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Public Opinion and the Common Defense: Who Governs Military Spending in the United States?
Abstract
We measure the extent to which military spending policy reflects public opinion, while controlling for other reasonable influences on policy. We use survey data as an indicator of aggregate public opinion on military spending and find evidence that changes in public opinion consistently exert an effect on changes in military spending. The influence of public opinion is less important than either Soviet military spending or the gap between U.S. and Soviet military spending and more important than the deficit and the balance of Soviet conflict/cooperation with the United States. We also examine the hypothesis that public opinion does not influence the government but that the government systematically manipulates public opinion. We find no evidence to support this hypothesis.
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Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods
Granger, C. W. J. (1969) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912791 · Cited by 22,989
Cited by
Nabatchi, T. (2010) · The American Review of Public Administration · doi:10.1177/0275074009356467 · Cited by 321
Collective preferences in democratic politics: opinion surveys and the will of the people
(2004) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.42-1221 · Cited by 274
Goldfarb, J. L., & Kriner, D. L. (2017) · Science Communication · doi:10.1177/1075547016688325 · Cited by 20
Metadata
- Authors
- Hartley, T., & Russett, B.
- Venue
- American Political Science Review
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 1992-12
- Volume
- 86
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 905-915
- ISSN
- 0003-0554 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5943
- OpenAlex
- W2161051934
- Cited by
- 234
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 10.46
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Public Opinion and the Common Defense: Who Governs Military Spending in the United States? https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.2307/1964343
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- Hartley, T., & Russett, B. (1992). Public Opinion and the Common Defense: Who Governs Military Spending in the United States? American Political Science Review. https://doi.org/10.2307/1964343
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.