The DOI matches its Crossref record; 23 of the 23 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Rational Learning and Partisan Attitudes
Abstract
Theory: Characterizing voters as rational actors who update their party affiliations based on a Bayesian assimilation of new information, Achen (1992) showed that a revisionist model of party identification generates, among its empirical implications, stable partisanship among adults. The model further implies that susceptibility to partisan change declines with age. The significance of Achen's model for the study of party identification leads us to examine more closely its underlying assumptions and the empirical ramifications of this and other learning models. Method: This essay develops a more general learning model, based upon the Kalman filter, that encompasses the Achen model as a special case. Results: We show that the Achen assumption of a fixed party benefit level leads to implausible implications about how voters learn from the history of party performance. When party benefit levels are allowed to vary over time, models of voter learning no longer imply that partisan attitudes, even among the older segments of the population, remain stable in the wake of new information about the parties. We conclude by discussing the empirical viability of our revised learning model and its implications for the study of partisan attitudes.
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Cites
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Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter
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The Silent Revolution: Changing Values and Political Styles Among Western Publics
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Aging, Cohorts, and the Stability of Sociopolitical Orientations Over the Life Span
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Messages Received: The Political Impact of Media Exposure
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Understanding the Kalman Filter
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Separating Reliability and Stability in Test-Retest Correlation
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Cited by
Beyond the Running Tally: Partisan Bias in Political Perceptions
Bartels, L. M. (2002) · Political Behavior · doi:10.1023/a:1021226224601 · Cited by 1,468
Myopic Voters and Natural Disaster Policy
HEALY, A., & MALHOTRA, N. (2009) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055409990104 · Cited by 931
Same Facts, Different Interpretations: Partisan Motivation and Opinion on Iraq
Gaines, B. J., Kuklinski, J. H., Quirk, P. J., Peyton, B., & Verkuilen, J. (2007) · The Journal of Politics · doi:10.1111/j.1468-2508.2007.00601.x · Cited by 683
Carsey, T. M., & Layman, G. C. (2006) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2006.00196.x · Cited by 633
GERBER, A. S., GIMPEL, J. G., GREEN, D. P., & SHAW, D. R. (2011) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s000305541000047x · Cited by 596
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Gerber, A., & Green, D. P.
- Venue
- American Journal of Political Science
- Publisher
- JSTOR
- Published
- 1998-07
- Volume
- 42
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 794
- ISSN
- 0092-5853 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2028133560
- Cited by
- 295
- References
- 23
- FWCI
- 24.26
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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