely associated with double low-level jets, land-sea-breeze fronts, and coastal mountains. A close relationship is found between convectively-generated quasi-stationary mesoscale outflow boundaries and continuous convective initiation in extreme rainfall events. Active warm-rain microphysical processes can play an important role in some extreme rainfall events, although the relative contributions of warm-rain, riming, and ice-phase microphysical processes remain unclear. Moreover, to improve rainfall predictions, efforts have been made in convection-permitting modeling studies.
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“This performance pattern reflects the greater algorithmic challenges posed by complex terrain and heterogeneous precipitation mechanisms prevalent in these regions [74,77,78].”
From A Machine Learning-Based Quality Control Algorithm for Heavy Rainfall Using Multi-Source Data (2025) · cites this paper as [77]
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A Machine Learning-Based Quality Control Algorithm for Heavy Rainfall Using Multi-Source Data
Sun, H., Zhou, Q., Shi, L., Li, C., Qin, S., Yao, D., Xu, M., Huang, Y., Hu, Q., & Guan, Y. (2025) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs17243976 · Cited by 4
Metadata
- Authors
- Luo, Y., Xia, R., & Chan, J. C. L.
- Affiliations
- Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN)
- Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CN)
- City University of Hong Kong (HK)
- Venue
- Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II
- Published
- 2020
- Volume
- 98
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 19-42
- ISSN
- 0026-1165 (ISSN-L)
- 2186-9057
- OpenAlex
- W2980900465
- Cited by
- 96
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2026: 12 · 2025: 23 · 2024: 17 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 17 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 3
- FWCI
- 3.73
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Ser II (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- CityU Scholars (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (41775050)
- Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (2017Z006)
- Tsinghua University
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
- Keywords
- South China, East Asian monsoon, extreme rainfall, sea surface temperature anomalies, sea breeze, convective initiation, warm-rain microphysics, riming, convection-permitting modeling, precipitation forecasting, interannual variability
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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