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The Uncertain Unit Root in Real GNP
Abstract
The Uncertain Unit Root in Real GNPThe impulse and propagation mechanisms of business cycles have long been debated; however, until recently, economists were in fairly broad agreement that business fluctuations could be studied separately from the secular growth of the economy.This separation was justified because, to a first approximation, the factors underlying trend growth were assumed to be stable at business-cycle frequencies.Indeed, the common practice of macroeconomists of all theoretical persuasions was to model movements in real GNP as stationary fluctuations around a linear deterministic trend (e.g.,
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Citations
Cited by
Exchange rates and monetary fundamentals: what do we learn from long-horizon regressions?
Kilian, L. (1999) · Journal of Applied Econometrics · doi:10.1002/(sici)1099-1255(199909/10)14:5<491::aid-jae527>3.0.co;2-d · Cited by 429
Judd, J. P., & Rudebusch, G. D. (2020) · Handbook of Monetary Policy · doi:10.4324/9780429270949-79 · Cited by 397
Self-citationFederal Reserve interest rate targeting, rational expectations, and the term structure
Rudebusch, G. D. (1995) · Journal of Monetary Economics · doi:10.1016/0304-3932(95)01190-y · Cited by 356
Self-citationA Time-Series Analysis of Crime, Deterrence, and Drug Abuse in New York City
Corman, H., & Mocan, H. N. (2000) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.90.3.584 · Cited by 353
POLICE PRODUCTIVITY AND CRIME RATES: 1973‐1992*
O'BRIEN, R. M. (1996) · Criminology · doi:10.1111/j.1745-9125.1996.tb01202.x · Cited by 109
Metadata
- Authors
- RUDEBUSCH, G. D.
- Venue
- Business Cycles
- Publisher
- Princeton University Press
- Published
- 2020-10-06
- Pages
- 194-206
- OpenAlex
- W2966724098
- Cited by
- 168
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 12.80
- Type
- book chapter
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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