The Effect of Arrests on the Employment and Earnings of Young Men
Abstract
Many young men commit crime, and many are arrested. I estimate the effect of arrests on the employment and earnings of arrestees, using a large longitudinal data set constructed by merging police records with UI earnings data. I find that the effects of arrests are moderate in magnitude and rather short-lived.
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More sophisticated work uses panel data and offender fixed effects; for recidivism the evidence is mixed, while for labor market outcomes a handful of studies find either no impact or a negative effect.
“More sophisticated work uses panel data and offender fixed effects to minimize selection issues. For recidivism, there are fewer studies using this approach and the evidence is mixed, while for labor market outcomes a handful of studies find either no impact or a negative effect.”
From Incarceration, Recidivism, and Employment (2020) · cites this paper as Grogger (1995)
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Seroczynski, A. D., Evans, W. N., Jobst, A. D., Horvath, L., & Carozza, G. (2016) · Journal of Policy Analysis and Management · doi:10.1002/pam.21916 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
- Authors
- Grogger, J.
- Affiliations
- University of California, Santa Barbara (US)
- Corresponding author
- Grogger, J.
- Venue
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1995-02-01
- Volume
- 110
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 51-71
- ISSN
- 0033-5533 (ISSN-L)
- 1531-4650
- OpenAlex
- W2127732244
- Cited by
- 401
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 20 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 19 · 2018: 22 · 2017: 16 · 2016: 18 · 2015: 25 · 2014: 29 · 2013: 11 · 2012: 13
- FWCI
- 15.25
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Crime Patterns and Interventions
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
- Keywords
- arrests, employment, earnings, young men, criminal justice, police records, unemployment insurance, labor market outcomes
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