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Cited by 538Political Conflict and GovernancePolitical Theory and DemocracyCorruption and Economic Development

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 98 of the 98 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Economic Crisis and Political Regime Change: An Event History Analysis

Gasiorowski, Mark J.·1995·American Political Science Review
DOI 10.2307/2082515
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Abstract

I examine the effect of economic crises on domestic political regime change. Using a statistical technique known as event history analysis and a new data set that identifies all instances of regime change in the 97 largest Third World countries, I develop multivariate models of democratic breakdown and democratic transition. My main findings are that inflationary crises inhibited democratization from the 1950s through the early 1970s but may have facilitated it in the late 1980s and that recessionary crises facilitated democratic breakdown but had no effect on democratic transition throughout this period. The inflation findings—though not the recession findings—support the arguments of Karen Remmer and Samuel Huntington that the processes affecting democratization were very different in the 1980s than in earlier eras. A number of other explanatory variables emerge as significant determinants of regime change, providing support for several other contentions that have appeared in the literature.

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Citations

Cites

Show all 98 references

Research works printed but not linked: 18

  1. Banks, 1979, Cross-national Time-Series Data Archive: User's Manual
  2. Vanhanen, 1990, The Process of Democratization: A Comparative Study of 147 Stetes, 1980–1988
  3. 1993, International Financial Statistics Yearbook 1993
  4. Duty Gary . 1991. “Industrialization and Regime Change in Developing Countries: A Cross-national Study.” Master's thesis, Louisiana State University.
  5. Szymanski, 1981, The Logic of Imperialism
  6. Hanneman, 1990, Military Involvement and Political Instability: An Event History Analysis 1940–1980., Journal of Political and Military Sociology, 18, 1
  7. Lerner, 1958, The Passing of Traditional Society
  8. Przeworski, 1986, Transitions from Authoritarian Rule
  9. Dixon, 1993, Inequality and Political Violence Revisited: Response., American Political Science Review, 87, 983
  10. Rouquié, 1986, Transitions from Authoritarian Rule
  11. Gurr, 1990, Polity II: Political Structures and Regime Change. 1800–1986, ICPSR 9263
  12. 1988, International Financial Statistics Yearbook 1988
  13. Kurth, 1979, The New Authoritarianism in Latin America
  14. Malloy, 1987, Authoritarians and Democrats
  15. O'Donnell, 1986, Transitions from Authoritarian Rule
  16. Stepan, 1973, Authoritarian Brazil
  17. Cnudde, 1969, Empirical Democratic Theory
  18. Roett, 1985, A Dance along the Precipice

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Metadata

Authors
Gasiorowski, M. J.
Affiliations
Louisiana State University (US)
Corresponding author
Gasiorowski, Mark J.
Venue
American Political Science Review
Publisher
Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Published
1995-12
Volume
89
Issue
4
Pages
882-897
ISSN
  • 0003-0554 (ISSN-L)
  • 1537-5943
DOI
10.2307/2082515
OpenAlex
W2139649522
Cited by
538
References
98
Citations by year
2026: 9 · 2025: 20 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 26 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 25 · 2019: 16 · 2018: 31 · 2017: 22 · 2016: 30 · 2015: 21 · 2014: 18 · 2013: 33 · 2012: 22
FWCI
20.52
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Licence
www.cambridge.org/core/terms (unspecified, 6485 d)
Locations
  • American Political Science Review (publishedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
  • Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Political Theory and Democracy
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Corruption and Economic Development
Keywords
economic crisis, regime change, democratization, democratic breakdown, democratic transition, inflation, economic recession, Third World countries, Huntington

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