The Use of Redundancy in Multiple-Cue Judgments: Data from a Suppressor-Variable Task
Abstract
The hypothesis that subjects' beta weights tend to match the cue-criterion correlations rather than the cue-criterion beta weights was tested in an experiment on the multiple-cue probability learning of tasks with intercorrelated cues (rij = .00, .40, and .80). The results supported that hypothesis and indicated that subjects are able to utilize the correlations between each cue and the criterion, but not the correlation between cues, as a source of information about the validities of those cues.
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People tend to systematically neglect correlation structure, misrepresent correlated cues as independent, and overweight the value of repeated information.
“People also tend to systematically neglect correlation structure, misrepresent correlated cues as independent, and overweight the value of repeated information (Armelius & Armelius, 1974); (Enke & Zimmermann, 2019).”
From Open Challenges in Multi-Agent Security: Towards Secure Systems of Interacting AI Agents (2025) · cites this paper as Armelius & Armelius, 1974
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Budescu, D. V., Rantilla, A. K., Yu, H.-T., & Karelitz, T. M. (2003) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/s0749-5978(02)00516-2 · Cited by 117 · see citing works
Open Challenges in Multi-Agent Security: Towards Secure Systems of Interacting AI Agents
de Witt, C. S., Krawiecka, K., Krawczuk, I., Hagag, B., Anderson, W. L., Belcak, P., Bucknall, B., Cai, X., Chopra, A., Cohen, D., et al. (2025) · arXiv · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2505.02077 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
- Authors
- Armelius, B.-Å., Armelius, K., & Armelius, B.-A.
- Venue
- The American Journal of Psychology
- Publisher
- University of Illinois Press
- Published
- 1974-09
- Volume
- 87
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 385
- ISSN
- 0002-9556 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2312562239
- Cited by
- 47
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2020: 1 · 2014: 1 · 2013: 1
- FWCI
- 2.03
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- The American Journal of Psychology (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Psychometric Methodologies and Testing
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Family Practice › Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills
- Keywords
- redundancy, cue validity, probability learning, beta weights
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