An Integration of Theories to Explain Judicial Discretion
Abstract
Based on an integration of work on uncertainty avoidance in decision making with research on causal attribution in punishment, the author hypothesizes that judges attempt to manage uncertainty by developing “patterned responses” that are the product of an attribution process involving assessments of the offender's likelihood of committing future crime. Washington, D. C, felony sentencing data generated by the Prosecutor's Management and Information System (PROMIS) were used to test this integrated theoretical model. Support for the theoretical integration is provided by the evidence of the effects of prior record, defendant's race, use of a weapon, pretrial release, and the interaction between defendant's race and bail outcome on sentence severity. Contrary to common suppositions, information on defendant-victim relationship and victim provocation was unrelated to sentence severity. Further research should examine judges' attempt to reduce uncertainty by relying on stereotypes and attributions linked to the likelihood of recidivism.
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Prosecutorial and court decisions are made in a context of bounded rationality, in that court actors make decisions with insufficient information, which produces uncertainty.
“Albonetti (1987Albonetti ( , 1991) ) argued that prosecutorial and court decisions are made in a context of bounded rationality, in that court actors make decisions with insufficient information, which produces uncertainty.”
From Criminal Justice in Indian Country: A Theoretical and Empirical Agenda (2019) · cites this paper as Albonetti 1991
Decision makers fall back on attributions about reoffending risk and/or rehabilitation potential that can be linked to race, ethnicity, gender, and other social status stereotypes, which can result in extralegal sentencing disparity connected to these statuses.
“Decision makers then fall back on attributions about reoffending risk and/or rehabilitation potential that can be linked to race, ethnicity, gender, and other social status stereotypes.This can then result in extralegal sentencing disparity connected to these statuses.”
From Criminal Justice in Indian Country: A Theoretical and Empirical Agenda (2019) · cites this paper as Albonetti 1991
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- Authors
- Albonetti, C. A.
- Affiliations
- Texas A&M University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Albonetti, Celesta A.
- Venue
- Social Problems
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1991-05
- Volume
- 38
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 247-266
- ISSN
- 0037-7791 (ISSN-L)
- 1533-8533
- OpenAlex
- W2096314767
- Cited by
- 751
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 28 · 2025: 32 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 37 · 2022: 32 · 2021: 54 · 2020: 41 · 2019: 43 · 2018: 31 · 2017: 43 · 2016: 35 · 2015: 34 · 2014: 38 · 2013: 28 · 2012: 34
- FWCI
- 15.34
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Social Problems (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis
- Social Sciences › Law › Criminal Justice and Penology
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems
- Keywords
- judicial discretion, sentencing, uncertainty avoidance, causal attribution, recidivism, offender risk assessment, racial disparities in sentencing, criminal history, bail, weapon use, stereotypes, felony sentencing
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